
595 
FNUS54 KMRX 251901
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
301 PM EDT WED MAY 25 2011

.DISCUSSION...
STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WILL DEVELOP OVERNIGHT TO OUR WEST...AHEAD 
OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT. THESE STORMS WILL MOVE NORTHEAST OR 
EAST...AND MAY REACH THE CUMBERLAND PLATEAU BEFORE DAYBREAK 
THURSDAY. MORE STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED AGAIN ON 
THURSDAY...AND ESPECIALLY ON THURSDAY NIGHT. RAIN CHANCES WILL 
DECREASE FROM THE WEST ON FRIDAY...AS THE COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH 
THE REGION. 

A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO BUILD OVER THE REGION THIS 
WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK...RESULTING IN DRY AND VERY WARM 
WEATHER. 


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-262015-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
301 PM EDT WED MAY 25 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (+2)   79-84 (-4)   57-62        74-79        
RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (-6)   36-41 (-2)   87-92        45-50        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 11 G22                 S  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G18     SW  8 G21    SW  5        S  7         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           60           70           60           
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            3            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.11         0.32         0.19         
LAL                   3            4            4            4            
LASI                               4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6500                      6000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 18                      SW 17        
DISPERSION                         90 GOOD                   61 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID
60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
70S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S
TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
80S TO LOWER 90S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-262015-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
301 PM EDT WED MAY 25 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (+1)   78-83 (-3)   55-60        72-77        
RH % (24H TREND)      80-85 (-10)  33-38 (-4)   89-94        45-50        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 11 G23                 S  8 G17     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 10 G25     SW 10 G24    SW  6 G17    S  9 G19     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           50           70           60           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            3            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.09         0.31         0.23         
LAL                   3            4            4            4            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6800                      5500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 15                      S 15         
DISPERSION                         71 GOOD                   36 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-262015-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
301 PM EDT WED MAY 25 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      60-65 (+2)   79-84 (-3)   54-59        72-77        
RH % (24H TREND)      75-80 (-11)  33-38 (-1)   85-90        41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 13 G26                 SW  6 G15    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 13 G33     SW 11 G21    SW  8 G19    SW  7 G16    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           60           70           40           
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            3            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.15         0.49         0.15         
LAL                   2            4            4            3            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6900                      6200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 24                      SW 16        
DISPERSION                         88 GOOD                   42 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 70S TO LOWER 90S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-262015-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
301 PM EDT WED MAY 25 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      60-65 (0)    82-87 (-4)   56-61        76-81        
RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (+2)   38-43 (+5)   90-95        44-49        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 11 G20                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 11 G25     SW 10 G19    SW  8 G18    SW  7        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           70           70           40           
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            3            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.22         0.52         0.10         
LAL                   2            4            4            3            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6100                      5800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 23                      SW 15        
DISPERSION                         93 GOOD                   50 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID
60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 90S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
70S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S
TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-262015-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
301 PM EDT WED MAY 25 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (0)    81-86 (-5)   56-61        77-82        
RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (+2)   37-42 (+5)   86-91        39-44        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 10 G20                  S  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G19     SW 10 G20    SW  7 G15    SW  7        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           70           70           40           
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            3            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          2 AM         2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.18         0.56         0.12         
LAL                   2            4            4            3            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6500                      6700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 16                      SW 15        
DISPERSION                         81 GOOD                   57 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI                          4                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID
60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S
TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S
TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-262015-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
301 PM EDT WED MAY 25 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      60-65 (+1)   81-86 (-5)   57-62        77-82        
RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (-2)   35-40 (+1)   89-94        42-47        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  9 G20                 SW  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7 G17     SW  8 G22    SW  5        SW  5 G15    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     10           60           70           50           
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            3            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.12         0.40         0.19         
LAL                   1            4            4            4            
LASI                               4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5700                      5100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 14                      SW 15        
DISPERSION                         73 GOOD                   47 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID
60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO
LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S
TO LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID
80S TO LOWER 90S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-262015-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
301 PM EDT WED MAY 25 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      63-68 (+1)   80-85 (-6)   58-63        76-81        
RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (-3)   42-47 (+9)   86-91        44-49        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 11 G20                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G21     SW  9 G17    SW  6        W  5         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           70           70           30           
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            3            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.27         0.39         0.11         
LAL                   3            5            4            3            
LASI                               3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5200                      5700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 23                      SW 16        
DISPERSION                         96 GOOD                   62 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR 60. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID
80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S
TO MID 90S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID
80S TO LOWER 90S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-262015-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
301 PM EDT WED MAY 25 2011 /201 PM CDT WED MAY 25 2011/

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (+1)   81-86 (-6)   57-62        76-81        
RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (0)    44-49 (+11)  87-92        42-47        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 10 G19                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 10 G23     SW  9 G17    SW  6        W  6         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           70           70           30           
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            3            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.44         0.30         0.05         
LAL                   3            5            4            3            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5600                      5100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 25                      SW 14        
DISPERSION                         111 VERY GOOD             48 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 80S TO MID 90S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 80S TO MID 90S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S
TO MID 90S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

