
169 
FNUS54 KMRX 110802
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
402 AM EDT MON APR 11 2011

.DISCUSSION...
A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE TENNESSEE RIVER VALLEY 
TODAY...BRINGING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS INTO THE SOUTHERN 
APPALACHIAN THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. SOME STORMS MAY BECOME 
SEVERE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...WITH THE MAIN THREATS BEING 
DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL...AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL. HIGH 
PRESSURE WILL THEN BUILD BACK OVER THE REGION BY TUESDAY NIGHT... 
BRINGING DRIER AND COOLER WEATHER THROUGH THURSDAY.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-120915-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
402 AM EDT MON APR 11 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      78-83 (-4)   48-53 (-10)  54-59        
RH % (24H TREND)      38-43 (-2)   93-98 (+7)   41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  9 G22                 W  7         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 16 G28    W 12 G26     NW  9 G18    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           90           50           
PRECIP DURATION       1            6            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          4 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.89         0.14         
LAL                   3            5            1            
LASI                  5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7500                      5700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 35                     NW 22        
DISPERSION            162 VERY GOOD             69 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-120915-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
402 AM EDT MON APR 11 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      75-80 (-5)   49-54 (-7)   55-60        
RH % (24H TREND)      37-42 (-4)   83-88 (-4)   41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  7 G17                 W  9 G18     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 15 G28    SW 15 G31    NW 10 G18    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           90           50           
PRECIP DURATION       1            6            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          4 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.61         0.13         
LAL                   2            5            1            
LASI                  5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7600                      6900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 26                     NW 24        
DISPERSION            110 VERY GOOD             88 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID
40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-120915-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
402 AM EDT MON APR 11 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      74-79 (-5)   48-53 (-7)   58-63        
RH % (24H TREND)      37-42 (-4)   77-82 (-8)   38-43        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 11 G25                 W  8 G16     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 19 G36    SW 17 G39    NW 11 G21    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           90           30           
PRECIP DURATION       1            5            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          4 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.72         0.13         
LAL                   3            5            1            
LASI                  5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6700                      8000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 36                     NW 24        
DISPERSION            111 VERY GOOD             104 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-120915-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
402 AM EDT MON APR 11 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      79-84 (-4)   50-55 (-5)   61-66        
RH % (24H TREND)      35-40 (-4)   77-82 (-9)   34-39        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  9 G22                 W  8 G17     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 17 G31    W 13 G30     NW 12 G22    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           90           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            5            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          4 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.69         0.06         
LAL                   3            5            1            
LASI                  5                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5600                      7100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 35                     NW 25        
DISPERSION            104 VERY GOOD             109 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS NEAR 70. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS AROUND
40. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-120915-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
402 AM EDT MON APR 11 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      79-84 (-3)   50-55 (-2)   61-66        
RH % (24H TREND)      34-39 (-5)   82-87 (-7)   34-39        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  7 G20                 NW 10 G20    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 16 G27    W 14 G28     NW 13 G22    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           90           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            5            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          4 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.63         0.06         
LAL                   3            5            1            
LASI                  5                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6600                      7700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 32                     NW 28        
DISPERSION            120 VERY GOOD             132 VERY GOOD
MAX LVORI             4                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40.
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-120915-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
402 AM EDT MON APR 11 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      81-86 (-2)   52-57 (-5)   57-62        
RH % (24H TREND)      34-39 (-5)   84-89 (-3)   41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  7 G20                 W  7         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 15 G27    SW 12 G25    NW 10 G19    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           80           50           
PRECIP DURATION       1            6            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          4 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.81         0.14         
LAL                   3            5            1            
LASI                  5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6400                      5800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 31                     NW 22        
DISPERSION            129 VERY GOOD             83 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID
40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST
AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-120915-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
402 AM EDT MON APR 11 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      81-86 (-3)   50-55 (-9)   59-64        
RH % (24H TREND)      33-38 (-5)   79-84 (-5)   40-45        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 10 G24                 W  9 G20     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 17 G30    W 12 G29     NW 11 G21    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           90           30           
PRECIP DURATION       1            5            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.90         0.07         
LAL                   4            5            1            
LASI                  5                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5800                      5900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 38                     NW 23        
DISPERSION            148 VERY GOOD             90 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS NEAR 70. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS NEAR 70. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-120915-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
402 AM EDT MON APR 11 2011 /302 AM CDT MON APR 11 2011/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      81-86 (-4)   50-55 (-9)   63-68        
RH % (24H TREND)      34-39 (-3)   76-81 (-7)   37-42        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  9 G22                 NW  9 G22    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 17 G29    W 11 G25     NW 13 G23    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           90           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            4            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.68         0.02         
LAL                   4            5            1            
LASI                  5                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5400                      6100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 36                     NW 24        
DISPERSION            130 VERY GOOD             102 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 40S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS NEAR 70. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS AROUND
40. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS NEAR 60.
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

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