
912 
FNUS54 KMRX 021854
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
255 PM EDT MON MAY 2 2011

.DISCUSSION...
A NEARLY STATIONARY FRONTAL BOUNDARY OVER THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER 
VALLEY WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE SLOWLY EAST TOWARD THE PLATEAU TONIGHT 
AND ACROSS THE REGION TUESDAY. DRIER CONDITIONS AND BELOW NORMAL 
TEMPERATURES CAN BE EXPECTED BEHIND THE FRONT FOR WEDNESDAY.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-031945-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
255 PM EDT MON MAY 2 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (+3)   66-71 (-10)  37-42        54-59        
RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (+6)   50-55 (+11)  79-84        37-42        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  8 G18                  N  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  8 G18     NW  5        NW  8 G16    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           90           80           30           
PRECIP DURATION       1            5            3            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.42         0.36         0.05         
LAL                   4            5            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4800                      6100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 31                     NW 13        
DISPERSION                         74 GOOD                   45 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP 
TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP 
TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 
IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-031945-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
255 PM EDT MON MAY 2 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (+2)   64-69 (-11)  36-41        53-58        
RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (+8)   44-49 (+5)   82-87        37-42        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  8 G16                  NW  8 G15    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         W  9 G16     NW  7 G16    NW  9 G18    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           80           90           30           
PRECIP DURATION       1            5            3            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.27         0.34         0.05         
LAL                   3            5            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6700                      6400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 28                     NW 15        
DISPERSION                         92 GOOD                   47 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP 
TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 
MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 
IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-031945-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
255 PM EDT MON MAY 2 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (+4)   62-67 (-12)  34-39        55-60        
RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (0)    56-61 (+14)  83-88        33-38        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 10 G21                 N  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7 G16     W  9 G21     LGT/VAR      NW  9 G17    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           80           80           30           
PRECIP DURATION       1            5            3            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.48         0.29         0.03         
LAL                   3            5            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      6800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 30                     NW 14        
DISPERSION                         45 GEN GOOD               44 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S TO LOWER 40S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS 
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP 
TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 
20 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO 
UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-031945-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
255 PM EDT MON MAY 2 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (+4)   64-69 (-14)  35-40        59-64        
RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (-2)   55-60 (+15)  83-88        30-35        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 10 G21                  N  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G18     W 10 G21     N  6 G15     NW 10 G18    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           100          80           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            5            3                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.55         0.21         0.00         
LAL                   3            5            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3400                      6400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 25                     NW 16        
DISPERSION                         28 FAIR                   62 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS UP 
TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS UP 
TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-031945-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
255 PM EDT MON MAY 2 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (+6)   65-70 (-14)  35-40        58-63        
RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (-5)   55-60 (+16)  82-87        30-35        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  8 G19                  N  8         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         W 10 G18     NW  7 G15    NW 11 G18    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           90           80           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            5            3                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.41         0.20         0.00         
LAL                   3            5            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      6800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 29                     NW 20        
DISPERSION                         69 GOOD                   77 GOOD      
MAX LVORI                          4                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-031945-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
255 PM EDT MON MAY 2 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (+2)   66-71 (-12)  37-42        56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (+9)   45-50 (+6)   82-87        34-39        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  6 G16                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  8 G16     NW  5        NW  8 G15    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           90           80           30           
PRECIP DURATION       1            5            3            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.45         0.35         0.03         
LAL                   4            5            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3900                      6000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 28                     NW 12        
DISPERSION                         58 GEN GOOD               46 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. 
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 
IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-031945-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
255 PM EDT MON MAY 2 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (+3)   62-67 (-14)  36-41        59-64        
RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (+2)   54-59 (+9)   86-91        31-36        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  8 G17                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         NW  8 G17    LGT/VAR      NW  9 G17    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           90           70           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            5            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.73         0.21         0.01         
LAL                   4            5            1            1            
LASI                               2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3400                      6200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 22                     NW 14        
DISPERSION                         39 FAIR                   57 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS 
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 
MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 
IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO
LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-031945-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
255 PM EDT MON MAY 2 2011 /155 PM CDT MON MAY 2 2011/

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (+2)   62-67 (-16)  36-41        63-68        
RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (-1)   52-57 (+7)   83-88        26-31        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  9 G18                 NW  5 G15    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7         NW  9 G18    N  7         NW 11 G21    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           100          60           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            8            2                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.68         0.12         0.00         
LAL                   4            5            1            1            
LASI                               2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3600                      6000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 21                     NW 18        
DISPERSION                         42 GEN GOOD               76 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS 
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 
MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 
MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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