
696 
FNUS54 KMRX 140815
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
415 AM EDT SAT MAY 14 2011

.DISCUSSION...
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL SLOWLY MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN 
APPALACHIAN REGION... INCREASING THE COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE WEEKEND...MAINLY DURING THE AFTERNOON AND 
EVENING HOURS. UNSETTLED WEATHER WILL CONTINUE INTO EARLY NEXT 
WEEK...ALONG WITH UNSEASONABLY COOL TEMPERATURES.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-150915-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
415 AM EDT SAT MAY 14 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      72-77 (-6)   51-56 (-5)   64-69        
RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (+1)   92-97 (+6)   47-52        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7        LGT/VAR      SW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           50           50           
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.38         0.05         0.09         
LAL                   4            3            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6100                      5400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 15                     W 14         
DISPERSION            55 GEN GOOD               41 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS NEAR 60.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S
TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S
TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-150915-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
415 AM EDT SAT MAY 14 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      70-75 (-6)   51-56 (-4)   62-67        
RH % (24H TREND)      54-59 (+5)   90-95 (+2)   49-54        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      W  6         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           50           50           
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.34         0.06         0.06         
LAL                   4            3            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6200                      5400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 12                     W 12         
DISPERSION            36 FAIR                   27 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S
TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S
TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-150915-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
415 AM EDT SAT MAY 14 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      69-74 (-6)   50-55 (-6)   60-65        
RH % (24H TREND)      54-59 (+4)   94-99 (+7)   49-54        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G16    W  6         W  7         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           40           40           
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.22         0.04         0.04         
LAL                   4            3            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6300                      5400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 16                     W 12         
DISPERSION            44 GEN GOOD               22 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S
TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-150915-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
415 AM EDT SAT MAY 14 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      72-77 (-6)   51-56 (-7)   61-66        
RH % (24H TREND)      54-59 (+4)   92-97 (+5)   49-54        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  6                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8        W  6         W  9 G16     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           30           30           
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.19         0.03         0.04         
LAL                   4            3            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5800                      4600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 17                     W 12         
DISPERSION            56 GEN GOOD               26 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S
TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE
60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-150915-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
415 AM EDT SAT MAY 14 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      72-77 (-5)   51-56 (-6)   61-66        
RH % (24H TREND)      57-62 (+7)   95-100 (+5)  50-55        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5                      NW  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8 G15    NW  6        W  9         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           30           30           
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.17         0.03         0.04         
LAL                   4            3            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6100                      4900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 17                     NW 14        
DISPERSION            57 GEN GOOD               31 FAIR      
MAX LVORI             4                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS NEAR 60.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS NEAR 60.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE
60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS NEAR 80.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-150915-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
415 AM EDT SAT MAY 14 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      73-78 (-6)   52-57 (-5)   65-70        
RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (+1)   90-95 (+4)   48-53        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        SW  5        W  7         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           50           50           
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.33         0.05         0.06         
LAL                   4            3            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5400                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 14                     W 13         
DISPERSION            48 GEN GOOD               38 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR 50.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S
TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE
60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO
LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-150915-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
415 AM EDT SAT MAY 14 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      71-76 (-8)   52-57 (-6)   63-68        
RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (-1)   93-98 (+7)   48-53        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8 G16    W  6         W  8         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           40           40           
PRECIP DURATION       3            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.26         0.03         0.05         
LAL                   4            3            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5600                      4800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 17                     W 13         
DISPERSION            66 GOOD                   40 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR 50.
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS NEAR 60.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-150915-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
415 AM EDT SAT MAY 14 2011 /315 AM CDT SAT MAY 14 2011/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      70-75 (-10)  52-57 (-5)   64-69        
RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (-2)   90-95 (+4)   46-51        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G17     NW  7        W  9 G16     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           30           30           
PRECIP DURATION       3            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.22         0.03         0.04         
LAL                   4            3            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5400                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 17                     W 15         
DISPERSION            62 GOOD                   42 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 50.
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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