
877 
FNUS54 KMRX 251538 AAA
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
1138 AM EDT WED MAY 25 2011

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL PRODUCE MOSTLY DRY AND VERY WARM 
CONDITIONS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS TODAY.  A COLD FRONT 
WILL MOVE TOWARD THE AREA THURSDAY...THEN EAST OF THE APPALACHIANS 
FRIDAY PRODUCING WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  SOME OF THE 
STORMS MAY BE SEVERE LATE THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-261645-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
1138 AM EDT WED MAY 25 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      60-65 (+1)   81-86 (-2)   59-64        75-80        
RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (-10)  40-45 (+3)   87-92        44-49        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 10 G22                  SW  8 G16    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         S 14 G24     S  9 G20     S  9 G17     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           40           70           50           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            3            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.02         0.34         0.21         
LAL                   3            3            4            N/A          
LASI                               4                                      
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7700                                   
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 36                     N/A          
DISPERSION                         178 VERY GOOD                          

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID
60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
70S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
70S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-261645-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1138 AM EDT WED MAY 25 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (+1)   79-84 (-2)   56-61        73-78        
RH % (24H TREND)      77-82 (-13)  38-43 (+1)   87-92        45-50        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 11 G22                  S  9 G17     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7         S 14 G23     S 11 G24     S 10 G19     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           30           70           50           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            3            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.01         0.30         0.21         
LAL                   3            3            4            N/A          
LASI                               4                                      
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 8000                                   
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 35                     N/A          
DISPERSION                         157 VERY GOOD                          

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER
60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
70S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...

$$

TNZ072-074-261645-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
1138 AM EDT WED MAY 25 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (+1)   79-84 (-3)   56-61        72-77        
RH % (24H TREND)      73-78 (-13)  35-40 (-1)   85-90        46-51        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 13 G27                  SW  9 G18    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 10 G24     S 16 G29     S 11 G23     SW 10 G19    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           40           70           40           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            3            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.03         0.45         0.17         
LAL                   2            3            4            N/A          
LASI                               3                                      
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7900                                   
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 38                     N/A          
DISPERSION                         159 VERY GOOD                          

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...

$$

TNZ087-102-261645-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1138 AM EDT WED MAY 25 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      60-65 (0)    81-86 (-5)   58-63        76-81        
RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (-2)   43-48 (+8)   92-97        46-51        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 12 G23                  S  8 G17     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G22     S 14 G26     S  9 G19     SW  9 G18    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           40           70           40           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            3            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.06         0.52         0.10         
LAL                   2            3            4            N/A          
LASI                               4                                      
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7500                                   
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 36                     N/A          
DISPERSION                         167 VERY GOOD                          

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID
60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 90S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
70S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
70S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...

$$

NCZ060-061-261645-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
1138 AM EDT WED MAY 25 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (0)    80-85 (-6)   57-62        77-82        
RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (-4)   40-45 (+7)   90-95        46-51        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 10 G22                  S  8 G16     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G17     S 14 G26     S  7 G16     SW  9 G17    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           40           70           40           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            3            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          2 AM         2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.03         0.46         0.11         
LAL                   2            3            4            N/A          
LASI                               3                                      
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7600                                   
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 32                     N/A          
DISPERSION                         151 VERY GOOD                          
MAX LVORI                          3                                      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID
60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S
TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-261645-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
1138 AM EDT WED MAY 25 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (0)    83-88 (-3)   59-64        77-82        
RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (-6)   39-44 (+4)   88-93        43-48        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  9 G22                  SW  7        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         S 13 G23     S  7 G18     SW  9 G16    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     10           40           70           50           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            3            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.02         0.39         0.21         
LAL                   1            3            4            N/A          
LASI                               4                                      
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7500                                   
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 35                     N/A          
DISPERSION                         178 VERY GOOD                          

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID
60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO
LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO
LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-261645-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
1138 AM EDT WED MAY 25 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      63-68 (+1)   81-86 (-5)   61-66        77-82        
RH % (24H TREND)      76-81 (-5)   42-47 (+6)   87-92        46-51        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 11 G23                  SW  8 G16    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7 G16     SW 14 G25    SW  8 G20    SW  9 G17    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           60           70           30           
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            3            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          2 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.10         0.52         0.16         
LAL                   3            4            4            N/A          
LASI                               3                                      
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7200                                   
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 38                     N/A          
DISPERSION                         192 VERY GOOD                          

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S
TO LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S
TO MID 90S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-261645-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
1138 AM EDT WED MAY 25 2011 /1038 AM CDT WED MAY 25 2011/

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      63-68 (0)    81-86 (-6)   60-65        78-83        
RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (0)    45-50 (+10)  92-97        47-52        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 11 G20                  SW  6 G15    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G18     SW 13 G24    SW  8 G16    SW  8 G16    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           70           70           30           
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            3            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          2 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.16         0.55         0.08         
LAL                   3            4            4            N/A          
LASI                               3                                      
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6700                                   
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 35                     N/A          
DISPERSION                         170 VERY GOOD                          

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID
80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 80S TO MID 90S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...

$$

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