
908 
FNUS54 KMRX 260738
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
600 AM EDT TUE APR 26 2011

...BREEZY WINDS EXPECTED TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT..

.DISCUSSION...
A BETTER COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED TODAY AND 
TONIGHT OVER THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION. IN ADDITION...SOME 
STORMS TODAY AND TONIGHT COULD BECOME SEVERE WITH DAMAGING WINDS... 
LARGE HAIL...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL...AND ISOLATED TORNADOES. A 
STRONG COLD FRONT WILL THEN MOVE ACROSS THE TENNESSEE RIVER VALLEY 
ON WEDNESDAY...CREATING THE POTENTIAL FOR A SIGNIFICANT OUTBREAK OF 
SEVERE WEATHER BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-270815-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
600 AM EDT TUE APR 26 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      76-81 (-3)   56-61 (0)    76-81        
RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (+6)   92-97 (+2)   44-49        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 14 G28                  S 12 G27     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 14 G28     S  6 G15     S 16 G29     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           50           80           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            4            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.11         0.27         
LAL                   4            4            5            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6300                      5100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 33                      S 39         
DISPERSION            127 VERY GOOD             104 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...A FEW THUNDERSTORMS TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT MAY 
PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S 
TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S. WEST 
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 
40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS 
UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-270815-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EDT TUE APR 26 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      75-80 (-3)   56-61 (0)    74-79        
RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (+5)   90-95 (+5)   43-48        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 13 G26                  S 13 G27     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 13 G27     S  9 G17     S 16 G30     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           50           70           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.10         0.17         
LAL                   3            3            5            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5800                      5200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 32                      S 39         
DISPERSION            86 GOOD                   82 GOOD      

REMARKS...A FEW THUNDERSTORMS TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT MAY 
PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S. WEST 
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID
40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST 
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTH 
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS 
UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-270815-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
600 AM EDT TUE APR 26 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      74-79 (-3)   59-64 (0)    72-77        
RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (+6)   82-87 (+5)   42-47        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 17 G32                  S 17 G32     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 15 G32     S  9 G20     S 18 G35     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           50           80           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            4            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.12         0.39         
LAL                   3            4            5            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5400                      5200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 35                      S 45         
DISPERSION            69 GOOD                   83 GOOD      

REMARKS...A FEW THUNDERSTORMS TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT MAY 
PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S 
TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 
50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO
MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO LOWER 70S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO 
UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 
15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 
TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-270815-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EDT TUE APR 26 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      76-81 (-2)   60-65 (0)    74-79        
RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (+1)   82-87 (+2)   53-58        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 14 G27                  S 15 G28     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 14 G27     S  8 G18     S 16 G29     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           60           80           
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            4            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.15         0.15         0.54         
LAL                   3            4            5            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5600                      4600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 35                      S 45         
DISPERSION            105 VERY GOOD             97 GOOD      

REMARKS...A FEW THUNDERSTORMS TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT MAY 
PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S 
TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 
40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS 
5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-270815-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EDT TUE APR 26 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      76-81 (-2)   58-63 (0)    73-78        
RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (+3)   90-95 (+6)   50-55        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 13 G25                  S 13 G25     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 12 G25     S  5 G15     S 14 G27     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           50           80           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            4            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.15         0.11         0.42         
LAL                   3            4            5            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6300                      5200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 32                      S 41         
DISPERSION            112 VERY GOOD             105 VERY GOOD
MAX LVORI             4                         4            

REMARKS...A FEW THUNDERSTORMS TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT MAY 
PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S 
TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 
60S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 
40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS UP 
TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-270815-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
600 AM EDT TUE APR 26 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      78-83 (-3)   56-61 (0)    78-83        
RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (+6)   92-97 (+3)   45-50        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 12 G25                  S 11 G24     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 11 G25    S  5         S 15 G27     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           50           80           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            4            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.11         0.29         
LAL                   4            4            5            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5800                      4900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 32                     S 37         
DISPERSION            120 VERY GOOD             108 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...A FEW THUNDERSTORMS TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT MAY 
PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 
60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS 
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 
70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-270815-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
600 AM EDT TUE APR 26 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (-4)   59-64 (-1)   76-81        
RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (+4)   85-90 (+4)   52-57        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 14 G27                  S 13 G25     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 14 G27     S  7 G18     S 16 G29     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           60           90           
PRECIP DURATION       3            2            5            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.13         0.32         0.75         
LAL                   4            4            5            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4900                      4600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 35                      S 44         
DISPERSION            107 VERY GOOD             127 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...A FEW THUNDERSTORMS TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT MAY 
PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 
60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS 
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S 
TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-270815-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
600 AM EDT TUE APR 26 2011 /500 AM CDT TUE APR 26 2011/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      78-83 (-3)   61-66 (0)    75-80        
RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (+4)   87-92 (+4)   54-59        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 14 G25                  S 13 G26     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 13 G23     S  7 G16     S 15 G27     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           60           90           
PRECIP DURATION       3            2            5            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.22         0.45         0.90         
LAL                   4            4            5            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4900                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 35                      S 44         
DISPERSION            112 VERY GOOD             127 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...A FEW THUNDERSTORMS TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT MAY 
PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO 
MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST 
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS 
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 
MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 
70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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