
818 
FNUS54 KMRX 130830
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
430 AM EDT FRI MAY 13 2011

.DISCUSSION...
A TROUGH TRACKING OVER THE AREA BRINGING A CHANCE FOR SHOWER AND 
THUNDERSTORMS TODAY. A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL THEN SLOWLY DRIFT 
ACROSS THE REGION BY THE WEEKEND...BRINGING UNSETTLED WEATHER AND 
COOLER TEMPERATURES INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-140930-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
430 AM EDT FRI MAY 13 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      79-84 (-4)   56-61 (-2)   72-77        
RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (+4)   87-92 (+4)   49-54        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           70           70           
PRECIP DURATION       1            3            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.20         0.21         0.30         
LAL                   4            4            4            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6500                      4000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  7                      SW 16        
DISPERSION            26 FAIR                   26 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-140930-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
430 AM EDT FRI MAY 13 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (-3)   54-59 (-2)   71-76        
RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (+4)   90-95 (+7)   48-53        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           70           70           
PRECIP DURATION       1            3            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.12         0.20         0.35         
LAL                   4            4            4            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6900                      4100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  6                      SW 10        
DISPERSION            21 FAIR                   12 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-140930-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
430 AM EDT FRI MAY 13 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      75-80 (-7)   54-59 (-3)   70-75        
RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (+9)   90-95 (+11)  49-54        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         SW  5        SW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           70           70           
PRECIP DURATION       2            3            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.17         0.30         
LAL                   4            4            4            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6500                      4300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  7                      SW 16        
DISPERSION            21 FAIR                   17 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
MID 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-140930-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
430 AM EDT FRI MAY 13 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      79-84 (-7)   56-61 (-3)   70-75        
RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (+8)   90-95 (+2)   50-55        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8 G16    LGT/VAR      SW  7        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           70           70           
PRECIP DURATION       2            3            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.14         0.27         
LAL                   4            4            4            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5900                      4000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 10                      SW 16        
DISPERSION            33 FAIR                   27 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-140930-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
430 AM EDT FRI MAY 13 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      79-84 (-7)   55-60 (-4)   69-74        
RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (+13)  89-94 (0)    51-56        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8 G16    LGT/VAR      SW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           70           70           
PRECIP DURATION       2            3            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.15         0.29         
LAL                   4            4            4            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6600                      4100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 10                      SW 16        
DISPERSION            37 FAIR                   25 FAIR      
MAX LVORI             4                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-140930-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
430 AM EDT FRI MAY 13 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      81-86 (-4)   56-61 (-3)   73-78        
RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (+5)   89-94 (+8)   49-54        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           70           70           
PRECIP DURATION       1            3            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.17         0.19         0.33         
LAL                   4            4            4            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6300                      3800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  6                      SW 13        
DISPERSION            23 FAIR                   25 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR 50.
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS NEAR 70.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-140930-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
430 AM EDT FRI MAY 13 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      80-85 (-7)   57-62 (-2)   73-78        
RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (+9)   88-93 (+4)   51-56        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        LGT/VAR      SW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           70           70           
PRECIP DURATION       2            3            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.25         0.14         0.27         
LAL                   4            4            4            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6000                      3800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  7                     SW 16        
DISPERSION            29 FAIR                   37 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 50.
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-140930-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
430 AM EDT FRI MAY 13 2011 /330 AM CDT FRI MAY 13 2011/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      80-85 (-6)   57-62 (-2)   72-77        
RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (+9)   87-92 (0)    50-55        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7        LGT/VAR      W  6         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           70           70           
PRECIP DURATION       2            3            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.25         0.13         0.27         
LAL                   4            4            4            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5700                      3900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 12                     SW 16        
DISPERSION            47 GEN GOOD               37 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 50.
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO
MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS NEAR 70. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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