
268 
FNUS54 KMRX 271830
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
230 PM EDT WED APR 27 2011

.DISCUSSION...
A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE TENNESSEE VALLEY 
TONIGHT...WITH A CONTINUED THREAT OF SEVERE OR TORNADIC STORMS 
THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS. THE FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH LATE 
TONIGHT...AND COOLER TEMPERATURES WILL FOLLOW FOR THURSDAY AND 
FRIDAY.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-281930-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
230 PM EDT WED APR 27 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (-5)   63-68 (-13)  43-48        64-69        
RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (+8)   34-39 (-15)  71-76        33-38        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 11 G20                  W 10 G23     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 20 G38     W 11 G21     W  8 G18     NW 11 G23    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          0            30           20           
PRECIP DURATION       7                         1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                      2 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            8 AM                      CONTINUING   12 PM        
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.91         0.00         0.01         0.01         
LAL                   5            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6700                      7200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 25                      W 28         
DISPERSION                         101 VERY GOOD             121 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER
50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-281930-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
230 PM EDT WED APR 27 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (-5)   63-68 (-11)  41-46        63-68        
RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (+5)   34-39 (-15)  73-78        34-39        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 10 G20                  W 13 G26     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 27 G48     W 12 G22     W  9 G20     NW 13 G26    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          0            20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       7                         1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                      2 AM                      
PRECIP END            8 AM                      CONTINUING                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.79         0.00         0.01         0.00         
LAL                   5            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6900                      7300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 28                      W 30         
DISPERSION                         98 GOOD                   116 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST EARLY
IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER
50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-281930-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
230 PM EDT WED APR 27 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (-6)   62-67 (-13)  41-46        65-70        
RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (+8)   33-38 (-14)  73-78        31-36        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  9 G18                  W 10 G21     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 30 G57     W 11 G19     W  9 G22     W 11 G20     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       6                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                
PRECIP END            8 AM                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         1.01         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   5            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6500                      7000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 21                      NW 23        
DISPERSION                         62 GOOD                   76 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST EARLY
IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-281930-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
230 PM EDT WED APR 27 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (-9)   66-71 (-11)  41-46        69-74        
RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (+5)   33-38 (-20)  85-90        32-37        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  8 G16                  W  7 G17     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 20 G40     W 10 G17     W  8 G15     W 10 G18     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       6                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                
PRECIP END            8 AM                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.98         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   5            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5900                      6700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 17                      NW 20        
DISPERSION                         59 GEN GOOD               77 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. WEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID
50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S.
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-281930-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
230 PM EDT WED APR 27 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (-7)   66-71 (-12)  40-45        69-74        
RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (+2)   33-38 (-17)  79-84        30-35        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  9 G19                  NW 10 G20    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 19 G34     W 10 G19     W  8         NW 10 G19    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       6                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                
PRECIP END            8 AM                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         1.01         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   5            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6500                      7100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 22                      NW 23        
DISPERSION                         79 GOOD                   93 GOOD      
MAX LVORI                          3                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID
50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS NEAR 70. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-281930-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
230 PM EDT WED APR 27 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (-6)   65-70 (-12)  42-47        66-71        
RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (+8)   33-38 (-13)  75-80        33-38        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 11 G19                  W  9 G20     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 18 G34     W 11 G20     W  8         W 10 G20     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          0            20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       6                         1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                      2 AM                      
PRECIP END            8 AM                      CONTINUING                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.96         0.00         0.01         0.00         
LAL                   5            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6400                      7000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 23                      W 24         
DISPERSION                         96 GOOD                   117 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID
50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-281930-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
230 PM EDT WED APR 27 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (-9)   65-70 (-11)  43-48        67-72        
RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (+9)   32-37 (-22)  78-83        34-39        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  9                      W  7 G16     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 18 G32     W 10 G18     W  8 G16     W  9 G18     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       5                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                
PRECIP END            8 AM                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.93         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   5            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6300                      6900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 20                      W 22         
DISPERSION                         87 GOOD                   105 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 40S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS NEAR 70. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-281930-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
230 PM EDT WED APR 27 2011 /130 PM CDT WED APR 27 2011/

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (-11)  66-71 (-10)  44-49        70-75        
RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (+2)   32-37 (-25)  80-85        31-36        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  9 G16                  W  7 G16     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 16 G30    W  9 G17     W  7 G16     W  9 G17     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       5                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                
PRECIP END            8 AM                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.68         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   5            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6100                      6800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 18                      NW 20        
DISPERSION                         81 GOOD                   93 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 80. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. NOT
AS WARM. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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