
020 
FNUS54 KMRX 120645
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
245 AM EDT THU MAY 12 2011

.DISCUSSION...
A NEARLY STATIONARY FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL PERSIST OVER SOUTHWEST 
VIRGINIA AND NORTHEAST TENNESSEE THROUGH FRIDAY...WITH SCATTERED 
THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING NEAR IT EACH DAY. A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM 
WILL THEN SLOWLY DRIFT ACROSS THE REGION BY THE WEEKEND...BRINGING 
UNSETTLED WEATHER AND COOLER TEMPERATURES INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-130745-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
245 AM EDT THU MAY 12 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      83-88 (0)    58-63 (+1)   77-82        
RH % (24H TREND)      36-41 (-7)   85-90 (-9)   45-50        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           40           60           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.13         0.22         
LAL                   3            3            4            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6900                      5600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  7                      SW 10        
DISPERSION            29 FAIR                   33 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-130745-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
245 AM EDT THU MAY 12 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      80-85 (-2)   56-61 (+1)   77-82        
RH % (24H TREND)      36-41 (-7)   85-90 (-9)   44-49        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        S  7         LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           40           60           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.12         0.30         
LAL                   3            3            4            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7300                      6400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  7                      S 13         
DISPERSION            30 FAIR                   39 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS
IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-130745-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
245 AM EDT THU MAY 12 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      82-87 (0)    58-63 (+1)   76-81        
RH % (24H TREND)      32-37 (-11)  75-80 (-14)  43-48        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           40           50           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.13         0.23         
LAL                   2            3            3            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7400                      7000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  8                      S 17         
DISPERSION            29 FAIR                   58 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-130745-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
245 AM EDT THU MAY 12 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      86-91 (+1)   60-65 (+1)   79-84        
RH % (24H TREND)      35-40 (-6)   78-83 (-9)   41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           50           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       8 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.08         0.22         
LAL                   1            3            3            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6900                      6500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  7                     S 20         
DISPERSION            31 FAIR                   73 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH
EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS NEAR 70. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-130745-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
245 AM EDT THU MAY 12 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      86-91 (+2)   59-64 (+1)   79-84        
RH % (24H TREND)      33-38 (-9)   77-82 (-16)  42-47        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           50           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       8 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.07         0.21         
LAL                   1            3            3            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7600                      7300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  7                     SW 18        
DISPERSION            31 FAIR                   82 GOOD      
MAX LVORI             4                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS
IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS NEAR 70.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-130745-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
245 AM EDT THU MAY 12 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      85-90 (0)    59-64 (+1)   79-84        
RH % (24H TREND)      32-37 (-9)   85-90 (-7)   42-47        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           40           50           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.13         0.20         
LAL                   3            3            4            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6100                      4300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  7                      SW 10        
DISPERSION            27 FAIR                   26 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS
IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-130745-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
245 AM EDT THU MAY 12 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      87-92 (+1)   61-66 (+1)   79-84        
RH % (24H TREND)      31-36 (-10)  78-83 (-11)  43-48        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           40           50           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.11         0.20         
LAL                   2            3            3            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5900                      5700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  8                     S 13         
DISPERSION            31 FAIR                   51 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH
EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS
IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-130745-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
245 AM EDT THU MAY 12 2011 /145 AM CDT THU MAY 12 2011/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      86-91 (-1)   61-66 (+1)   80-85        
RH % (24H TREND)      33-38 (-5)   78-83 (-7)   43-48        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           50           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       8 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.07         0.28         
LAL                   1            3            3            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6200                      5700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  8                     SW 13        
DISPERSION            36 FAIR                   52 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH
EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS
IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 50.
HIGHS NEAR 70. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO
MID 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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