
840 
FNUS54 KMRX 270933
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
533 AM EDT WED APR 27 2011

.DISCUSSION...
A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE TENNESSEE RIVER VALLEY... 
CREATING THE POTENTIAL FOR A SIGNIFICANT OUTBREAK OF SEVERE 
THUNDERSTORMS FOR MAINLY THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. DAMAGING 
WINDS...LARGE HAIL...FREQUENT LIGHTING...HEAVY RAIN AND TORNADOES 
ARE POSSIBLE.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-281045-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
533 AM EDT WED APR 27 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (0)    53-58 (-4)   64-69        
RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (+3)   89-94 (0)    34-39        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 16 G32                  W 11 G19     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 19 G34     SW  9 G19    W 12 G21     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           90           40           
PRECIP DURATION       4            7            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   12 PM        
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.26         0.84         0.02         
LAL                   5            5            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      6200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 45                      W 24         
DISPERSION            121 VERY GOOD             85 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-281045-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
533 AM EDT WED APR 27 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      75-80 (-1)   53-58 (-4)   63-68        
RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (+4)   88-93 (+6)   35-40        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 17 G35                  W 10 G18     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 19 G36     SW  9 G17    W 12 G22     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           90           50           
PRECIP DURATION       2            7            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   12 PM        
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.21         0.72         0.02         
LAL                   5            5            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5200                      6000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 49                      W 26         
DISPERSION            104 VERY GOOD             74 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO
LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-281045-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
533 AM EDT WED APR 27 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      74-79 (0)    52-57 (-8)   62-67        
RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (+1)   83-88 (+10)  35-40        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 22 G43                  W 10 G19     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 22 G43     SW 10 G21    W 11 G20     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           90           20           
PRECIP DURATION       4            5            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   12 PM        
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.24         0.94         0.01         
LAL                   5            5            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5200                      6000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 55                      W 21         
DISPERSION            99 GOOD                   54 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO
LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. EAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-281045-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
533 AM EDT WED APR 27 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (+1)   52-57 (-9)   64-69        
RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (+2)   89-94 (+8)   35-40        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 18 G37                  W  8 G15     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 19 G39     SW  8 G17    W 10 G17     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           90           20           
PRECIP DURATION       4            5            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   12 PM        
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.33         0.91         0.01         
LAL                   5            5            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      6000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 52                      W 17         
DISPERSION            112 VERY GOOD             60 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO
LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-281045-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
533 AM EDT WED APR 27 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (+1)   52-57 (-7)   64-69        
RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (0)    94-99 (+10)  37-42        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 16 G33                  W  8 G17     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 18 G35     SW  5        W 11 G20     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           90           20           
PRECIP DURATION       4            5            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   12 PM        
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.29         0.94         0.01         
LAL                   5            5            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5200                      6000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 48                      W 21         
DISPERSION            123 VERY GOOD             67 GOOD      
MAX LVORI             3                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. WEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-281045-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
533 AM EDT WED APR 27 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      79-84 (0)    54-59 (-4)   66-71        
RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (+5)   84-89 (-2)   34-39        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 14 G30                  W 11 G19     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 18 G32     SW  8 G18    W 11 G21     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           90           30           
PRECIP DURATION       3            7            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   12 PM        
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.26         0.88         0.02         
LAL                   5            5            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4900                      6000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 45                      W 23         
DISPERSION            133 VERY GOOD             91 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-281045-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
533 AM EDT WED APR 27 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (+3)   52-57 (-9)   66-71        
RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (-2)   87-92 (+5)   33-38        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 17 G36                  W 10 G17     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 20 G37     SW 11 G22    W 10 G18     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           90           0            
PRECIP DURATION       5            5                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.57         0.87         0.00         
LAL                   5            5            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      6200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 47                      W 20         
DISPERSION            136 VERY GOOD             83 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. WEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. WEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-281045-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
533 AM EDT WED APR 27 2011 /433 AM CDT WED APR 27 2011/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      78-83 (+4)   53-58 (-9)   66-71        
RH % (24H TREND)      51-56 (-2)   85-90 (+1)   34-39        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 17 G35                  W  9 G16     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 19 G35     SW 11 G22    W  9         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           90           0            
PRECIP DURATION       5            5                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.86         0.62         0.00         
LAL                   5            5            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      6200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 51                      W 17         
DISPERSION            146 VERY GOOD             76 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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