
038 
FNUS54 KMRX 040807
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
407 AM EDT WED MAY 4 2011

.DISCUSSION...
COLDER AIR WILL CONTINUE TO FILTER INTO THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN 
REGION TODAY...BEHIND THE PASSAGE OF A COLD FRONT. A STRAY SHOWER IS 
POSSIBLE ACROSS NORTHEAST TN AND SOUTHWEST VA AS AN UPPER LOW PULLS 
AWAY FRONT THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON.  OTHERWISE...HIGH PRESSURE 
WILL BUILD OVER THE REGION BY TONIGHT...WITH UNSEASONABLY COLD 
CONDITIONS EXPECTED.  SCATTERED AREAS OF FROST ARE POSSIBLE BY 
SUNRISE ON THURSDAY.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-050915-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
407 AM EDT WED MAY 4 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (-16)  33-38 (-6)   63-68        
RH % (24H TREND)      37-42 (-14)  85-90 (-9)   23-28        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  6                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  9 G17    N  5 G15     LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   
PRECIP END            8 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7500                      6900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 15                     N 13         
DISPERSION            69 GOOD                   51 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S.
LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S
TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S
TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-050915-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
407 AM EDT WED MAY 4 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (-15)  31-36 (-7)   61-66        
RH % (24H TREND)      38-43 (-12)  88-93 (-3)   24-29        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  7 G15                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 11 G18    NW  6 G18    NW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   
PRECIP END            8 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7500                      6900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 16                     N 13         
DISPERSION            67 GOOD                   45 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. LIGHT
WINDS BECOMING SOUTH LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S
TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
70S TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-050915-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
407 AM EDT WED MAY 4 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (-12)  33-38 (-5)   62-67        
RH % (24H TREND)      35-40 (-16)  80-85 (-9)   25-30        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  6 G16                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 11 G19    N  6 G18     LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     10           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   
PRECIP END            2 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7400                      6800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 15                     NE 12        
DISPERSION            56 GEN GOOD               37 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID
40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID
80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-050915-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
407 AM EDT WED MAY 4 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      60-65 (-9)   36-41 (-5)   67-72        
RH % (24H TREND)      31-36 (-25)  78-83 (-14)  23-28        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  7 G16                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 11        N  6 G16     NW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7200                      6700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 16                     NE  9        
DISPERSION            74 GOOD                   39 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S.
LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO
MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO
80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-050915-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
407 AM EDT WED MAY 4 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (-12)  35-40 (-9)   69-74        
RH % (24H TREND)      32-37 (-21)  78-83 (-9)   22-27        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  7 G16                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 11 G18    N  5 G16     SW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7400                      6800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 18                     NE  8        
DISPERSION            80 GOOD                   31 FAIR      
MAX LVORI             3                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. LIGHT
WINDS. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID
80S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-050915-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
407 AM EDT WED MAY 4 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (-14)  34-39 (-6)   66-71        
RH % (24H TREND)      35-40 (-13)  83-88 (-9)   23-28        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  6                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 10 G17    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   
PRECIP END            8 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7400                      6800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 15                     NE 12        
DISPERSION            75 GOOD                   52 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S.
LIGHT WINDS. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S
TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID
80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-050915-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
407 AM EDT WED MAY 4 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (-9)   36-41 (-3)   67-72        
RH % (24H TREND)      33-38 (-23)  77-82 (-14)  22-27        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  7 G16                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 10        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7200                      6600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 15                     NE 13        
DISPERSION            79 GOOD                   57 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. LIGHT WINDS
BECOMING SOUTHWEST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-050915-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
407 AM EDT WED MAY 4 2011 /307 AM CDT WED MAY 4 2011/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      62-67 (-3)   37-42 (-2)   68-73        
RH % (24H TREND)      30-35 (-30)  75-80 (-15)  23-28        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  7 G17                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 11 G18    N  5         LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7000                      6400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 20                     NE 13        
DISPERSION            96 GOOD                   55 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. WEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO
MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

