
884 
FNUS54 KMRX 131849
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
250 PM EDT FRI MAY 13 2011

.DISCUSSION...
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE MID MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY WILL 
SLOWLY MOVE TOWARDS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION TONIGHT... 
INCREASING THE COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE 
WEEKEND...MAINLY DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. UNSETTLED 
WEATHER WILL CONTINUE INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK...ALONG WITH UNSEASONABLY 
COOL TEMPERATURES.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-141945-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
250 PM EDT FRI MAY 13 2011

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (-1)   73-78 (-5)   51-56        65-70        
RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (-2)   48-53 (-1)   90-95        51-56        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  6        W  5 G15     SW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           70           70           50           
PRECIP DURATION       3            3            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.35         0.06         0.06         
LAL                   4            4            4            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6200                      4900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 12                     W 14         
DISPERSION                         41 GEN GOOD               36 FAIR      

REMARKS...A FEW THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT MAY PRODUCE 
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S 
TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID TO 
UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS NEAR 60. WEST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 
MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 
60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-141945-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
250 PM EDT FRI MAY 13 2011

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (-2)   71-76 (-5)   50-55        63-68        
RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (+2)   49-54 (0)    90-95        52-57        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  7         W  7 G15     W  6         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           70           60           50           
PRECIP DURATION       3            3            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.38         0.07         0.05         
LAL                   4            4            4            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6300                      4900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 12                     W 15         
DISPERSION                         35 FAIR                   28 FAIR      

REMARKS...A FEW THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT MAY PRODUCE 
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S 
TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S 
TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-141945-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
250 PM EDT FRI MAY 13 2011

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (-4)   70-75 (-5)   49-54        62-67        
RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (+4)   49-54 (-1)   90-95        52-57        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5                     W  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW 10 G19    W  8 G15     W  7         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           70           60           40           
PRECIP DURATION       3            3            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.25         0.05         0.04         
LAL                   4            4            4            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6400                      4900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 14                     W 14         
DISPERSION                         41 GEN GOOD               21 FAIR      

REMARKS...A FEW THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT MAY PRODUCE 
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 
40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO
MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S. 
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S 
TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO 
UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO 
LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-141945-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
250 PM EDT FRI MAY 13 2011

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (-4)   71-76 (-7)   51-56        63-68        
RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (-4)   48-53 (-2)   90-95        51-56        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW 10 G17    W  8         W  9 G16     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           60           50           30           
PRECIP DURATION       3            3            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.18         0.04         0.04         
LAL                   4            4            4            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5700                      4100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 15                     W 13         
DISPERSION                         47 GEN GOOD               22 FAIR      

REMARKS...A FEW THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT MAY PRODUCE 
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S 
TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S. 
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 
LOWER TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 
60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO
LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-141945-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
250 PM EDT FRI MAY 13 2011

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (-4)   71-76 (-6)   50-55        63-68        
RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (-2)   48-53 (-2)   90-95        52-57        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  5                      NW  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW 10 G18    W  7         W  9         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           60           50           30           
PRECIP DURATION       3            3            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.20         0.05         0.04         
LAL                   4            4            3            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6200                      4400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 15                     W 15         
DISPERSION                         50 GEN GOOD               27 FAIR      
MAX LVORI                          4                         4            

REMARKS...A FEW THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT MAY PRODUCE 
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S 
TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 
LOWER TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S
TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S 
TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-141945-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
250 PM EDT FRI MAY 13 2011

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (-1)   75-80 (-4)   52-57        67-72        
RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (-3)   47-52 (-2)   90-95        50-55        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  8 G16    W  6         W  7         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           70           60           50           
PRECIP DURATION       3            3            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.33         0.05         0.05         
LAL                   4            4            4            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5100                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 13                     W 15         
DISPERSION                         38 FAIR                   38 FAIR      

REMARKS...A FEW THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT MAY PRODUCE 
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR 50. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. 
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID TO 
UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S 
TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S
TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-141945-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
250 PM EDT FRI MAY 13 2011

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (-2)   73-78 (-6)   52-57        65-70        
RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (-4)   47-52 (-3)   90-95        50-55        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5                     W  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  9 G18    W  7         W  8         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           70           60           40           
PRECIP DURATION       3            3            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.21         0.04         0.05         
LAL                   4            4            4            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5400                      4300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 15                     W 14         
DISPERSION                         52 GEN GOOD               38 FAIR      

REMARKS...A FEW THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT MAY PRODUCE 
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR 50. WEST 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 
40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 
LOWER TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 
60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO
LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-141945-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
250 PM EDT FRI MAY 13 2011 /150 PM CDT FRI MAY 13 2011/

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (-2)   73-78 (-7)   52-57        65-70        
RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (-5)   46-51 (-4)   87-92        48-53        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5 G16                 W  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W 10 G19     W  8 G16     W  9 G16     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           60           50           30           
PRECIP DURATION       3            3            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.13         0.04         0.04         
LAL                   4            4            3            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      4000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 16                      W 14         
DISPERSION                         54 GEN GOOD               33 FAIR      

REMARKS...A FEW THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT MAY PRODUCE 
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 50. 
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO 
MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 
60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 
60S TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID TO 
UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS NEAR 80. SOUTH 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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