
472 
FNUS54 KMRX 101853
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
250 PM EDT SUN APR 10 2011

...WINDY CONDITIONS EXPECTED ON MONDAY...

.DISCUSSION...
A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE TENNESSEE RIVER VALLEY ON 
MONDAY...BRINGING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS INTO THE SOUTHERN 
APPALACHIAN REGION ON MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. SOME STORMS MAY 
BECOME SEVERE MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING...WITH THE MAIN THREATS 
BEING DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL...AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL. HIGH 
PRESSURE WILL THEN BUILD BACK OVER THE REGION BY TUESDAY NIGHT... 
BRINGING DRIER AND COOLER WEATHER THROUGH THURSDAY.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-111945-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
250 PM EDT SUN APR 10 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (+6)   75-80 (-7)   47-52        60-65        
RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (-10)  42-47 (+2)   75-80        35-40        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 13 G24                 NW  8 G16    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G17    SW 15 G27    W  6 G19     NW 10 G19    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           90           20           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            6            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   12 PM        
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.09         0.49         0.01         
LAL                   1            4            5            1            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5300                      6700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 35                     NW 21        
DISPERSION                         97 GOOD                   83 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 40. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 
MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS NEAR 70. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
HIGHS NEAR 70. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS 
IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST 
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-111945-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
250 PM EDT SUN APR 10 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (+2)   73-78 (-7)   47-52        60-65        
RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (-6)   42-47 (+1)   72-77        35-40        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  9 G20                 NW  9 G18    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 10 G21     SW 13 G24    W 11 G26     NW 11 G22    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           90           30           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            6            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   12 PM        
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.31         0.02         
LAL                   1            4            5            1            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5500                      7000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 25                     NW 21        
DISPERSION                         58 GEN GOOD               77 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 40. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER 
MIDNIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
HIGHS NEAR 70. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. 
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. 
WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-111945-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
250 PM EDT SUN APR 10 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (-3)   71-76 (-8)   47-52        62-67        
RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (-2)   44-49 (+3)   71-76        34-39        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 13 G26                 NW  7 G15    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 10 G22     SW 17 G30    SW  7 G28    NW  7        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           90           20           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            4            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   12 PM        
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.05         0.31         0.01         
LAL                   1            4            5            1            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      7000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 31                     NW 18        
DISPERSION                         50 GEN GOOD               61 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO MID 40S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO MID 40S. 
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S. HIGHS 
IN THE LOWER 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO 
LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-111945-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
250 PM EDT SUN APR 10 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (-2)   73-78 (-10)  48-53        66-71        
RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (-9)   44-49 (+5)   70-75        32-37        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 13 G26                 NW  7        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G19     SW 16 G28    NW  6 G24    N  7         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            70           90           0            
PRECIP DURATION                    1            4                         
PRECIP BEGIN                       12 PM        CONTINUING                
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   8 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.06         0.30         0.00         
LAL                   1            4            5            1            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      7000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 32                     NW 18        
DISPERSION                         61 GOOD                   77 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. EAST WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. 
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S 
TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-111945-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
250 PM EDT SUN APR 10 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (-1)   73-78 (-9)   48-53        65-70        
RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (-7)   43-48 (+4)   71-76        33-38        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 11 G23                 NW  9 G16    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7         SW 15 G26    NW  9 G22    NW  9 G17    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           90           0            
PRECIP DURATION                    1            4                         
PRECIP BEGIN                       2 PM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   8 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.26         0.00         
LAL                   1            4            5            1            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      7000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 30                     NW 21        
DISPERSION                         71 GOOD                   87 GOOD      
MAX LVORI                          4                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP 
TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. 
HIGHS NEAR 60. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S 
TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-111945-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
250 PM EDT SUN APR 10 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (+4)   76-81 (-7)   49-54        63-68        
RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (-5)   41-46 (+2)   72-77        35-40        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 11 G23                 NW  7        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7 G15     SW 14 G25    W  6 G19     NW  9 G17    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           90           20           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            6            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   12 PM        
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.07         0.41         0.01         
LAL                   1            4            5            1            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      6100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 31                     NW 18        
DISPERSION                         80 GOOD                   73 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. 
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS NEAR 70. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. 
LIGHT WINDS. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS 
IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-111945-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
250 PM EDT SUN APR 10 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (+2)   75-80 (-9)   48-53        64-69        
RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (-3)   43-48 (+5)   76-81        35-40        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 13 G25                 NW  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G19     SW 16 G28    W  6 G24     NW  7        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            70           90           0            
PRECIP DURATION                    1            4                         
PRECIP BEGIN                       12 PM        CONTINUING                
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   8 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.17         0.38         0.00         
LAL                   1            5            5            1            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      6000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 35                     NW 17        
DISPERSION                         86 GOOD                   72 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. 
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S 
TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-111945-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
250 PM EDT SUN APR 10 2011 /150 PM CDT SUN APR 10 2011/

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      60-65 (+1)   75-80 (-10)  49-54        67-72        
RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (-10)  43-48 (+6)   74-79        34-39        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 13 G25                 NW  8 G16    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G18     SW 17 G29    NW  8 G27    NW  8 G16    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            80           90           0            
PRECIP DURATION                    2            3                         
PRECIP BEGIN                       12 PM        CONTINUING                
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   8 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.17         0.34         0.00         
LAL                   1            5            5            1            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      5900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 33                     NW 18        
DISPERSION                         87 GOOD                   74 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS 
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 
MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS AROUND 60. 
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

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