
734 
FNUS54 KMRX 030641
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
241 AM EDT TUE MAY 3 2011

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL SWING ACROSS THE REGION TODAY.  HIGH PRESSURE WILL 
BUILD IN FROM THE WEST WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT.  


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-040745-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
241 AM EDT TUE MAY 3 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      67-72 (-9)   39-44 (-17)  54-59        
RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (+8)   95-100 (+14) 38-43        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 10 G22                  NW  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G22     W  6         NW  8        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           80           30           
PRECIP DURATION       3            4            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.44         0.28         0.06         
LAL                   3            3            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4900                      8100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 22                     NW 14        
DISPERSION            52 GEN GOOD               70 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER
70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-040745-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
241 AM EDT TUE MAY 3 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      67-72 (-8)   39-44 (-15)  52-57        
RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (+6)   84-89 (-1)   39-44        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 11 G22                 NW  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 11 G22    W  8 G15     NW  9 G16    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           90           30           
PRECIP DURATION       3            4            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.31         0.44         0.04         
LAL                   3            3            1            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5400                      8500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 24                     NW 15        
DISPERSION            55 GEN GOOD               76 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO
LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-040745-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
241 AM EDT TUE MAY 3 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (-10)  37-42 (-20)  54-59        
RH % (24H TREND)      53-58 (+11)  85-90 (+5)   35-40        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 14 G26                 NW  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G23     LGT/VAR      NW  9 G16    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           80           20           
PRECIP DURATION       4            4            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.52         0.18         0.01         
LAL                   3            3            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      8600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 20                     NW 15        
DISPERSION            31 FAIR                   73 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER
70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO
LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-040745-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
241 AM EDT TUE MAY 3 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      65-70 (-13)  39-44 (-20)  59-64        
RH % (24H TREND)      57-62 (+17)  84-89 (+3)   31-36        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 12 G23                 NW  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5 G17     LGT/VAR      NW  9        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           80           0            
PRECIP DURATION       4            3                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.68         0.13         0.00         
LAL                   3            1            1            
LASI                  2                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4300                      8100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 15                     NW 17        
DISPERSION            27 FAIR                   90 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER
40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER
80S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO
LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-040745-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
241 AM EDT TUE MAY 3 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      67-72 (-12)  41-46 (-17)  58-63        
RH % (24H TREND)      59-64 (+20)  84-89 (+6)   31-36        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  9 G20                 NW  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7 G19     LGT/VAR      NW 10 G17    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           80           0            
PRECIP DURATION       4            3                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   4 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.54         0.16         0.00         
LAL                   3            1            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      8300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 21                     NW 18        
DISPERSION            42 GEN GOOD               99 GOOD      
MAX LVORI             4                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER
40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST EARLY IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH
SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER
80S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO
LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-040745-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
241 AM EDT TUE MAY 3 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      69-74 (-9)   40-45 (-17)  56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (+7)   86-91 (+1)   36-41        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  9 G19                 NW  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G19     W  6         NW  8        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           80           20           
PRECIP DURATION       3            4            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.46         0.25         0.04         
LAL                   3            3            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      7200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 22                     NW 13        
DISPERSION            55 GEN GOOD               63 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER
80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-040745-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
241 AM EDT TUE MAY 3 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (-12)  38-43 (-22)  59-64        
RH % (24H TREND)      52-57 (+7)   88-93 (+8)   32-37        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 10 G19                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7 G18     LGT/VAR      NW  8 G15    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           70           20           
PRECIP DURATION       6            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.70         0.08         0.01         
LAL                   3            3            1            
LASI                  2                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      7400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 16                      NW 15        
DISPERSION            46 GEN GOOD               80 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER
40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST EARLY IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER
70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER
80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-040745-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
241 AM EDT TUE MAY 3 2011 /141 AM CDT TUE MAY 3 2011/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      63-68 (-15)  37-42 (-23)  63-68        
RH % (24H TREND)      59-64 (+14)  86-91 (+6)   28-33        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  9 G18                 NW  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8 G19    N  5         NW 10 G17    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          60           0            
PRECIP DURATION       6            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   4 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.67         0.06         0.00         
LAL                   3            1            1            
LASI                  2                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      7500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 16                     NW 18        
DISPERSION            48 GEN GOOD               103 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 40. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS NEAR 70. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS NEAR 80. WEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS AROUND 80.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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