
934 
FNUS54 KMRX 060946
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
546 AM EDT FRI MAY 6 2011

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION TODAY... 
BRINGING A CHANCE OF LIGHT SHOWERS. MORE WEAK DISTURBANCES IN A 
NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT...WILL KEEP A CHANCE OF SHOWERS OVER THE 
WEEKEND. 

VAZ001-002-005-006-008-071100-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
546 AM EDT FRI MAY 6 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (+2)   41-46 (+4)   68-73        
RH % (24H TREND)      36-41 (+8)   88-93 (+3)   30-35        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  8 G18                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G18     LGT/VAR      SW  7 G15    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            30           
PRECIP DURATION       2                         1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                      2 PM         
PRECIP END            8 PM                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.00         0.03         
LAL                   1            1            3            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    8400                      7700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 23                     W  9         
DISPERSION            124 VERY GOOD             44 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING
TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH
SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO
MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-071100-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
546 AM EDT FRI MAY 6 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      60-65 (+1)   38-43 (+3)   66-71        
RH % (24H TREND)      36-41 (+8)   89-94 (+4)   28-33        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  7 G15                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G15     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           0            30           
PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                      2 PM         
PRECIP END            8 PM                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            3            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    8400                      8400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 22                     NW  8        
DISPERSION            105 VERY GOOD             38 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID
80S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO
MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-071100-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
546 AM EDT FRI MAY 6 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      60-65 (+5)   38-43 (+1)   67-72        
RH % (24H TREND)      30-35 (+3)   83-88 (+3)   23-28        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  8 G15                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G16     W  5         LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            20           
PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                      2 PM         
PRECIP END            8 PM                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            2            
LASI                  3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    8400                      7500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 23                      NW  3        
DISPERSION            104 VERY GOOD             15 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID
80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO
MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-071100-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
546 AM EDT FRI MAY 6 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      66-71 (+4)   40-45 (+1)   72-77        
RH % (24H TREND)      32-37 (+6)   84-89 (+9)   26-31        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  7                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G16     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   
PRECIP END            2 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    8400                      6900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 21                      W  3         
DISPERSION            115 VERY GOOD             14 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO
MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO
LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-071100-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
546 AM EDT FRI MAY 6 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      67-72 (+4)   40-45 (+1)   73-78        
RH % (24H TREND)      27-32 (+1)   84-89 (+9)   21-26        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  6                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9         LGT/VAR      SW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   
PRECIP END            2 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    8600                      7900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 21                      NW  5        
DISPERSION            113 VERY GOOD             23 FAIR      
MAX LVORI             4                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID
80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-071100-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
546 AM EDT FRI MAY 6 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (+3)   40-45 (+2)   70-75        
RH % (24H TREND)      34-39 (+6)   92-97 (+9)   28-33        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  6 G15                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G16     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           0            20           
PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                      2 PM         
PRECIP END            8 PM                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            3            
LASI                  3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    8200                      7000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 23                     W  5         
DISPERSION            133 VERY GOOD             23 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST EARLY IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID
80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-071100-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
546 AM EDT FRI MAY 6 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      65-70 (+3)   42-47 (+2)   71-76        
RH % (24H TREND)      34-39 (+6)   84-89 (+3)   29-34        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  6                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            20           
PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                      2 PM         
PRECIP END            8 PM                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            3            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    8200                      6800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 21                      SW  5        
DISPERSION            128 VERY GOOD             20 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO
MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER
80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-071100-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
546 AM EDT FRI MAY 6 2011 /446 AM CDT FRI MAY 6 2011/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      68-73 (+5)   43-48 (+1)   74-79        
RH % (24H TREND)      32-37 (+6)   84-89 (+5)   27-32        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  5                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            10           
PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                      2 PM         
PRECIP END            2 PM                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    8100                      6600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 21                      SW  5        
DISPERSION            127 VERY GOOD             21 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TG/TD

