
256 
FNUS54 KMRX 261901
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
301 PM EDT TUE APR 26 2011

.DISCUSSION...
THERE WILL BE A CHANCE FOR A SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM THROUGH MID 
EVENING TONIGHT WITH A BETTER CHANCE TOWARD DAYBREAK 
AS REMNANTS OF AN EXPECTED STRONG THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX ADVANCE EAST 
ACROSS THE MID SOUTH. LATER IN THE DAY WEDNESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY 
NIGHT A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE TENNESSEE RIVER 
VALLEY CREATING THE POTENTIAL FOR A SIGNIFICANT OUTBREAK OF SEVERE 
WHICH WILL CONTINUE WELL INTO THE LATE EVENING HOURS.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-272015-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
301 PM EDT TUE APR 26 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (+1)   76-81 (-1)   52-57        62-67        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+4)  45-50 (+5)   89-94        35-40        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 16 G32                  W 11 G21     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         S 19 G34     SW  9 G19    W 12 G22     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           80           90           30           
PRECIP DURATION       1            4            7            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.24         0.67         0.02         
LAL                   4            5            5            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5500                      5800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 45                      W 28         
DISPERSION                         134 VERY GOOD             90 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-272015-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
301 PM EDT TUE APR 26 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (+1)   74-79 (-2)   52-57        62-67        
RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (+4)   43-48 (+5)   92-97        35-40        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 17 G35                  W 10 G20     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G20     S 19 G36     SW  9 G17    W 13 G23     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           70           90           40           
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            7            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.12         0.15         0.71         0.03         
LAL                   3            5            5            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5600                      5700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 46                      W 29         
DISPERSION                         111 VERY GOOD             74 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-272015-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
301 PM EDT TUE APR 26 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      60-65 (+1)   74-79 (0)    51-56        62-67        
RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (+2)   46-51 (+4)   89-94        34-39        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 22 G43                  W  8 G17     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G20     S 22 G43     SW 10 G21    W 12 G26     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           80           90           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            4            5            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.24         0.81         0.01         
LAL                   4            5            5            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5600                      5800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 51                      W 23         
DISPERSION                         110 VERY GOOD             53 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID
40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-272015-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
301 PM EDT TUE APR 26 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (+1)   76-81 (0)    52-57        63-68        
RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (+7)   54-59 (+6)   86-91        33-38        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 18 G37                  W  8 G15     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G15     S 19 G39     SW  8 G17    W 10 G19     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           80           90           0            
PRECIP DURATION       2            4            5                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.34         0.82         0.00         
LAL                   4            5            5            1            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      5700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 47                      W 20         
DISPERSION                         120 VERY GOOD             61 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-272015-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
301 PM EDT TUE APR 26 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (+1)   76-81 (0)    51-56        63-68        
RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+9)   53-58 (+6)   90-95        34-39        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 16 G33                  W  8 G16     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7         S 18 G35     SW  5        W 11         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           80           90           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            4            5                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.27         0.80         0.00         
LAL                   4            5            5            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5600                      5700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 44                      W 22         
DISPERSION                         126 VERY GOOD             66 GOOD      
MAX LVORI                          4                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-272015-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
301 PM EDT TUE APR 26 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (+2)   79-84 (0)    53-58        64-69        
RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (+1)   44-49 (+5)   88-93        34-39        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 14 G30                  W 10 G19     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         S 18 G32     SW  8 G18    W 12 G20     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           80           90           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            3            7            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.25         0.73         0.01         
LAL                   4            5            5            1            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5300                      5700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 41                      W 26         
DISPERSION                         138 VERY GOOD             95 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-272015-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
301 PM EDT TUE APR 26 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (+1)   77-82 (+3)   52-57        65-70        
RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (+4)   48-53 (-2)   83-88        33-38        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 17 G36                  W  9 G18     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         S 20 G37     SW 11 G22    W 10 G19     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           90           90           0            
PRECIP DURATION       2            5            5                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.64         0.83         0.00         
LAL                   4            5            5            1            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      5700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 48                      W 22         
DISPERSION                         155 VERY GOOD             84 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-272015-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
301 PM EDT TUE APR 26 2011 /201 PM CDT TUE APR 26 2011/

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      62-67 (+1)   76-81 (+2)   52-57        66-71        
RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (+7)   53-58 (0)    83-88        32-37        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 17 G35                  W  8 G16     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7 G15     S 19 G35     SW 11 G22    W 10 G17     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           90           90           0            
PRECIP DURATION       2            5            5                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.73         0.70         0.00         
LAL                   4            5            5            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      5700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 49                      W 21         
DISPERSION                         159 VERY GOOD             80 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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