
703 
FNUS54 KMRX 141902
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
300 PM EDT SAT MAY 14 2011

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION 
TONIGHT...BRINGING UNSEASONABLY COOL TEMPERATURES FOR THE NEXT 
SEVERAL DAYS. UNSETTLED WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY... 
WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-152000-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
300 PM EDT SAT MAY 14 2011

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (-6)   62-67 (-9)   46-51        57-62        
RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (-2)   50-55 (-3)   84-89        55-60        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        SW  5        W  5         NW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           50           50           50           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.09         0.06         0.11         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4600                      4700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 14                      NW 12        
DISPERSION                         31 FAIR                   26 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 
TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS NEAR 60. NORTH 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 
TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 
LOWER TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. WEST WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-152000-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
300 PM EDT SAT MAY 14 2011

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (-4)   62-67 (-9)   45-50        57-62        
RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (-6)   50-55 (0)    84-89        55-60        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  6                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         W  6         W  7         NW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           50           50           50           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.06         0.04         0.08         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      4900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 15                      NW 12        
DISPERSION                         25 FAIR                   21 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 
TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO 
LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 
TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 
60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. WEST WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-152000-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
300 PM EDT SAT MAY 14 2011

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (-6)   60-65 (-9)   44-49        55-60        
RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (-8)   50-55 (-1)   82-87        53-58        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  5                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7         W  6         W  5         NW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           40           50           50           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.04         0.04         0.07         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      4800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 14                      NW 12        
DISPERSION                         17 GEN POOR               17 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 
30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S 
TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN 
THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 
60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO 
UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO 
LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO LOWER 80S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-152000-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
300 PM EDT SAT MAY 14 2011

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (-6)   61-66 (-9)   46-51        56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (-7)   52-57 (-1)   81-86        54-59        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  5                      NW  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         NW  7        W  5         NW  7        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           30           40           40           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.04         0.04         0.05         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3800                      4100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 15                      NW 13        
DISPERSION                         22 FAIR                   23 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S. 
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S 
TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN 
THE LOWER TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. EAST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS NEAR 80. 
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 
80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-152000-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
300 PM EDT SAT MAY 14 2011

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (-4)   61-66 (-9)   46-51        56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (-9)   51-56 (-2)   82-87        54-59        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  6                      NW  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         NW  8 G16    NW  6        NW  8 G15    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           30           40           40           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.04         0.04         0.05         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4300                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 17                      NW 15        
DISPERSION                         31 FAIR                   28 FAIR      
MAX LVORI                          4                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S. 
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S 
TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN 
THE LOWER TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 
MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS NEAR 80. 
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 
80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-152000-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
300 PM EDT SAT MAY 14 2011

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (-6)   63-68 (-9)   47-52        58-63        
RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (-6)   50-55 (-2)   82-87        56-61        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  6                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         W  6         W  6         NW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           50           50           50           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.06         0.05         0.09         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      4100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 15                      NW 12        
DISPERSION                         34 FAIR                   26 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS NEAR 60. NORTH 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 
60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO
LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 
80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-152000-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
300 PM EDT SAT MAY 14 2011

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (-8)   61-66 (-9)   46-51        56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (-5)   52-57 (-3)   84-89        56-61        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  6                      W  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         W  6         W  5         NW  7        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           40           50           50           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.05         0.05         0.09         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3400                      3600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 16                      NW 13        
DISPERSION                         29 FAIR                   26 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S. 
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. 
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN 
THE MID 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS NEAR 80. 
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 
80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-152000-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
300 PM EDT SAT MAY 14 2011 /200 PM CDT SAT MAY 14 2011/

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (-7)   61-66 (-9)   47-52        56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (-7)   53-58 (-1)   85-90        53-58        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  7 G15                  NW  7        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         W  8 G15     W  6         NW  9 G16    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           30           40           40           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.04         0.04         0.05         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3100                      3300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 18                      NW 16        
DISPERSION                         29 FAIR                   29 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 
LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN 
THE MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S 
TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
70S TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS AROUND 80. SOUTHWEST 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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