
169 
FNUS54 KMRX 261352 AAA
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
952 AM EDT THU MAY 26 2011

.DISCUSSION...
STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WILL DEVELOP TODAY AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING
COLD FRONT. THE MAIN CONCERN FROM THESE STORMS WILL BE DAMAGING
WINDS AND LARGE HAIL. RAIN CHANCES WILL DECREASE FROM THE WEST ON
FRIDAY...AS THE COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE REGION.

A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO BUILD OVER THE SOUTHERN
APPALACHIANS THIS WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK...RESULTING IN DRY 
AND VERY WARM WEATHER. 


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-271500-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
952 AM EDT THU MAY 26 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      81-86 (0)    57-62 (-4)   74-79        
RH % (24H TREND)      33-38 (-5)   86-91 (+11)  45-50        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 11 G22                 S  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10 G24    S  5         S  7         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           70           60           
PRECIP DURATION       2            3            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.16         0.32         0.19         
LAL                   5            4            4            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    8600                      7300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 31                     S 18         
DISPERSION            177 VERY GOOD             86 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID
60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
70S TO LOWER 90S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO
LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S
TO LOWER 90S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-271500-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
952 AM EDT THU MAY 26 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      80-85 (+1)   56-61 (-3)   72-77        
RH % (24H TREND)      31-36 (-9)   89-94 (+16)  45-50        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 10 G20                 S  7 G17     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7 G20    S  6         S  9 G19     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           70           60           
PRECIP DURATION       1            3            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.35         0.23         
LAL                   4            4            4            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    9000                      7700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 29                     S 21         
DISPERSION            157 VERY GOOD             85 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
70S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO
LOWER 90S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 80S TO MID 90S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-271500-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
952 AM EDT THU MAY 26 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      80-85 (+1)   56-61 (-3)   72-77        
RH % (24H TREND)      28-33 (-7)   82-87 (+11)  41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 13 G25                  SW  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 11 G21    S  7 G15     SW  7 G16    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           70           40           
PRECIP DURATION       2            3            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.32         0.27         0.15         
LAL                   4            4            3            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    9000                      8200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 33                     S 18         
DISPERSION            167 VERY GOOD             79 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER
60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO MID 90S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S TO MID 90S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-271500-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
952 AM EDT THU MAY 26 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      82-87 (-4)   58-63 (-3)   76-81        
RH % (24H TREND)      33-38 (+1)   84-89 (0)    44-49        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 12 G23                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10 G19    S  7 G15     SW  7        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           70           40           
PRECIP DURATION       2            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.41         0.21         0.10         
LAL                   4            4            3            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7900                      8100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 31                     S 17         
DISPERSION            155 VERY GOOD             91 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 90S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
70S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
80S TO MID 90S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 80S TO MID 90S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-271500-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
952 AM EDT THU MAY 26 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      81-86 (-4)   59-64 (-1)   77-82        
RH % (24H TREND)      32-37 (-1)   79-84 (-10)  39-44        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 10 G20                  S  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G17    S  6         SW  7        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           70           40           
PRECIP DURATION       2            3            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.35         0.28         0.12         
LAL                   4            4            3            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    8700                      9200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 30                     S 17         
DISPERSION            168 VERY GOOD             103 VERY GOOD
MAX LVORI             4                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID
60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S
TO LOWER 90S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S
TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 80S TO MID 90S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-271500-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
952 AM EDT THU MAY 26 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      83-88 (-2)   57-62 (-4)   77-82        
RH % (24H TREND)      32-37 (-2)   89-94 (+16)  42-47        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  9 G20                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G21    LGT/VAR      SW  5 G15    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           70           50           
PRECIP DURATION       2            3            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.22         0.31         0.19         
LAL                   4            4            4            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    8000                      8100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 28                     S 17         
DISPERSION            158 VERY GOOD             100 GOOD     

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO
LOWER 90S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
80S TO MID 90S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S
TO MID 90S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-271500-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
952 AM EDT THU MAY 26 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      82-87 (-3)   58-63 (-5)   76-81        
RH % (24H TREND)      38-43 (+3)   86-91 (+14)  44-49        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 13 G24                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 11 G22    SW  5 G15    W  5         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           70           30           
PRECIP DURATION       2            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.45         0.14         0.11         
LAL                   5            4            3            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6300                      7000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 29                     SW 15        
DISPERSION            125 VERY GOOD             78 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO
MID 90S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S
TO MID 90S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S
TO MID 90S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-271500-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
952 AM EDT THU MAY 26 2011 /852 AM CDT THU MAY 26 2011/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      81-86 (-5)   57-62 (-6)   76-81        
RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (+6)   86-91 (+6)   42-47        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 12 G22                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G17     SW  5        W  6         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           60           30           
PRECIP DURATION       5            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.49         0.13         0.05         
LAL                   5            4            3            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6100                      7000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 28                     SW 13        
DISPERSION            117 VERY GOOD             64 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO MID 90S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
80S TO MID 90S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 80S TO MID 90S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S
TO UPPER 90S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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