
110 
FNUS54 KMRX 070821
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
421 AM EDT SAT MAY 7 2011

.DISCUSSION...
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT EAST ACROSS THE AREA TODAY. AN 
UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL BRING INCREASING CLOUDS...WITH A CHANCE 
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY TONIGHT. 

VAZ001-002-005-006-008-080930-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
421 AM EDT SAT MAY 7 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      66-71 (+5)   49-54 (+10)  71-76        
RH % (24H TREND)      31-36 (-9)   85-90 (+4)   41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           60           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            3            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.35         0.05         
LAL                   3            4            3            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7600                      7600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 12                      W 13         
DISPERSION            55 GEN GOOD               62 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST EARLY IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-080930-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
421 AM EDT SAT MAY 7 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      65-70 (+5)   46-51 (+9)   70-75        
RH % (24H TREND)      30-35 (-10)  86-91 (-2)   40-45        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7 G15     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           50           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.20         0.05         
LAL                   3            4            2            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    8300                      7200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 10                      W 17         
DISPERSION            52 GEN GOOD               66 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. COOLER. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO
MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-080930-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
421 AM EDT SAT MAY 7 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      66-71 (+6)   46-51 (+8)   72-77        
RH % (24H TREND)      25-30 (-9)   89-94 (0)    38-43        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  7 G15    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7         LGT/VAR      W  7         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           30           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.07         0.05         
LAL                   2            3            2            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7400                      6600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 10                      W 16         
DISPERSION            40 FAIR                   49 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID
80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 80S. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO
MID 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-080930-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
421 AM EDT SAT MAY 7 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      72-77 (+6)   48-53 (+8)   77-82        
RH % (24H TREND)      28-33 (-7)   90-95 (+1)   39-44        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        LGT/VAR      W  6         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           20           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       8 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.08         
LAL                   1            3            2            
LASI                  5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6800                      5900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  9                     W 15         
DISPERSION            37 FAIR                   48 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST EARLY IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO
MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID
70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-080930-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
421 AM EDT SAT MAY 7 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      73-78 (+6)   47-52 (+7)   78-83        
RH % (24H TREND)      26-31 (-5)   90-95 (+2)   37-42        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7         LGT/VAR      W  7         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           20           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       8 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.06         
LAL                   1            2            2            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7800                      7100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 10                      W 16         
DISPERSION            48 GEN GOOD               66 GOOD      
MAX LVORI             4                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. NOT AS WARM. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-080930-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
421 AM EDT SAT MAY 7 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      69-74 (+5)   49-54 (+10)  75-80        
RH % (24H TREND)      28-33 (-9)   88-93 (0)    38-43        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           50           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.26         0.06         
LAL                   3            4            3            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6900                      6400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 10                      W 14         
DISPERSION            47 GEN GOOD               57 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID
80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-080930-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
421 AM EDT SAT MAY 7 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      71-76 (+6)   51-56 (+10)  77-82        
RH % (24H TREND)      29-34 (-7)   89-94 (+5)   39-44        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           40           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.15         0.05         
LAL                   3            4            2            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6700                      5900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 12                     W 13         
DISPERSION            54 GEN GOOD               53 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. WEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO
MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID
70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-080930-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
421 AM EDT SAT MAY 7 2011 /321 AM CDT SAT MAY 7 2011/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      73-78 (+5)   52-57 (+9)   79-84        
RH % (24H TREND)      27-32 (-7)   89-94 (+7)   39-44        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        LGT/VAR      W  6         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     10           20           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.02         0.06         
LAL                   1            3            2            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6500                      5400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 10                     W 15         
DISPERSION            49 GEN GOOD               56 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID
70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TG/TD

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