
276 
FNUS54 KMRX 100706
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
306 AM EDT TUE MAY 10 2011

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL LINGER ACROSS PARTS OF THE REGION 
THROUGH WEDNESDAY.  DAYTIME HEATING AND PASSING WEAK UPPER LEVEL 
DISTURBANCES WILL HELP TO GENERATE SCATTERED SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS.  A FEW OF THE STORMS COULD BE STRONG TO SEVERE... 
ESPECIALLY ALONG THE NORTHERN PARTS OF THE CUMBERLAND PLATEAU...AND 
FROM AROUND KNOXVILLE NORTHEAST THROUGH THE TRI CITIES AREA. 
 


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-110815-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
306 AM EDT TUE MAY 10 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (+1)   58-63 (+6)   80-85        
RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (+9)   88-93 (+12)  37-42        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           50           30           
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.30         0.42         0.25         
LAL                   4            4            3            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7600                      8800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 13                      NW 10        
DISPERSION            59 GEN GOOD               60 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-110815-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
306 AM EDT TUE MAY 10 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      76-81 (+1)   56-61 (+5)   78-83        
RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (+10)  90-95 (+14)  39-44        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  7 G15    SE  5        LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           60           30           
PRECIP DURATION       2            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.26         0.38         0.15         
LAL                   4            4            3            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7400                      8400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 13                      NW  9        
DISPERSION            51 GEN GOOD               46 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-110815-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
306 AM EDT TUE MAY 10 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      78-83 (+2)   56-61 (+3)   78-83        
RH % (24H TREND)      37-42 (+5)   89-94 (+13)  34-39        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         W  5         LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           30           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   2 PM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.01         0.01         
LAL                   3            3            2            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7200                      6700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 10                      NW  7        
DISPERSION            37 FAIR                   21 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 70S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-110815-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
306 AM EDT TUE MAY 10 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      82-87 (+1)   56-61 (0)    83-88        
RH % (24H TREND)      39-44 (+2)   95-100 (+11) 34-39        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM                                   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING                             
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   3            1            1            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6000                      7000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  8                      NW  5        
DISPERSION            27 FAIR                   19 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER
60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-110815-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
306 AM EDT TUE MAY 10 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      82-87 (0)    54-59 (-1)   83-88        
RH % (24H TREND)      39-44 (+5)   95-100 (+9)  34-39        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM                     
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.01         0.00         
LAL                   3            3            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6800                      8000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  8                      NW  7        
DISPERSION            31 FAIR                   35 FAIR      
MAX LVORI             4                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-110815-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
306 AM EDT TUE MAY 10 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      81-86 (+2)   57-62 (+4)   83-88        
RH % (24H TREND)      38-43 (+7)   94-99 (+11)  34-39        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        S  5         LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           40           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.16         0.19         0.08         
LAL                   4            4            3            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6600                      7800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  9                      NW  8        
DISPERSION            40 FAIR                   43 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR 60. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-110815-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
306 AM EDT TUE MAY 10 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      82-87 (+1)   59-64 (0)    85-90        
RH % (24H TREND)      38-43 (+4)   87-92 (+5)   33-38        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         SW  6 G17    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           30           10           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   2 PM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM        CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.01         0.01         
LAL                   3            3            1            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6000                      6600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  9                      NW  6        
DISPERSION            39 FAIR                   24 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR 60. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-110815-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
306 AM EDT TUE MAY 10 2011 /206 AM CDT TUE MAY 10 2011/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      85-90 (+1)   59-64 (-1)   87-92        
RH % (24H TREND)      36-41 (-1)   91-96 (+5)   31-36        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5400                      6900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 10                     W  3         
DISPERSION            36 FAIR                   19 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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