
299 
FNUS54 KMRX 170726
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
326 AM EDT TUE MAY 17 2011

.DISCUSSION...
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL REMAIN STATIONARY OVER THE SOUTHERN 
APPALACHIAN REGION FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS...KEEPING CLOUDS AND COOL 
TEMPERATURES IN PLACE...ALONG WITH SOME RAIN SHOWERS.  


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-180830-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
326 AM EDT TUE MAY 17 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (-5)   42-47 (-1)   56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      77-82 (+12)  95-100 (+3)  58-63        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  6                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           70           70           
PRECIP DURATION       8            3            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.47         0.20         0.12         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3400                      3600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 12                      SW  9        
DISPERSION            13 GEN POOR               12 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S
TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER
50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO
LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS NEAR 80. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS NEAR 80. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-180830-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
326 AM EDT TUE MAY 17 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (-6)   41-46 (-1)   56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      69-74 (+7)   93-98 (0)    53-58        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  6                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  7        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           70           70           
PRECIP DURATION       8            3            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.45         0.19         0.11         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      4300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 10                     SW  5        
DISPERSION            11 POOR                   6 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S.
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER
50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER
80S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-180830-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
326 AM EDT TUE MAY 17 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (-3)   41-46 (+2)   58-63        
RH % (24H TREND)      57-62 (-5)   92-97 (0)    46-51        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  6                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           50           50           
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.18         0.11         0.05         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      5100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 10                      W  7         
DISPERSION            15 GEN POOR               12 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO
LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-180830-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
326 AM EDT TUE MAY 17 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (+1)   42-47 (-1)   64-69        
RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (-13)  91-96 (+3)   41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  9 G17                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  9 G16     LGT/VAR      NW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           30           30           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.04         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      5100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 18                      W  7         
DISPERSION            46 GEN GOOD               19 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S.
LIGHT WINDS. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO
MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-180830-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
326 AM EDT TUE MAY 17 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (-1)   42-47 (-1)   65-70        
RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (-9)   90-95 (+1)   37-42        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  9 G16                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  9         LGT/VAR      W  6         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           30           30           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.02         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5400                      5300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 17                      W  8         
DISPERSION            47 GEN GOOD               21 FAIR      
MAX LVORI             3                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER
50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO
MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-180830-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
326 AM EDT TUE MAY 17 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (-5)   43-48 (-1)   58-63        
RH % (24H TREND)      67-72 (+5)   93-98 (+4)   53-58        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  6                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           70           70           
PRECIP DURATION       8            3            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.39         0.18         0.09         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3400                      3700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  9                     SW  8        
DISPERSION            15 GEN POOR               15 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S
TO LOWER 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER
50S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO
LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-180830-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
326 AM EDT TUE MAY 17 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (-1)   43-48 (-1)   60-65        
RH % (24H TREND)      56-61 (-10)  89-94 (+5)   48-53        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  7                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           50           50           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.16         0.13         0.05         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      4100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 15                      W 10         
DISPERSION            34 FAIR                   24 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN
THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID
50S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO
MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-180830-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
326 AM EDT TUE MAY 17 2011 /226 AM CDT TUE MAY 17 2011/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (+2)   43-48 (-2)   63-68        
RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (-20)  85-90 (+4)   41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  9 G16                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  9        N  5         NW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.03         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      4900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 20                      W  8         
DISPERSION            67 GOOD                   27 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER
50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID
80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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