
085 
FNUS54 KMRX 040217 AAA
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
1017 PM EDT TUE MAY 3 2011

.DISCUSSION...
COLDER AIR WILL MOVE INTO THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION OVERNIGHT... 
BEHIND THE PASSAGE OF A COLD FRONT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN BUILD 
OVER THE REGION BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CREATING UNSEASONABLY COLD 
CONDITIONS WITH SCATTERED AREAS OF FROST BY SUNRISE ON THURSDAY.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-050330-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
1017 PM EDT TUE MAY 3 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (-17)  53-58 (-18)  32-37        64-69        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+8)  40-45 (-11)  87-92        26-31        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  5                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        NW 10 G18    NW  7 G15    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           30           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       4            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.30         0.05         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6700                      6300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 14                     N 12         
DISPERSION                         56 GEN GOOD               44 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER
80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER
80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-050330-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1017 PM EDT TUE MAY 3 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (-16)  51-56 (-17)  32-37        63-68        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+1)  36-41 (-14)  88-93        27-32        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  7 G16                  N  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8 G18    NW 12 G21    NW  8 G19    N  6         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           30           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       5            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.40         0.02         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6600                      6200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 17                     N 14         
DISPERSION                         57 GEN GOOD               40 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER
80S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER
80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-050330-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
1017 PM EDT TUE MAY 3 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (-19)  54-59 (-13)  33-38        62-67        
RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+9)   28-33 (-23)  81-86        27-32        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  8 G19                  NE  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        NW 13 G23    N  8 G21     N  5         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       4            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.29         0.01         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6200                      5800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 18                     NE 12        
DISPERSION                         49 GEN GOOD               27 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-050330-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1017 PM EDT TUE MAY 3 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (-18)  60-65 (-9)   34-39        64-69        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+8)  26-31 (-30)  79-84        27-32        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  8 G18                 N  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  6         NW 12 G22    N  8 G19     LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       4                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                
PRECIP END            8 AM                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.16         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5400                      5100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 20                     NE 12        
DISPERSION                         55 GEN GOOD               31 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER
80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO
LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-050330-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
1017 PM EDT TUE MAY 3 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (-14)  60-65 (-11)  33-38        64-69        
RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (-3)   24-29 (-29)  82-87        28-33        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  9 G19                 N  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  8 G18     NW 13 G22    N  8 G19     LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       4                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                
PRECIP END            8 AM                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.21         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5900                      5700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 21                     N 12         
DISPERSION                         66 GOOD                   35 FAIR      
MAX LVORI                          3                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO
LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-050330-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
1017 PM EDT TUE MAY 3 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (-17)  56-61 (-16)  33-38        66-71        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+7)  35-40 (-13)  87-92        26-31        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  6 G16                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        NW 11 G19    NW  5 G16    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       4            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.30         0.02         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6300                      5700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 16                      N 12         
DISPERSION                         67 GOOD                   42 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER
80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER
80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-050330-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
1017 PM EDT TUE MAY 3 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (-21)  59-64 (-9)   35-40        66-71        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+15) 29-34 (-27)  82-87        27-32        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  9 G18                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW 11 G19    N  5         LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       2            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   2 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.01         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5600                      5200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 18                     NE 12        
DISPERSION                         70 GOOD                   39 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-050330-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
1017 PM EDT TUE MAY 3 2011 /917 PM CDT TUE MAY 3 2011/

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (-21)  62-67 (-3)   36-41        67-72        
RH % (24H TREND)      94-99 (+15)  26-31 (-34)  78-83        26-31        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  9 G19                 NE  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  5         NW 12 G21    N  7 G15     LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                
PRECIP END            8 AM                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4800                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 22                     NE 12        
DISPERSION                         68 GOOD                   39 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS NEAR 70. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS NEAR 80. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S
TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S
TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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