
947 
FNUS54 KMRX 181411 AAA
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
1011 AM EDT WED MAY 18 2011

.DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL SHIFT SLOWLY NORTH FROM THE 
SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS TOWARD THE UPPER OHIO VALLEY...THROUGH 
THURSDAY. THIS WILL MEAN A CONTINUATION OF CLOUDY AND COOL WEATHER 
WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS...MAINLY ACROSS SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AND 
NORTHEAST TENNESSEE. SOUTHEAST TENNESSEE AND SOUTHWEST NORTH 
CAROLINA WILL REMAIN ON THE EDGE OF THE MOIST UPPER LEVEL 
CIRCULATION...AND WILL THEREFORE BE A LITTLE WARMER WITH AT LEAST 
SOME SUNSHINE EXPECTED...AND ONLY A LIMITED CHANCE FOR A SHOWER. 


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-191515-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
1011 AM EDT WED MAY 18 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (+4)   43-48 (+3)   62-67        
RH % (24H TREND)      62-67 (-18)  95-100 (+4)  51-56        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           20           30           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.04         0.05         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3300                      5700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  7                     W 15         
DISPERSION            7 POOR                    46 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID
50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-191515-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1011 AM EDT WED MAY 18 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (+4)   42-47 (+3)   63-68        
RH % (24H TREND)      58-63 (-15)  95-100 (+6)  50-55        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  6         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           20           30           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.03         0.04         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      5900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  6                     W 16         
DISPERSION            6 VERY POOR               42 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER
50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID
80S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-191515-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
1011 AM EDT WED MAY 18 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (+4)   41-46 (+2)   66-71        
RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (-11)  95-100 (+6)  41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  7         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            20           
PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                      8 AM         
PRECIP END            8 PM                      8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      6100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  7                      W 12         
DISPERSION            10 POOR                   28 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER
50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID
80S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-191515-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1011 AM EDT WED MAY 18 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      62-67 (+4)   43-48 (+3)   73-78        
RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (-9)   95-100 (+13) 34-39        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  6         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     10           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   
PRECIP END            8 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      6100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  8                      W  8         
DISPERSION            18 GEN POOR               26 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S.
LIGHT WINDS. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER
80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-191515-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
1011 AM EDT WED MAY 18 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      62-67 (+4)   42-47 (+2)   74-79        
RH % (24H TREND)      38-43 (-12)  95-100 (+10) 35-40        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        LGT/VAR      W  6         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      6200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  9                     W  7         
DISPERSION            22 FAIR                   25 FAIR      
MAX LVORI             3                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER
50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER
80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-191515-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
1011 AM EDT WED MAY 18 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (+4)   44-49 (+3)   66-71        
RH % (24H TREND)      58-63 (-14)  95-100 (+7)  51-56        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           20           30           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.01         0.03         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3400                      5600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  6                     W 13         
DISPERSION            10 POOR                   45 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 50. LIGHT WINDS. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO
MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-191515-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
1011 AM EDT WED MAY 18 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (+5)   44-49 (+3)   70-75        
RH % (24H TREND)      53-58 (-8)   95-100 (+12) 43-48        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  5         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            20           
PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                      8 AM         
PRECIP END            8 PM                      8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.00         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      5700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  8                      W 10         
DISPERSION            18 GEN POOR               41 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID
50S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-191515-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
1011 AM EDT WED MAY 18 2011 /911 AM CDT WED MAY 18 2011/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      62-67 (+5)   45-50 (+4)   74-79        
RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (-8)   95-100 (+17) 36-41        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  6         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      5900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  8                      W  8         
DISPERSION            24 FAIR                   33 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST EARLY IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
LIGHT WINDS. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

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