
329 
FNUS54 KMRX 250648
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
248 AM EDT WED MAY 25 2011

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL PRODUCE MOSTLY DRY AND VERY WARM 
CONDITIONS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS TODAY.  A COLD FRONT 
WILL MOVE TOWARD THE AREA THURSDAY...THEN EAST OF THE APPALACHIANS 
FRIDAY PRODUCING WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  SOME OF THE 
STORMS MAY BE SEVERE LATE THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-260800-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
248 AM EDT WED MAY 25 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      83-88 (+10)  60-65 (+1)   81-86        
RH % (24H TREND)      36-41 (-13)  78-83 (-10)  40-45        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5                      S 10 G22     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7        S  6         S 14 G24     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           40           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   2 PM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.02         0.02         
LAL                   2            3            3            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    8500                      7700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 20                     SW 36        
DISPERSION            110 VERY GOOD             178 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
70S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
70S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-260800-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
248 AM EDT WED MAY 25 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      81-86 (+7)   58-63 (+1)   79-84        
RH % (24H TREND)      36-41 (-11)  77-82 (-13)  38-43        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S 11 G22     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        S  7         S 14 G23     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           30           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING   2 PM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.01         0.01         
LAL                   3            3            3            
LASI                  5                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    9500                      8000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 17                     SW 35        
DISPERSION            99 GOOD                   157 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
70S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-260800-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
248 AM EDT WED MAY 25 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      82-87 (+8)   59-64 (+1)   79-84        
RH % (24H TREND)      34-39 (-10)  73-78 (-13)  35-40        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5                      S 13 G27     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8 G18    S 10 G24     S 16 G29     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           40           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING   2 PM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.02         0.03         
LAL                   2            2            3            
LASI                  5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    8500                      7900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 23                     SW 38        
DISPERSION            106 VERY GOOD             159 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO
LOWER 90S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-260800-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
248 AM EDT WED MAY 25 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      86-91 (+5)   60-65 (0)    81-86        
RH % (24H TREND)      34-39 (-11)  81-86 (-2)   43-48        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  6                      S 12 G23     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G18     S  9 G22     S 14 G26     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           40           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.06         
LAL                   1            2            3            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7400                      7500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 23                     SW 36        
DISPERSION            104 VERY GOOD             167 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. SOUTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S
TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
70S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
70S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-260800-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
248 AM EDT WED MAY 25 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      86-91 (+5)   59-64 (0)    80-85        
RH % (24H TREND)      32-37 (-12)  81-86 (-4)   40-45        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5                      S 10 G22     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G16     S  8 G17     S 14 G26     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           40           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       2 AM         2 PM         
PRECIP END                         8 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.03         
LAL                   1            2            3            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    8200                      7600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 23                     SW 32        
DISPERSION            119 VERY GOOD             151 VERY GOOD
MAX LVORI             3                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S
TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-260800-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
248 AM EDT WED MAY 25 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      86-91 (+6)   59-64 (0)    83-88        
RH % (24H TREND)      34-39 (-10)  81-86 (-6)   39-44        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  9 G22     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        S  5         S 13 G23     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            10           40           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       CONTINUING   2 PM         
PRECIP END                         8 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            3            
LASI                  5                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7600                      7500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 18                     SW 35        
DISPERSION            95 GOOD                   178 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
70S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO
LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO
LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-260800-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
248 AM EDT WED MAY 25 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      86-91 (+6)   63-68 (+1)   81-86        
RH % (24H TREND)      35-40 (-10)  76-81 (-5)   42-47        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5 G15                  S 11 G23     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G16     S  7 G16     SW 14 G25    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           60           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            2            
PRECIP BEGIN                       2 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.10         
LAL                   1            3            4            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6700                      7200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 22                     SW 38        
DISPERSION            104 VERY GOOD             192 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO
LOWER 90S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S
TO LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S
TO MID 90S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-260800-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
248 AM EDT WED MAY 25 2011 /148 AM CDT WED MAY 25 2011/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      87-92 (+4)   63-68 (0)    81-86        
RH % (24H TREND)      34-39 (-6)   79-84 (0)    45-50        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  7 G16                  S 11 G20     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G17     S  8 G18     SW 13 G24    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           70           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            2            
PRECIP BEGIN                       2 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.16         
LAL                   1            3            4            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6500                      6700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 23                     SW 35        
DISPERSION            107 VERY GOOD             170 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO
LOWER 90S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID
80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 80S TO MID 90S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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