
422 
FNUS54 KMRX 121829
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
229 PM EDT THU MAY 12 2011

.DISCUSSION...
A NEARLY STATIONARY FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL PERSIST OVER SOUTHWEST 
VIRGINIA AND NORTHEAST TENNESSEE THROUGH FRIDAY...WITH SCATTERED 
THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING NEAR IT EACH DAY. A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM 
WILL THEN SLOWLY DRIFT ACROSS THE REGION BY THE WEEKEND...BRINGING 
UNSETTLED WEATHER AND COOLER TEMPERATURES INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-131930-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
229 PM EDT THU MAY 12 2011

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (+2)   77-82 (-6)   55-60        72-77        
RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (-9)   45-50 (+5)   90-95        51-56        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           60           50           70           
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.14         0.39         0.14         0.28         
LAL                   3            4            3            4            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6900                      7200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 10                      SW 14        
DISPERSION                         42 GEN GOOD               64 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS NEAR 70. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-131930-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
229 PM EDT THU MAY 12 2011

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (+2)   77-82 (-3)   54-59        70-75        
RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (-9)   44-49 (+3)   91-96        50-55        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           60           50           70           
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.34         0.12         0.34         
LAL                   3            4            3            4            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7000                      7300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 12                      SW 10        
DISPERSION                         41 GEN GOOD               43 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR 50.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-131930-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
229 PM EDT THU MAY 12 2011

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (+1)   76-81 (-6)   54-59        70-75        
RH % (24H TREND)      75-80 (-14)  43-48 (+7)   90-95        51-56        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  5         LGT/VAR      SW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           60           50           70           
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.21         0.16         0.44         
LAL                   3            4            3            4            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7000                      7300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 10                      SW 15        
DISPERSION                         36 FAIR                   54 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-131930-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
229 PM EDT THU MAY 12 2011

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      60-65 (+1)   79-84 (-7)   56-61        71-76        
RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (-9)   41-46 (+3)   88-93        52-57        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  5         LGT/VAR      SW  7        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           50           50           70           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.17         0.15         0.49         
LAL                   3            4            3            4            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7000                      7200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 10                      SW 16        
DISPERSION                         42 GEN GOOD               72 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
NEAR 50. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-131930-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
229 PM EDT THU MAY 12 2011

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (+1)   79-84 (-7)   55-60        70-75        
RH % (24H TREND)      77-82 (-16)  42-47 (+6)   89-94        55-60        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  5        LGT/VAR      SW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           50           50           70           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.14         0.12         0.51         
LAL                   3            3            3            4            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7000                      7300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 10                      SW 16        
DISPERSION                         44 GEN GOOD               70 GOOD      
MAX LVORI                          3                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
NEAR 50. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S
TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-131930-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
229 PM EDT THU MAY 12 2011

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      60-65 (+2)   79-84 (-6)   56-61        72-77        
RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (-7)   42-47 (+6)   90-95        50-55        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           60           50           70           
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.31         0.14         0.35         
LAL                   3            4            3            4            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6900                      7000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 12                      SW 14        
DISPERSION                         52 GEN GOOD               65 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS NEAR 70. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR 50.
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-131930-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
229 PM EDT THU MAY 12 2011

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (+1)   79-84 (-8)   57-62        73-78        
RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (-11)  43-48 (+9)   88-93        50-55        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  6        LGT/VAR      SW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           60           50           70           
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.32         0.14         0.43         
LAL                   3            4            3            4            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6900                      7000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 10                      SW 15        
DISPERSION                         53 GEN GOOD               77 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S
TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-131930-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
229 PM EDT THU MAY 12 2011 /129 PM CDT THU MAY 12 2011/

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (+1)   80-85 (-6)   58-63        73-78        
RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (-7)   43-48 (+8)   84-89        51-56        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  5        LGT/VAR      W  6         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           60           50           70           
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.31         0.15         0.48         
LAL                   3            4            3            4            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6900                      7100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 10                      SW 15        
DISPERSION                         53 GEN GOOD               80 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS NEAR 70. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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