
044 
FNUS54 KMRX 251909
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
309 PM EDT MON APR 25 2011

.DISCUSSION...
A STATIONARY FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL REMAIN OVER THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY 
THROUGH TUESDAY...WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES CONTINUING OVER THE 
SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION. THE COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE INCREASING EACH DAY INTO WEDNESDAY...ALONG 
WITH AN INCREASING THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER. IN FACT...A 
SIGNIFICANT OUTBREAK OF SEVERE WEATHER IS EXPECTED BY WEDNESDAY 
AFTERNOON AND EVENING.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-262015-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
309 PM EDT MON APR 25 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (+4)   77-82 (-2)   58-63        76-81        
RH % (24H TREND)      94-99 (+17)  37-42 (-1)   84-89        44-49        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 11 G24                  S 12 G27     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7 G17     SW 11 G25    S  5 G15     S 16 G29     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           40           50           80           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            4            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.06         0.12         0.35         
LAL                   2            4            4            5            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7200                      6200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 36                     S 44         
DISPERSION                         160 VERY GOOD             157 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID
40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-262015-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
309 PM EDT MON APR 25 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (+4)   74-79 (-4)   55-60        74-79        
RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (+13)  39-44 (0)    88-93        43-48        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 11 G23                  S 12 G27     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G20     S 11 G24     S  7 G19     S 16 G30     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           40           50           70           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.09         0.11         0.26         
LAL                   2            3            3            5            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6600                      6300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 33                      S 44         
DISPERSION                         112 VERY GOOD             135 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 40S TO
UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO
MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-262015-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
309 PM EDT MON APR 25 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      60-65 (+4)   71-76 (-6)   56-61        73-78        
RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (+7)   41-46 (+1)   80-85        41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 14 G27                  S 17 G32     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 12 G24     SW 11 G27    S  6 G19     S 18 G35     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           50           50           80           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            4            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            5 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.10         0.11         0.50         
LAL                   2            3            4            5            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6200                      6300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 38                      S 49         
DISPERSION                         102 VERY GOOD             139 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 40S TO
UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO
MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-262015-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
309 PM EDT MON APR 25 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (+3)   75-80 (-3)   58-63        75-80        
RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (+6)   47-52 (+2)   88-93        51-56        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 12 G23                  S 15 G28     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 10 G21     SW  9 G24    S  7 G19     S 16 G29     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           50           60           80           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2            4            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.18         0.14         0.65         
LAL                   2            3            4            5            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6500                      6200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 35                      S 47         
DISPERSION                         132 VERY GOOD             168 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID
40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-262015-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
309 PM EDT MON APR 25 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (+4)   75-80 (-3)   57-62        74-79        
RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+14)  45-50 (+1)   88-93        49-54        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 10 G22                  S 12 G25     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G18     SW  9 G22    S  5 G15     S 14 G27     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           50           50           80           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            4            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.16         0.12         0.53         
LAL                   2            3            4            5            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7100                      6200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 32                      S 43         
DISPERSION                         138 VERY GOOD             147 VERY GOOD
MAX LVORI                          4                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
60S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID
40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-262015-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
309 PM EDT MON APR 25 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (+3)   78-83 (-3)   58-63        78-83        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+14) 38-43 (+1)   85-90        45-50        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 10 G22                  S 10 G24     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         SW  9 G23    LGT/VAR      S 15 G27     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           40           50           80           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            12 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.06         0.11         0.40         
LAL                   2            3            4            5            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6400                      6100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 32                     S 43         
DISPERSION                         137 VERY GOOD             171 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID
50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID
40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-262015-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
309 PM EDT MON APR 25 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (+3)   76-81 (-5)   60-65        76-81        
RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (+6)   43-48 (+3)   84-89        51-56        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 11 G22                  S 13 G25     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G16     SW 10 G22    SE  5        S 16 G29     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           60           60           90           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2            5            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.19         0.25         0.86         
LAL                   3            4            4            5            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5700                      6000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 38                     S 48         
DISPERSION                         146 VERY GOOD             195 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID
40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID
70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-262015-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
309 PM EDT MON APR 25 2011 /209 PM CDT MON APR 25 2011/

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      62-67 (+3)   77-82 (-4)   61-66        75-80        
RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (+2)   46-51 (+4)   87-92        54-59        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 11 G21                  S 13 G26     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G18     S  9 G21     S  7 G19     S 15 G27     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           60           70           90           
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            3            5            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.29         0.28         1.04         
LAL                   3            4            4            5            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5500                      6000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 36                      S 49         
DISPERSION                         135 VERY GOOD             198 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 40S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID
70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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