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839 
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FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
1012 AM EDT THU APR 14 2011

...VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES THIS AFTERNOON...


.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTROL OUR WEATHER TODAY AND TONIGHT.  A COLD 
FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION LATE FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT.  AHEAD 
OF THE FRONT STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL DEVELOP...ESPECIALLY ACROSS
THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS AND ADJACENT FOOTHILLS.
UNSEASONABLY COOL WEATHER AND PERIODS OF LIGHT RAIN ARE EXPECTED
FOR SATURDAY.  A RETURN TO SUNNY SKIES AND MORE SEASONAL TEMPERATURES
ARE ANTICIPATED SUNDAY.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-151515-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
1012 AM EDT THU APR 14 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      69-74 (+11)  44-49 (+10)  66-71        
RH % (24H TREND)      20-25 (-15)  79-84 (0)    38-43        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  9 G21    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE 15 G29    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            50           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    2 PM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            4            
LASI                  5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7900                      7500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  7                     S 30         
DISPERSION            33 FAIR                   144 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...BREEZY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE
40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER
80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-151515-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1012 AM EDT THU APR 14 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      67-72 (+6)   41-46 (+6)   64-69        
RH % (24H TREND)      22-27 (-7)   86-91 (+11)  41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE 11 G23    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         SE  5        SE 19 G38    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            50           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    11 AM        
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            3            
LASI                  5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    9100                      7500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  8                      SE 36        
DISPERSION            45 GEN GOOD               145 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...WINDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 40S
TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 30 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS
IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 80S.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-151515-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
1012 AM EDT THU APR 14 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      68-73 (+1)   42-47 (+4)   64-69        
RH % (24H TREND)      20-25 (-2)   81-86 (+17)  38-43        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE 13 G27    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  5 G16    SE 18 G36    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            60           
PRECIP DURATION                                 2            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 AM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.09         
LAL                   1            1            4            
LASI                  5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    9100                      7100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  7                      S 40         
DISPERSION            39 FAIR                   139 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...WINDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 35 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 60S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MUCH COLDER.
LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 70S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO
LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-151515-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1012 AM EDT THU APR 14 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      73-78 (+1)   44-49 (+7)   67-72        
RH % (24H TREND)      19-24 (0)    85-90 (+8)   42-47        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE 11 G24    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  6        LGT/VAR      SE 15 G28    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            60           
PRECIP DURATION                                 2            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 AM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.16         
LAL                   1            1            4            
LASI                  5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7700                      6400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  9                     S 41         
DISPERSION            45 GEN GOOD               157 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...BREEZY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE
50S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 25 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER
30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH
AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 70S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER
80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-151515-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
1012 AM EDT THU APR 14 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      73-78 (0)    43-48 (+8)   67-72        
RH % (24H TREND)      18-23 (+1)   86-91 (+5)   40-45        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE 11 G23    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  7        LGT/VAR      SE 15 G27    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            60           
PRECIP DURATION                                 2            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 AM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.16         
LAL                   1            1            4            
LASI                  5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7800                      7400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 10                     SE 40        
DISPERSION            51 GEN GOOD               179 VERY GOOD
MAX LVORI             3                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...BREEZY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE
50S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 25 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S TO
LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO
LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-151515-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
1012 AM EDT THU APR 14 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      71-76 (+8)   44-49 (+10)  67-72        
RH % (24H TREND)      20-25 (-10)  85-90 (-3)   39-44        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  8 G20    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE 14 G28    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            50           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    11 AM        
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.03         
LAL                   1            1            4            
LASI                  5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7300                      6000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  8                     SE 31        
DISPERSION            39 FAIR                   122 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...BREEZY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 25 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID
60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO
LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-151515-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
1012 AM EDT THU APR 14 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      73-78 (+7)   47-52 (+9)   67-72        
RH % (24H TREND)      20-25 (-8)   77-82 (-9)   43-48        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  7 G19    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE 11 G21    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            60           
PRECIP DURATION                                 2            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 AM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.15         
LAL                   1            1            4            
LASI                  5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7000                      5900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  7                     S 35         
DISPERSION            37 FAIR                   136 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...BREEZY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE
40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 25 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 70S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER
80S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-151515-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
1012 AM EDT THU APR 14 2011 /912 AM CDT THU APR 14 2011/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      74-79 (+3)   49-54 (+10)  69-74        
RH % (24H TREND)      20-25 (-3)   79-84 (-8)   43-48        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  9 G19    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  5        LGT/VAR      SE 13 G27    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            70           
PRECIP DURATION                                 2            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 AM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.30         
LAL                   1            1            4            
LASI                  5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6800                      5400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  8                     S 38         
DISPERSION            41 GEN GOOD               140 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 40S TO
UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID
40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO
LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

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