
915 
FNUS54 KMRX 010800
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
400 AM EDT SUN MAY 1 2011

.DISCUSSION...
A NEARLY STATIONARY FRONT TO OUR WEST WILL BEGIN TO MOVE EAST AND 
WILL PUSH INTO OUR AREA MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY. 


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-020900-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
400 AM EDT SUN MAY 1 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      73-78 (-1)   53-58 (+4)   75-80        
RH % (24H TREND)      33-38 (+6)   82-87 (0)    37-42        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         LGT/VAR      S  7         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            10           
PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                      8 AM   
PRECIP END            8 PM                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   2            1            1            
LASI                  5                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6400                      7900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 14                     SW 26        
DISPERSION            51 GEN GOOD               133 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE
30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN
THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-020900-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
400 AM EDT SUN MAY 1 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      70-75 (-1)   50-55 (+4)   73-78        
RH % (24H TREND)      37-42 (+8)   84-89 (+4)   37-42        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5                      S  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7         S  6         S  6         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     10           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   
PRECIP END            8 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7400                      8500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 14                      SW 16        
DISPERSION            58 GEN GOOD               78 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
NORTH 5 TO 15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER.
HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS
IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-020900-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
400 AM EDT SUN MAY 1 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      70-75 (-2)   51-56 (+4)   72-77        
RH % (24H TREND)      39-44 (+10)  80-85 (+3)   37-42        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  7                      S  8 G16     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8        S  8 G15     SW  8 G15    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  5                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6900                      8200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 18                      SW 23        
DISPERSION            61 GOOD                   101 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN
THE 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH
AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER.
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID
70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-020900-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
400 AM EDT SUN MAY 1 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      75-80 (-2)   53-58 (+4)   77-82        
RH % (24H TREND)      37-42 (+9)   81-86 (+7)   41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5                      S  8         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        LGT/VAR      S  8         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  5                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6600                      7900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 21                      SW 23        
DISPERSION            80 GOOD                   114 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID
70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-020900-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
400 AM EDT SUN MAY 1 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      76-81 (-2)   52-57 (+4)   76-81        
RH % (24H TREND)      36-41 (+9)   82-87 (+7)   40-45        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      S  7         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  5                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6600                      8000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 21                      SW 21        
DISPERSION            76 GOOD                   104 VERY GOOD
MAX LVORI             4                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S.
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-020900-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
400 AM EDT SUN MAY 1 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      75-80 (-1)   50-55 (+2)   76-81        
RH % (24H TREND)      35-40 (+7)   88-93 (+7)   38-43        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      SW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   
PRECIP END            8 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   2            1            1            
LASI                  5                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5700                      6800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 12                      SW 20        
DISPERSION            41 GEN GOOD               89 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
NORTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER.
HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER
70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-020900-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
400 AM EDT SUN MAY 1 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      74-79 (-2)   54-59 (+3)   76-81        
RH % (24H TREND)      36-41 (+8)   85-90 (+8)   41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  8 G15     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        LGT/VAR      SW  8        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            10           
PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                      8 AM  
PRECIP END            8 PM                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.02         
LAL                   2            1            1            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6400                      6500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 17                      SW 25        
DISPERSION            75 GOOD                   113 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO
MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID
70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-020900-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
400 AM EDT SUN MAY 1 2011 /300 AM CDT SUN MAY 1 2011/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      76-81 (-2)   55-60 (+3)   78-83        
RH % (24H TREND)      36-41 (+8)   86-91 (+11)  39-44        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  8         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         S  6         S  8         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            20           
PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                      2 PM         
PRECIP END            8 PM                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   2            1            2            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6100                      6700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 20                      SW 24        
DISPERSION            82 GOOD                   114 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO
MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO
MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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