
787 
FNUS54 KMRX 051833
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
233 PM EDT THU MAY 5 2011

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE IN ON FRIDAY WITH A CHANCE OF LIGHT 
SHOWERS.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-061945-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
233 PM EDT THU MAY 5 2011

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (+5)   61-66 (-1)   42-47        69-74        
RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (-3)   40-45 (+12)  85-90        30-35        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  8         W  6         SW  7        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           0            30           
PRECIP DURATION                    3                         1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM                      2 PM         
PRECIP END                         8 PM                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.08         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            3            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 8400                      7800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 23                     W 12         
DISPERSION                         124 VERY GOOD             60 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER
80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID
80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER
80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-061945-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
233 PM EDT THU MAY 5 2011

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (+8)   59-64 (-1)   39-44        67-72        
RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (-12)  41-46 (+13)  87-92        29-34        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  8 G15     W  8 G16     W  6         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           0            30           
PRECIP DURATION                    2                         1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM                      2 PM         
PRECIP END                         8 PM                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.06         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            3            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 8400                      7200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 22                     NW 13        
DISPERSION                         105 VERY GOOD             51 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH INCREASING TO 5 TO 15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID
80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO
MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER
70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-061945-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
233 PM EDT THU MAY 5 2011

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (+9)   60-65 (-1)   38-43        68-73        
RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (-12)  41-46 (+14)  83-88        24-29        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  6 G15                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  8 G16     W  6 G15     W  7 G15     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                    1                         1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM                      2 PM         
PRECIP END                         8 PM                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            3            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 8400                      6300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 23                      W  9         
DISPERSION                         104 VERY GOOD             26 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 20 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID
80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO
MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-061945-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
233 PM EDT THU MAY 5 2011

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (+9)   65-70 (-1)   40-45        72-77        
RH % (24H TREND)      76-81 (-9)   38-43 (+12)  81-86        29-34        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  7         LGT/VAR      SW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                    1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM                                   
PRECIP END                         2 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 8400                      5900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 21                      W  8         
DISPERSION                         115 VERY GOOD             27 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO
MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO
LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-061945-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
233 PM EDT THU MAY 5 2011

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (+9)   66-71 (+1)   39-44        73-78        
RH % (24H TREND)      75-80 (-8)   36-41 (+10)  79-84        25-30        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  7         NW  5 G15    SW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                    1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM                                   
PRECIP END                         2 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 8600                      6800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 21                      W 10         
DISPERSION                         113 VERY GOOD             40 FAIR      
MAX LVORI                          3                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID
80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER
70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-061945-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
233 PM EDT THU MAY 5 2011

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (+7)   64-69 (+1)   41-46        71-76        
RH % (24H TREND)      80-85 (-11)  37-42 (+9)   90-95        28-33        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  9 G16     W  5         SW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           0            30           
PRECIP DURATION                    1                         1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM                      2 PM         
PRECIP END                         8 PM                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.06         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            3            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 8200                      6300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 23                     W  9         
DISPERSION                         133 VERY GOOD             37 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID
80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER
80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-061945-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
233 PM EDT THU MAY 5 2011

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (+8)   65-70 (+1)   42-47        72-77        
RH % (24H TREND)      77-82 (-8)   40-45 (+12)  86-91        28-33        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  7         LGT/VAR      SW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                    1                         1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM                      2 PM         
PRECIP END                         8 PM                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.00         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            3            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 8200                      5500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 21                      W  8         
DISPERSION                         128 VERY GOOD             32 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO
MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER
80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-061945-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
233 PM EDT THU MAY 5 2011 /133 PM CDT THU MAY 5 2011/

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (+8)   66-71 (-1)   41-46        75-80        
RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (-1)   37-42 (+11)  91-96        27-32        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  7         LGT/VAR      SW  7        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                    1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM                                   
PRECIP END                         2 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 8100                      5200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 21                      SW  9        
DISPERSION                         127 VERY GOOD             34 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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