
036 
FNUS54 KMRX 110652
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
252 AM EDT WED MAY 11 2011

.DISCUSSION...
A STATIONARY FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL LINGER OVER SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA 
AND NORTHEAST TENNESSEE THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...HELPING TO TRIGGER 
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN 
REGION. SOME STORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE EACH AFTERNOON AND EVENING... 
BRINGING THE POSSIBILITY OF LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. A LOW 
PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL THEN SLOWLY MOVE THROUGH THE REGION BY THE END 
OF THE WEEK...BRINGING UNSETTLED WEATHER AND COOLER TEMPERATURES 
THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-120800-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
252 AM EDT WED MAY 11 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      81-86 (+1)   60-65 (+7)   81-86        
RH % (24H TREND)      38-43 (-3)   83-88 (-7)   39-44        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           30           40           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.15         0.08         0.13         
LAL                   3            3            3            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    8300                      7800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 12                     W  8         
DISPERSION            65 GOOD                   40 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING
SOUTH LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-120800-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
252 AM EDT WED MAY 11 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      79-84 (+1)   57-62 (+5)   77-82        
RH % (24H TREND)      37-42 (-6)   89-94 (-6)   43-48        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           30           40           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.20         0.06         0.15         
LAL                   3            3            3            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    9100                      7400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 13                     W  9         
DISPERSION            70 GOOD                   38 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-120800-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
252 AM EDT WED MAY 11 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      81-86 (+3)   57-62 (+3)   77-82        
RH % (24H TREND)      31-36 (-12)  83-88 (-8)   44-49        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     10           20           30           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM        CONTINUING   8 AM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM        CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.01         0.12         
LAL                   1            2            3            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    8000                      7200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  7                      W  8         
DISPERSION            32 FAIR                   30 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 70S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-120800-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
252 AM EDT WED MAY 11 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      85-90 (+3)   59-64 (+3)   81-86        
RH % (24H TREND)      34-39 (-8)   81-86 (-12)  43-48        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 AM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.10         
LAL                   1            1            3            
LASI                  4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7500                      7000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  5                      W  6         
DISPERSION            20 GEN POOR               26 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-120800-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
252 AM EDT WED MAY 11 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      85-90 (+4)   60-65 (+4)   81-86        
RH % (24H TREND)      33-38 (-2)   78-83 (-17)  46-51        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 AM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.11         
LAL                   1            1            3            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    8600                      7500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  6                     W  7         
DISPERSION            31 FAIR                   32 FAIR      
MAX LVORI             4                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-120800-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
252 AM EDT WED MAY 11 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      84-89 (+3)   59-64 (+4)   83-88        
RH % (24H TREND)      33-38 (-8)   90-95 (-3)   38-43        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           40           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.12         0.04         0.14         
LAL                   3            3            3            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7100                      5900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  9                     W  8         
DISPERSION            44 GEN GOOD               30 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-120800-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
252 AM EDT WED MAY 11 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      86-91 (+3)   60-65 (+2)   84-89        
RH % (24H TREND)      30-35 (-13)  84-89 (-1)   36-41        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 AM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.10         
LAL                   1            1            3            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6700                      6200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  7                      W  7         
DISPERSION            35 FAIR                   29 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR 60. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-120800-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
252 AM EDT WED MAY 11 2011 /152 AM CDT WED MAY 11 2011/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      88-93 (+4)   60-65 (+1)   85-90        
RH % (24H TREND)      31-36 (-11)  86-91 (-1)   37-42        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 AM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.06         
LAL                   1            1            3            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6600                      6400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  6                      SW  6        
DISPERSION            26 FAIR                   28 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS NEAR 80. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 70S.
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS NEAR 70. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

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