
026 
FNUS54 KMRX 111905
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
305 PM EDT MON APR 11 2011

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE TENNESSEE RIVER VALLEY 
TONIGHT...BRINGING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS INTO THE SOUTHERN 
APPALACHIAN THIS EVENING. SOME STORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE THIS 
EVENING...WITH THE MAIN THREATS BEING DAMAGING WINDS...AND LOCALLY 
HEAVY RAINFALL. HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN BUILD BACK OVER THE 
REGION...FOR DRIER AND COOLER WEATHER MID WEEK.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-122015-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
305 PM EDT MON APR 11 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (-10)  55-60 (-23)  34-39        63-68        
RH % (24H TREND)      80-85 (-6)   44-49 (+3)   75-80        20-25        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  9 G16                 NW  9 G18    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10 G20    NW 10        NW  8 G15    NW  9 G18    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           40           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       5            1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   12 AM                     
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.58         0.10         0.01         0.00         
LAL                   5            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7000                      6900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 21                     NW 12        
DISPERSION                         89 GOOD                   47 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. LIGHT WINDS
BECOMING SOUTHEAST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-122015-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
305 PM EDT MON APR 11 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (-8)   54-59 (-21)  35-40        63-68        
RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (-9)   41-46 (-3)   71-76        19-24        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  9 G17                 NW 12 G21    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 13 G27    NW 11 G20    NW 10 G21    NW 10 G21    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           40           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       5            1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   12 AM                     
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.47         0.09         0.01         0.00         
LAL                   5            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7100                      7600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 23                     NW 14        
DISPERSION                         87 GOOD                   57 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID
40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-122015-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
305 PM EDT MON APR 11 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (-7)   57-62 (-17)  34-39        65-70        
RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (-7)   38-43 (-8)   72-77        11-16        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  9 G18                 NW  7 G16    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 14 G32    NW 12 G22    NW  9 G19    NW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           30           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       4            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING                             
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.56         0.09         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   5            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7100                      7200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 23                     N  9         
DISPERSION                         79 GOOD                   33 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 40. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-122015-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
305 PM EDT MON APR 11 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (-5)   61-66 (-18)  36-41        69-74        
RH % (24H TREND)      76-81 (-10)  36-41 (-7)   76-81        17-22        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  8 G16                 N  7 G15     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10 G25    NW 11 G19    N  8 G18     N  5         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           30           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       4            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   4 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.56         0.06         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   5            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7000                      6600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 22                     N 12         
DISPERSION                         96 GOOD                   45 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID
40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR 50. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH
SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID
60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-122015-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
305 PM EDT MON APR 11 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (-2)   61-66 (-18)  34-39        70-75        
RH % (24H TREND)      76-81 (-13)  34-39 (-8)   78-83        14-19        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  9 G17                 N  9 G17     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G22    NW 12 G20    NW  9 G20    NW  7 G16    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           30           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       4            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   4 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.53         0.06         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   5            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7200                      6900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 25                     N 10         
DISPERSION                         106 VERY GOOD             41 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI                          3                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 40. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR 50. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY
IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS NEAR 60. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-122015-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
305 PM EDT MON APR 11 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (-6)   58-63 (-23)  36-41        65-70        
RH % (24H TREND)      76-81 (-11)  41-46 (+2)   76-81        21-26        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  8 G15                 NW  8 G16    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10 G20    NW 10 G18    NW  5        NW  7 G15    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           30           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       4            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING                             
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.57         0.10         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   5            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6900                      6600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 22                     NW  8        
DISPERSION                         103 VERY GOOD             36 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID
40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST EARLY
IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-122015-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
305 PM EDT MON APR 11 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (-9)   59-64 (-22)  37-42        67-72        
RH % (24H TREND)      76-81 (-8)   39-44 (-2)   77-82        21-26        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  8 G16                 NW  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10 G23    NW 10 G19    NW  6        LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           30           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       4            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   4 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.62         0.06         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   5            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6700                      6000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 22                     N  8         
DISPERSION                         105 VERY GOOD             33 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR 50. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST LESS
THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-122015-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
305 PM EDT MON APR 11 2011 /205 PM CDT MON APR 11 2011/

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (-8)   62-67 (-19)  38-43        69-74        
RH % (24H TREND)      75-80 (-8)   37-42 (-6)   78-83        21-26        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  8 G15                 N  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G24     NW 11 G21    N  7 G16     LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       4            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   4 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.58         0.03         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   5            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6700                      5800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 22                     N 10         
DISPERSION                         104 VERY GOOD             42 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. EAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS NEAR 60. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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