
429 
FNUS54 KMRX 041824
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
224 PM EDT WED MAY 4 2011

.DISCUSSION...
COLDER AIR WILL CONTINUE TO FILTER INTO THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN 
REGION TONIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE REGION WITH 
UNSEASONABLY COLD CONDITIONS EXPECTED.  AREAS OF FROST ARE POSSIBLE 
BY SUNRISE.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-051930-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
224 PM EDT WED MAY 4 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (-8)   62-67 (+11)  41-46        61-66        
RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (-9)   23-28 (-21)  77-82        36-41        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  7 G16    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  5 G16     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  9 G18     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            50           
PRECIP DURATION                                              1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 8 AM         
PRECIP END                                                   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7300                      9800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  9                      SW 29        
DISPERSION                         40 FAIR                   189 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER
80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-051930-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
224 PM EDT WED MAY 4 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (-9)   60-65 (+11)  39-44        60-65        
RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (-6)   23-28 (-23)  74-79        35-40        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  6 G16    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6 G19    NW  5        LGT/VAR      W  9 G19     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            40           
PRECIP DURATION                                              1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 8 AM         
PRECIP END                                                   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7300                      10200        
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  9                      W 29         
DISPERSION                         35 FAIR                   176 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR 50. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO
MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER
80S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-051930-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
224 PM EDT WED MAY 4 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (-7)   61-66 (+10)  40-45        62-67        
RH % (24H TREND)      80-85 (-12)  23-28 (-19)  73-78        32-37        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  8 G18    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  6 G20     LGT/VAR      SW  5        W  9 G18     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            30           
PRECIP DURATION                                              1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 8 AM         
PRECIP END                                                   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7200                      10400        
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE  6                     W 29         
DISPERSION                         19 GEN POOR               168 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER
80S. EAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-051930-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
224 PM EDT WED MAY 4 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (-7)   66-71 (+9)   41-46        66-71        
RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (-12)  21-26 (-16)  79-84        34-39        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  7 G16    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  6 G18     NW  5        S  5         NW  8 G16    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                                              1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 8 AM         
PRECIP END                                                   2 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7100                      10800        
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                E  5                      W 26         
DISPERSION                         19 GEN POOR               185 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID
50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO
80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO
MID 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-051930-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
224 PM EDT WED MAY 4 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (-11)  68-73 (+12)  40-45        66-71        
RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (-8)   21-26 (-16)  79-84        31-36        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  7 G15    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  5 G16     SW  5        LGT/VAR      NW  8 G16    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                                              1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 8 AM         
PRECIP END                                                   2 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7200                      11800        
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                E  3                      W 26         
DISPERSION                         15 GEN POOR               195 VERY GOOD
MAX LVORI                          3                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. NORTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST EARLY IN
THE AFTERNOON. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER
80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-051930-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
224 PM EDT WED MAY 4 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (-8)   65-70 (+11)  39-44        64-69        
RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (-12)  22-27 (-19)  81-86        33-38        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  6 G16    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  9 G17     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            40           
PRECIP DURATION                                              1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 8 AM         
PRECIP END                                                   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7200                      9500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE  7                     W 30         
DISPERSION                         33 FAIR                   196 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO
LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-051930-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
224 PM EDT WED MAY 4 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (-5)   66-71 (+11)  42-47        66-71        
RH % (24H TREND)      77-82 (-19)  21-26 (-18)  78-83        32-37        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  6 G15     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            30           
PRECIP DURATION                                              1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                                   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7000                      9300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE  6                     W 29         
DISPERSION                         30 FAIR                   191 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID
80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-051930-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
224 PM EDT WED MAY 4 2011 /124 PM CDT WED MAY 4 2011/

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (-4)   67-72 (+8)   43-48        67-72        
RH % (24H TREND)      75-80 (-21)  21-26 (-13)  81-86        32-37        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  7 G16    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  5 G16     LGT/VAR      S  5         NW  8 G16    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                                              1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                                   2 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               5                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6800                      10000        
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                E  7                      W 26         
DISPERSION                         32 FAIR                   189 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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