
299 
FNUS54 KMRX 270756
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
600 AM EDT FRI MAY 27 2011

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL SLOWLY MOVE THROUGH THE SOUTHERN 
APPALACHIAN REGION TODAY...TRIGGERING ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN BUILD OVER THE REGION FOR THE 
WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK...BRINGING DRY AND UNSEASONABLY 
WARM CONDITIONS. 


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-280830-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
600 AM EDT FRI MAY 27 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      73-78 (-5)   53-58 (-4)   82-87        
RH % (24H TREND)      51-56 (+8)   95-100 (-1)  32-37        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         LGT/VAR      S  5         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           30           0            
PRECIP DURATION       2            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM                     
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.19         0.02         0.00         
LAL                   4            3            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      6400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 13                     SW 12        
DISPERSION            32 FAIR                   41 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...A FEW THUNDERSTORMS TODAY AND TONIGHT MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY 
HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. 
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTH 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S TO MID 90S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S 
TO LOWER 90S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. NORTHEAST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. 
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-280830-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EDT FRI MAY 27 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      71-76 (-6)   52-57 (-4)   79-84        
RH % (24H TREND)      51-56 (+12)  95-100 (-1)  36-41        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         S  5         LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           40           0            
PRECIP DURATION       2            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM                     
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.32         0.02         0.00         
LAL                   4            3            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      6300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 14                      SW  8        
DISPERSION            25 FAIR                   25 FAIR      

REMARKS...A FEW THUNDERSTORMS TODAY AND TONIGHT MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY 
HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. 
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 
90S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 
90S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 
80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-280830-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
600 AM EDT FRI MAY 27 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      71-76 (-6)   52-57 (-3)   79-84        
RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (+9)   85-90 (-12)  33-38        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM                     
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.01         0.00         
LAL                   3            2            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      6200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 12                     SW 10        
DISPERSION            20 GEN POOR               28 FAIR      

REMARKS...A FEW THUNDERSTORMS TODAY AND TONIGHT MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY 
HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO MID 60S. 
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 90S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 90S. 
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S. 
EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. 
EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-280830-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EDT FRI MAY 27 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      73-78 (-6)   54-59 (-3)   83-88        
RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (-1)   87-92 (-10)  34-39        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         LGT/VAR      SW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING                             
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   3            1            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      6000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 12                     SW 13        
DISPERSION            30 FAIR                   41 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...A FEW THUNDERSTORMS TODAY AND TONIGHT MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY 
HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. 
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTH 
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. 
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 
80S TO LOWER 90S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 
90S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. EAST WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-280830-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EDT FRI MAY 27 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      73-78 (-5)   52-57 (-4)   83-88        
RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (-1)   89-94 (-8)   34-39        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      S  7         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM                     
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.01         0.00         
LAL                   3            2            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      6400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 12                     S 13         
DISPERSION            29 FAIR                   44 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI             4                         3            

REMARKS...A FEW THUNDERSTORMS TODAY AND TONIGHT MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY 
HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. 
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTH 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. 
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 
90S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE  80S. EAST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-280830-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
600 AM EDT FRI MAY 27 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      75-80 (-5)   53-58 (-4)   83-88        
RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (+5)   93-98 (-4)   31-36        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           30           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM                     
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.15         0.01         0.00         
LAL                   4            3            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      5800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 12                     SW  9        
DISPERSION            35 FAIR                   32 FAIR      

REMARKS...A FEW THUNDERSTORMS TODAY AND TONIGHT MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY 
HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. 
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHEAST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 60S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S TO MID 90S. LIGHT
WINDS. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S 
TO LOWER 90S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 
80S TO LOWER 90S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE 80S. EAST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-280830-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
600 AM EDT FRI MAY 27 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      74-79 (-5)   54-59 (-3)   84-89        
RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (-2)   89-94 (-8)   31-36        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING                             
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   3            1            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      5500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 12                     SW 12        
DISPERSION            35 FAIR                   43 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...A FEW THUNDERSTORMS TODAY AND TONIGHT MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY 
HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTH 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S TO MID 90S. EAST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S
TO MID 90S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 
80S TO LOWER 90S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. EAST WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-280830-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
600 AM EDT FRI MAY 27 2011 /500 AM CDT FRI MAY 27 2011/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      75-80 (-3)   55-60 (-3)   85-90        
RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (-11)  85-90 (-12)  30-35        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         LGT/VAR      SW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   
PRECIP END            8 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   3            1            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      5500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 12                     SW 13        
DISPERSION            35 FAIR                   46 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...A FEW THUNDERSTORMS TODAY AND TONIGHT MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY 
HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS NEAR 90. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. 
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS NEAR 90. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
80S TO MID 90S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS NEAR 90.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 
90S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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