
968 
FNUS54 KMRX 150652
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
252 AM EDT FRI APR 15 2011

.DISCUSSION...
A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS THE TENNESSEE VALLEY TODAY 
... AND PUSH THROUGH THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS TONIGHT. STRONG SOUTHEAST 
WINDS TODAY AND EARLY TONIGHT. STRONG THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED BY THIS EVENING. 

VAZ001-002-005-006-008-160800-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
252 AM EDT FRI APR 15 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      67-72 (-2)   51-56 (+6)   60-65        
RH % (24H TREND)      33-38 (+12)  78-83 (+1)   47-52        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  8 G16                 S 16 G32     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 16 G29    SE 18 G34    SW 14 G26    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           100          90           
PRECIP DURATION       1            5            5            
PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.61         0.28         
LAL                   3            5            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7800                      7700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 33                      SW 38        
DISPERSION            167 VERY GOOD             181 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 40. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-160800-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
252 AM EDT FRI APR 15 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      65-70 (-3)   50-55 (+8)   59-64        
RH % (24H TREND)      38-43 (+15)  80-85 (-2)   47-52        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  9 G20                 S 15 G38     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 20 G35    SE 24 G47    SW 11 G22    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           100          90           
PRECIP DURATION       1            5            5            
PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.88         0.33         
LAL                   3            5            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7700                      7200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 38                      SW 31        
DISPERSION            163 VERY GOOD             120 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-160800-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
252 AM EDT FRI APR 15 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      65-70 (-3)   50-55 (+6)   57-62        
RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (+20)  83-88 (+3)   44-49        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE 13 G27                 SW 15 G28    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 21 G41    SE 27 G55    SW 16 G28    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           100          80           
PRECIP DURATION       1            8            5            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         1.24         0.14         
LAL                   4            5            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7000                      8400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 43                      SW 37        
DISPERSION            144 VERY GOOD             169 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-160800-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
252 AM EDT FRI APR 15 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      70-75 (-3)   52-57 (+8)   60-65        
RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (+21)  88-93 (+2)   45-50        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  9 G22                 SW 14 G26    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 19 G35    SE 21 G40    SW 14 G26    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           100          70           
PRECIP DURATION       2            8            5            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.23         1.40         0.08         
LAL                   5            5            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6100                      8000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 44                      SW 36        
DISPERSION            150 VERY GOOD             181 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER
80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-160800-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
252 AM EDT FRI APR 15 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      70-75 (-3)   52-57 (+9)   61-66        
RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (+20)  88-93 (-4)   41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  7 G16                 SW 14 G26    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 16 G32    SE 19 G38    SW 14 G26    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           100          70           
PRECIP DURATION       2            8            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.22         1.47         0.11         
LAL                   4            5            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7300                      8200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 43                      SW 36        
DISPERSION            182 VERY GOOD             183 VERY GOOD
MAX LVORI             4                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER
40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER
80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-160800-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
252 AM EDT FRI APR 15 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      71-76 (-1)   51-56 (+8)   62-67        
RH % (24H TREND)      36-41 (+14)  83-88 (-1)   47-52        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  6 G15                 SW 14 G27    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 14 G27    SE 18 G36    SW 14 G26    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           100          90           
PRECIP DURATION       1            5            5            
PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.82         0.20         
LAL                   3            5            1            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6600                      7200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 33                      SW 35        
DISPERSION            148 VERY GOOD             173 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-160800-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
252 AM EDT FRI APR 15 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      70-75 (-3)   53-58 (+7)   60-65        
RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (+19)  77-82 (-2)   47-52        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  8 G18                 SW 15 G27    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 14 G27    SE 17 G34    SW 14 G27    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           100          70           
PRECIP DURATION       2            8            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.18         1.10         0.09         
LAL                   5            5            1            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6100                      7000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 37                      SW 35        
DISPERSION            151 VERY GOOD             169 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER
40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO
LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-160800-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
252 AM EDT FRI APR 15 2011 /152 AM CDT FRI APR 15 2011/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      71-76 (-3)   52-57 (+5)   60-65        
RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (+19)  82-87 (+2)   46-51        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE 10 G22                 SW 14 G25    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 15 G30    SE 18 G34    SW 14 G25    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           100          50           
PRECIP DURATION       5            8            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.49         1.29         0.04         
LAL                   5            5            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5600                      6600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 41                      SW 32        
DISPERSION            159 VERY GOOD             155 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 40. NORTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS NEAR 70. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH
SHIFTING TO THE WEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO
LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

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