
096 
FNUS54 KMRX 201518 AAA
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
1118 AM EDT WED APR 20 2011

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS EASTERN PARTS OF TENNESSEE AND 
KENTUCKY THIS AFTERNOON...THEN SAG SOUTHWARD ACROSS EXTREME SOUTHERN 
PARTS OF TENNESSEE AND SOUTHWESTERN NORTH CAROLINA THIS EVENING. 
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL RE-DEVELOP AHEAD OF THIS 
COLD FRONT...WITH A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS POSSIBLE. THE FRONT 
WILL THEN RETURN NORTHWARD AS A WARM FRONT ON THURSDAY AND THURSDAY 
NIGHT.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-211630-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
1118 AM EDT WED APR 20 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      73-78 (-5)   47-52 (-10)  65-70        
RH % (24H TREND)      38-43 (+7)   84-89 (+10)  35-40        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 12 G24                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 12 G22     NW  7 G16    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           20           20           
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   2 PM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   2 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.13         0.01         0.11         
LAL                   4            2            3            
LASI                  3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7500                      6700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 35                      N 12         
DISPERSION            164 VERY GOOD             46 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID
80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO
MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-211630-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1118 AM EDT WED APR 20 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      72-77 (-4)   46-51 (-8)   62-67        
RH % (24H TREND)      38-43 (+4)   92-97 (+17)  41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 11 G23                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 13 G23     NW  9 G20    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           30           20           
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.14         0.02         0.18         
LAL                   4            3            3            
LASI                  3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7100                      5700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 35                      N  9         
DISPERSION            131 VERY GOOD             26 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS
IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID
80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID
80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO
LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-211630-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
1118 AM EDT WED APR 20 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      71-76 (-2)   48-53 (-6)   64-69        
RH % (24H TREND)      39-44 (+5)   91-96 (+16)  41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 11 G23                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 11 G22     NW  6        LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           30           50           
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.21         0.02         0.35         
LAL                   4            3            3            
LASI                  3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6400                      5400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 31                      NE  6        
DISPERSION            90 GOOD                   14 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 80S.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 80S.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER
80S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-211630-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1118 AM EDT WED APR 20 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      74-79 (-4)   52-57 (-3)   70-75        
RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (+4)   91-96 (+17)  45-50        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  9 G19                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G17     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           30           50           
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.30         0.04         0.37         
LAL                   4            3            3            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6300                      5600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 29                     NE  6        
DISPERSION            104 VERY GOOD             19 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 80S.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO
MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO
MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-211630-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
1118 AM EDT WED APR 20 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      76-81 (-3)   52-57 (-2)   71-76        
RH % (24H TREND)      35-40 (0)    93-98 (+17)  43-48        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  7                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G17     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           30           50           
PRECIP DURATION       3            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.24         0.06         0.47         
LAL                   4            3            3            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7400                      7600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 29                      NW  3        
DISPERSION            127 VERY GOOD             16 GEN POOR  
MAX LVORI             4                         5            

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-211630-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
1118 AM EDT WED APR 20 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      75-80 (-5)   48-53 (-7)   68-73        
RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (+9)   92-97 (+9)   35-40        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 10 G20                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 11 G20     NW  6        LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           20           30           
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.16         0.02         0.18         
LAL                   4            3            3            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5800                      5700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 33                      N  8         
DISPERSION            122 VERY GOOD             31 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO
MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-211630-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
1118 AM EDT WED APR 20 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      74-79 (-5)   50-55 (-9)   69-74        
RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (+7)   86-91 (+10)  37-42        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 11 G20                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G19     NW  5        LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           30           30           
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.24         0.02         0.17         
LAL                   4            3            3            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5500                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 32                     NE 10        
DISPERSION            116 VERY GOOD             34 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID
80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO
UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID
80S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-211630-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
1118 AM EDT WED APR 20 2011 /1018 AM CDT WED APR 20 2011/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      74-79 (-6)   52-57 (-8)   71-76        
RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (+8)   90-95 (+11)  42-47        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  9 G18                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G18     NW  5        LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           30           50           
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.30         0.06         0.24         
LAL                   4            3            3            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      4600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 29                     NE 12        
DISPERSION            95 GOOD                   33 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO
UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO
UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

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