
682 
FNUS54 KMRX 091905
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
305 PM EDT SAT APR 9 2011

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY OVER EASTERN KENTUCKY AND SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA 
WILL GENERATE SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE AREA INTO 
THE EVENING HOURS.  A FEW OF THESE STORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE 
PRODUCING STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND HAIL.  HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD 
BACK INTO THE AREA ON SUNDAY...FOR DRY AND UNSEASONABLY WARM 
CONDITIONS.  A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN 
REGION ON MONDAY...BRINGING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS INTO THE AREA.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-102015-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
305 PM EDT SAT APR 9 2011

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (+3)   82-87 (+6)   57-62        75-80        
RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (+3)   37-42 (-16)  87-92        40-45        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  6 G15                 SW 12 G21    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        SW 11 G21    SW  9 G20    SW 13 G24    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           0            0            80           
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      4            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                   8 AM         
PRECIP END            12 AM                                  CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.00         0.00         0.25         
LAL                   3            1            1            5            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5900                      5800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 18                     SW 33        
DISPERSION                         63 GOOD                   108 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO
THE WEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS NEAR 40. NORTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-102015-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
305 PM EDT SAT APR 9 2011

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (-2)   80-85 (+5)   56-61        73-78        
RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (+1)   37-42 (-15)  88-93        41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  5                      SW 10 G21    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7 G17    SW  8        S  9 G19     SW 12 G21    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           0            0            70           
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      2            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                   8 AM         
PRECIP END            12 AM                                  CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.00         0.00         0.10         
LAL                   3            1            1            4            
LASI                               3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6000                      6000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 17                      SW 26        
DISPERSION                         49 GEN GOOD               74 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 10 TO
15 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS NEAR 40. NORTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-102015-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
305 PM EDT SAT APR 9 2011

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (-2)   79-84 (+3)   56-61        71-76        
RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (-2)   38-43 (-12)  86-91        42-47        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  7 G15                 SW 13 G25    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7 G16    SW 11 G20    S 11 G22     SW 16 G28    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            80           
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      4            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                   8 AM         
PRECIP END            12 AM                                  CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         0.18         
LAL                   3            1            1            5            
LASI                               4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6000                      6000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 17                     SW 32        
DISPERSION                         44 GEN GOOD               82 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...BREEZY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO
25 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID
40S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-102015-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
305 PM EDT SAT APR 9 2011

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (-3)   82-87 (+2)   57-62        73-78        
RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (-1)   37-42 (-11)  88-93        42-47        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  7 G15                 SW 11 G22    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         SW 11 G20    S  9 G18     SW 15 G26    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            80           
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      4            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                   8 AM         
PRECIP END            12 AM                                  CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.21         
LAL                   2            1            1            5            
LASI                               4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5800                      5500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 17                     SW 32        
DISPERSION                         57 GEN GOOD               96 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
10 TO 15 MPH DECREASING TO 5 TO 15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-102015-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
305 PM EDT SAT APR 9 2011

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (-2)   81-86 (+2)   55-60        73-78        
RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (+3)   37-42 (-11)  91-96        43-48        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5                     SW  9 G20    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        SW 10 G18    S  7 G15     SW 14 G23    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            70           
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      2            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                   8 AM         
PRECIP END            12 AM                                  CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.13         
LAL                   2            1            1            5            
LASI                               4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6000                      6300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 17                     SW 30        
DISPERSION                         56 GEN GOOD               105 VERY GOOD
MAX LVORI                          4                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS
IN THE MID TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO
THE NORTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S.
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-102015-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
305 PM EDT SAT APR 9 2011

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (-1)   83-88 (+5)   58-63        76-81        
RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (+1)   37-42 (-13)  87-92        40-45        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  6 G15                 SW 10 G20    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        SW  9 G18    SW  6        SW 12 G21    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            80           
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      3            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                   8 AM         
PRECIP END            12 AM                                  CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.00         0.00         0.21         
LAL                   3            1            1            5            
LASI                               3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5700                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 18                     SW 31        
DISPERSION                         66 GOOD                   84 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS
IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-102015-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
305 PM EDT SAT APR 9 2011

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (0)    83-88 (+3)   59-64        75-80        
RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (0)    37-42 (-12)  85-90        42-47        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  7 G17                 SW 12 G23    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW 12 G21    SW  9 G19    SW 14 G24    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            80           
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      4            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                   8 AM         
PRECIP END            12 AM                                  CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.36         
LAL                   3            1            1            5            
LASI                               4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5400                      4600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 22                     SW 35        
DISPERSION                         76 GOOD                   99 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR 50. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. EAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS AROUND 70. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-102015-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
305 PM EDT SAT APR 9 2011 /205 PM CDT SAT APR 9 2011/

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      60-65 (0)    84-89 (+2)   60-65        75-80        
RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (-7)   36-41 (-10)  83-88        41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  7 G16                 SW 11 G22    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        SW 11 G19    S  9 G18     SW 15 G25    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            90           
PRECIP DURATION                                              4            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 8 AM         
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.37         
LAL                   1            1            1            5            
LASI                               5                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5100                      4600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 22                     SW 33        
DISPERSION                         73 GOOD                   98 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR 50. WEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH SHIFTING TO
THE SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

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