
012 
FNUS54 KMRX 020753
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
353 AM EDT MON MAY 2 2011

.DISCUSSION...
A NEARLY STATIONARY FRONTAL BOUNDARY OVER THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER 
VALLEY WILL MOVE SLOWLY EAST TOWARD THE PLATEAU TODAY AND ACROSS THE 
REGION TUESDAY.  SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP OVER THE 
PLATEAU AND WESTERN SECTIONS OF THE TENNESSEE VALLEY LATE TODAY AND 
AREA-WIDE TUESDAY. DRIER CONDITIONS AND BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES 
CAN BE EXPECTED BEHIND THE FRONT FOR WEDNESDAY.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-030900-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
353 AM EDT MON MAY 2 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      76-81 (+4)   55-60 (+2)   66-71        
RH % (24H TREND)      37-42 (-2)   87-92 (+9)   48-53        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  7 G16                  SW 10 G20    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G16     S  8 G17     W  9 G21     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           40           90           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            5            
PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.03         0.38         
LAL                   3            4            5            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6700                      5500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 21                     SW 35        
DISPERSION            81 GOOD                   104 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S
TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO
MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-030900-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
353 AM EDT MON MAY 2 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      75-80 (+5)   53-58 (+1)   66-71        
RH % (24H TREND)      38-43 (-2)   93-98 (+13)  47-52        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  7 G16                  SW 10 G19    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G17     S 11 G23     SW  9 G19    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           30           70           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.02         0.24         
LAL                   2            3            4            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7100                      6900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 13                     SW 28        
DISPERSION            46 GEN GOOD               100 GOOD     

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 30S TO
MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 40S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER
40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID
70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO
UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-030900-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
353 AM EDT MON MAY 2 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      74-79 (+4)   56-61 (+4)   63-68        
RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (+1)   85-90 (+2)   55-60        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 11 G24                  SW 12 G24    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 10 G18     S 13 G28     W  9 G20     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           40           70           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.02         0.42         
LAL                   2            3            5            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6300                      4200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 22                      SW 31        
DISPERSION            60 GEN GOOD               32 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S
TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO
MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-030900-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
353 AM EDT MON MAY 2 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      78-83 (+5)   56-61 (+2)   67-72        
RH % (24H TREND)      38-43 (+1)   93-98 (+8)   49-54        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 11 G22                  S 10 G19     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 10 G18     S 10 G21     W  8 G18     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           50           80           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.02         0.51         
LAL                   2            3            5            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7100                      4600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 24                      SW 28        
DISPERSION            106 VERY GOOD             60 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 30S TO
MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO
MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-030900-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
353 AM EDT MON MAY 2 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      79-84 (+6)   56-61 (+3)   67-72        
RH % (24H TREND)      38-43 (-2)   91-96 (+5)   52-57        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 10 G18                  S  9 G17     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 10 G18     S  8 G17     W  8 G17     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           40           70           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.02         0.40         
LAL                   2            3            5            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7900                      5500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 22                      SW 29        
DISPERSION            106 VERY GOOD             82 GOOD      
MAX LVORI             4                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR 40. NORTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH EARLY IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER
40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID
70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-030900-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
353 AM EDT MON MAY 2 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      78-83 (+5)   56-61 (+2)   67-72        
RH % (24H TREND)      37-42 (-2)   87-92 (+6)   48-53        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5                      SW  8 G17    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         S  8 G16     W  9 G18     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           40           70           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.02         0.37         
LAL                   3            4            5            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6400                      3600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 16                     SW 31        
DISPERSION            69 GOOD                   54 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 30S TO
MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER
40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID
70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER
70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-030900-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
353 AM EDT MON MAY 2 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      76-81 (+3)   57-62 (+1)   62-67        
RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (+2)   90-95 (+10)  52-57        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 10 G19                  SW  8 G17    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G18     S  6         NW  8 G17    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           70           90           
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            6            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.14         0.07         0.72         
LAL                   3            5            5            
LASI                  4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5300                      2900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 26                     SW 25        
DISPERSION            90 GOOD                   33 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS
IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-030900-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
353 AM EDT MON MAY 2 2011 /253 AM CDT MON MAY 2 2011/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      78-83 (+3)   56-61 (-1)   62-67        
RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (+2)   94-99 (+11)  48-53        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 10 G19                  SW  8 G16    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 10 G18     S  7 G15     NW  8 G16    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           70           90           
PRECIP DURATION       1            4            5            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.14         0.04         0.76         
LAL                   3            5            5            
LASI                  4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6300                      3700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 25                      SW 22        
DISPERSION            112 VERY GOOD             49 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. NORTH WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER
70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

