
741 
FNUS54 KMRX 150825
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
425 AM EDT SUN MAY 15 2011

.DISCUSSION...
UNSETTLED WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK WITH  
A CHANCE FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS INTO WEDNESDAY. UNSEASONABLY COOL 
TEMPERATURES ARE ALSO EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. 


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-160930-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
425 AM EDT SUN MAY 15 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (-10)  43-48 (-9)   56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      56-61 (+3)   95-100 (+3)  56-61        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  6                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G16     W  6         NW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           40           60           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.05         0.11         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      4600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 15                      NW  6        
DISPERSION            36 FAIR                   13 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE
EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. WEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-160930-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
425 AM EDT SUN MAY 15 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      60-65 (-11)  42-47 (-9)   56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      57-62 (+7)   95-100 (+3)  55-60        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  6                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G20     W  7 G15     NW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           40           60           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.03         0.08         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5400                      4800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 15                      NW  7        
DISPERSION            33 FAIR                   11 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER
60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. WEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-160930-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
425 AM EDT SUN MAY 15 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (-11)  42-47 (-6)   55-60        
RH % (24H TREND)      56-61 (+5)   95-100 (+11) 53-58        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  6                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G17     W  5         NW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           40           60           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.02         0.07         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5200                      4700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 14                      NW  7        
DISPERSION            24 FAIR                   10 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S
TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER
60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-160930-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
425 AM EDT SUN MAY 15 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (-9)   46-51 (-5)   56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      58-63 (+5)   94-99 (+10)  54-59        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  5                      NW  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8 G16    NW  5        NW  7        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           30           50           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.02         0.05         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      4000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 13                      NW 10        
DISPERSION            27 FAIR                   17 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S
TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO
LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-160930-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
425 AM EDT SUN MAY 15 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      62-67 (-8)   45-50 (-6)   56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      62-67 (+9)   95-100 (+9)  54-59        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  6                     NW  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 10        NW  6        NW  8 G15    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           30           50           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.02         0.05         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      4400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 15                     NW 13        
DISPERSION            35 FAIR                   24 FAIR      
MAX LVORI             4                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S
TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER
80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-160930-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
425 AM EDT SUN MAY 15 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      62-67 (-10)  44-49 (-9)   57-62        
RH % (24H TREND)      55-60 (+3)   95-100 (+7)  56-61        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  6                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G19     W  6         NW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           40           60           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.04         0.09         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      4000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 15                      NW  7        
DISPERSION            39 FAIR                   15 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO
LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S
TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-160930-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
425 AM EDT SUN MAY 15 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      60-65 (-10)  45-50 (-6)   56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      54-59 (-1)   95-100 (+11) 56-61        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  7 G15                  W  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G15     W  5         NW  7        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           40           60           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.04         0.09         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      3500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 15                      NW  9        
DISPERSION            38 FAIR                   17 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS NEAR 60. NORTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO
LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-160930-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
425 AM EDT SUN MAY 15 2011 /325 AM CDT SUN MAY 15 2011/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (-9)   46-51 (-5)   57-62        
RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (-4)   93-98 (+9)   52-57        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  7                      NW  7        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8        NW  5        NW  9 G16    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           30           50           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.03         0.05         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      3200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 15                      NW 13        
DISPERSION            35 FAIR                   22 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 50S. HIGHS NEAR 80. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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