
599 
FNUS54 KMRX 180114
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
914 PM EDT TUE MAY 17 2011

.DISCUSSION...
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION WILL
CONTINUE TO KEEP TEMPERATURES COOL AND A CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE
FORECAST THROUGH THURSDAY. AS THE LOW MOVES NORTHEAST, THURSDAY 
EVENING AND FRIDAY LOOK TO BE PARTLY CLOUDY WITH WARMING 
TEMPERATURES ON FRIDAY. 


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-190215-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
914 PM EDT TUE MAY 17 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (-3)   56-61 (+6)   45-50        64-69        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+4)  58-63 (-22)  95-100       41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           70           50           30           
PRECIP DURATION       8            3            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.20         0.12         0.04         0.04         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3600                      7100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  9                     W 13         
DISPERSION                         12 POOR                   55 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER
50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS NEAR 80. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS NEAR 80. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-190215-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
914 PM EDT TUE MAY 17 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (-3)   56-61 (+6)   43-48        64-69        
RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (0)    53-58 (-20)  91-96        39-44        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           70           50           20           
PRECIP DURATION       8            3            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.19         0.11         0.04         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4300                      7200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  5                     W 15         
DISPERSION                         6 VERY POOR               58 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER
50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-190215-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
914 PM EDT TUE MAY 17 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (0)    58-63 (+6)   42-47        66-71        
RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (0)    46-51 (-14)  92-97        37-42        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           50           30           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.05         0.02         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5100                      7200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  7                      W 13         
DISPERSION                         12 POOR                   46 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST EARLY IN
THE AFTERNOON. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-190215-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
914 PM EDT TUE MAY 17 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (-3)   64-69 (+6)   43-48        73-78        
RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (+3)   41-46 (-10)  92-97        34-39        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  6        LGT/VAR      NW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           30           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.02         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5100                      7300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  7                      W 10         
DISPERSION                         19 GEN POOR               49 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S.
LIGHT WINDS. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-190215-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
914 PM EDT TUE MAY 17 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (-3)   65-70 (+7)   43-48        73-78        
RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (+1)   37-42 (-13)  91-96        33-38        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  6         LGT/VAR      NW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           30           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   2 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.01         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5300                      7400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  8                      W 12         
DISPERSION                         21 FAIR                   52 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI                          3                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER
50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS NEAR 80.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-190215-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
914 PM EDT TUE MAY 17 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (-3)   58-63 (+6)   45-50        67-72        
RH % (24H TREND)      94-99 (+5)   53-58 (-19)  93-98        40-45        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           70           40           20           
PRECIP DURATION       8            3            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.18         0.09         0.04         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3700                      6900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  8                     W 13         
DISPERSION                         15 GEN POOR               59 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER
50S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS NEAR 80.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-190215-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
914 PM EDT TUE MAY 17 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (-3)   60-65 (+6)   45-50        69-74        
RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (+5)   48-53 (-13)  93-98        38-43        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           50           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.13         0.05         0.02         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4100                      7000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 10                      W 12         
DISPERSION                         24 FAIR                   58 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID
50S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST EARLY IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-190215-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
914 PM EDT TUE MAY 17 2011 /814 PM CDT TUE MAY 17 2011/

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (-4)   63-68 (+6)   44-49        74-79        
RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (+4)   41-46 (-10)  95-100       32-37        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  5         NW  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   2 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.01         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      7100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  8                      W 10         
DISPERSION                         27 FAIR                   53 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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