
978 
FNUS54 KMRX 231858
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
258 PM EDT SAT APR 23 2011

.DISCUSSION...
A STATIONARY FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL REMAIN OVER THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY 
THROUGH TUESDAY...WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES EXPECTED ACROSS THE 
SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION. A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL THEN MOVE 
ACROSS THE TENNESSEE RIVER VALLEY ON WEDNESDAY...BRINGING STRONG 
THUNDERSTORMS INTO THE REGION BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-242000-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
258 PM EDT SAT APR 23 2011

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (+1)   80-85 (+6)   55-60        80-85        
RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (-2)   29-34 (-15)  77-82        31-36        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 11 G22                 S  7 G17     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8 G17    SW 11 G22    LGT/VAR      SW 10 G19    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            10           
PRECIP DURATION                                              1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 8 AM         
PRECIP END                                                   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 8900                      7900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 25                     SW 22        
DISPERSION                         149 VERY GOOD             110 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR 60. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-242000-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
258 PM EDT SAT APR 23 2011

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (+2)   77-82 (+2)   52-57        77-82        
RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (-13)  27-32 (-14)  78-83        34-39        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  9 G18                 S  7 G15     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7 G15    SW  9 G19    LGT/VAR      S 10 G19     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                                              1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 8 AM         
PRECIP END                                                   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.03         
LAL                   1            1            1            2            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 9400                      9000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 18                     S 18         
DISPERSION                         105 VERY GOOD             98 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-242000-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
258 PM EDT SAT APR 23 2011

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (+1)   76-81 (0)    52-57        75-80        
RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (-10)  24-29 (-11)  80-85        35-40        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 10 G19                 S 11 G21     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G21     SW 11 G21    LGT/VAR      SW 11 G20    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                                              1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 8 AM         
PRECIP END                                                   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            2            
LASI                               5                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 8100                      8600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 21                     S 18         
DISPERSION                         91 GOOD                   89 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-242000-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
258 PM EDT SAT APR 23 2011

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (+2)   82-87 (+3)   55-60        79-84        
RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (-7)   28-33 (-11)  80-85        40-45        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  9 G17                  S 10 G20     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6 G15     SW 10 G20    LGT/VAR      S 10 G20     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                                              1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 8 AM         
PRECIP END                                                   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            2            
LASI                               5                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7400                      8100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 20                     S 21         
DISPERSION                         91 GOOD                   106 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-242000-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
258 PM EDT SAT APR 23 2011

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (+2)   81-86 (+1)   54-59        79-84        
RH % (24H TREND)      80-85 (-9)   26-31 (-8)   82-87        39-44        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  8 G17                  S  8 G19     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW 10 G20    LGT/VAR      S  9 G19     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                                              1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 8 AM         
PRECIP END                                                   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            2            
LASI                               5                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 8300                      8900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 18                     S 17         
DISPERSION                         99 GOOD                   99 GOOD      
MAX LVORI                          3                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-242000-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
258 PM EDT SAT APR 23 2011

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (0)    81-86 (+4)   54-59        81-86        
RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (-3)   27-32 (-14)  80-85        32-37        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  8 G19                 S  5 G15     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        SW  9 G19    LGT/VAR      SW 10 G17    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7300                      7300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 22                     SW 20        
DISPERSION                         112 VERY GOOD             95 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-242000-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
258 PM EDT SAT APR 23 2011

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (+2)   80-85 (+2)   56-61        80-85        
RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (-2)   29-34 (-13)  78-83        37-42        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  9 G18                 S  9 G19     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7         SW 10 G19    LGT/VAR      SW 11 G20    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            10           
PRECIP DURATION                                              1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 8 AM         
PRECIP END                                                   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6200                      6400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 23                     S 25         
DISPERSION                         99 GOOD                   111 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-242000-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
258 PM EDT SAT APR 23 2011 /158 PM CDT SAT APR 23 2011/

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (+2)   82-87 (+3)   57-62        80-85        
RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (-2)   28-33 (-14)  80-85        38-43        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  8 G16                 S  9 G19     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         SW 10 G19    LGT/VAR      S 11 G20     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                                              1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 8 AM         
PRECIP END                                                   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            2            
LASI                               5                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6200                      6300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 20                     S 24         
DISPERSION                         88 GOOD                   108 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS NEAR 80.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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