
048 
FNUS54 KMRX 061845
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
245 PM EDT WED APR 6 2011

.DISCUSSION...
AN AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC WILL 
PRODUCE A SOUTHERLY WIND FLOW OVER THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION 
THROUGH THE WEEKEND. AS A RESULT...UNSEASONABLY WARM CONDITIONS WILL 
DEVELOP AND LINGER THROUGH THE WEEKEND. A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL 
HELP TO TRIGGER SOME SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BY FRIDAY 
AND INTO THE WEEKEND.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-071945-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
245 PM EDT WED APR 6 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (+8)   68-73 (+6)   49-54        73-78        
RH % (24H TREND)      76-81 (+3)   29-34 (+5)   77-82        45-50        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  8 G15                 S  9 G19     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G18     SW  5        LGT/VAR      SW  9 G18    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           50           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    2 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.08         
LAL                   1            1            1            3            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6000                      5400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 17                      SW 22        
DISPERSION                         57 GEN GOOD               63 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 
IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 
15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S
TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 
UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-071945-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
245 PM EDT WED APR 6 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (+6)   67-72 (+6)   47-52        72-77        
RH % (24H TREND)      75-80 (0)    29-34 (+6)   77-82        45-50        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  8 G17                  SW  7 G17    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 10 G20     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  8 G17    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           50           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    2 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.07         
LAL                   1            1            1            3            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6000                      5300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 15                      W 18         
DISPERSION                         42 GEN GOOD               40 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AND SLIGHT CHANCE 
OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 
MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 
IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 
15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 
UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-071945-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
245 PM EDT WED APR 6 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (+5)   67-72 (+6)   48-53        72-77        
RH % (24H TREND)      76-81 (+1)   29-34 (+8)   78-83        45-50        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  7 G15                 SW 10 G18    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 12 G25     LGT/VAR      S  5         SW 10 G17    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           40           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    2 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.06         
LAL                   1            1            1            3            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5900                      5200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 13                     SW 22        
DISPERSION                         31 FAIR                   40 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 
TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 
15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 
IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
COOLER. LOWS IN THE 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO 
MID 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO 
UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-071945-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
245 PM EDT WED APR 6 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (+6)   69-74 (+6)   49-54        74-79        
RH % (24H TREND)      75-80 (0)    31-36 (+7)   83-88        46-51        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  6                     SW 10 G17    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 10 G21     SW  6        S  6 G15     SW  9 G16    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           40           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    2 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.04         
LAL                   1            1            1            3            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5300                      5300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 12                     SW 22        
DISPERSION                         33 FAIR                   60 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP 
TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP 
TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 
IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-071945-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
245 PM EDT WED APR 6 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (+5)   69-74 (+6)   47-52        74-79        
RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (+4)   30-35 (+5)   85-90        46-51        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  8 G15    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G16     SW  6        S  5         SW  9        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           40           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    2 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.04         
LAL                   1            1            1            3            
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5800                      5500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 13                     SW 21        
DISPERSION                         37 FAIR                   58 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI                          3                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP 
TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 
IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
COOLER. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 
UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-071945-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
245 PM EDT WED APR 6 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (+8)   70-75 (+6)   49-54        75-80        
RH % (24H TREND)      77-82 (+1)   29-34 (+5)   78-83        44-49        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  6                     S  7 G16     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7 G15     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  9        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           40           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    2 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.07         
LAL                   1            1            1            3            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6000                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 15                      SW 21        
DISPERSION                         58 GEN GOOD               63 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP 
TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 
IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 
IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 
MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO 
MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 
LIGHT WINDS. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-071945-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
245 PM EDT WED APR 6 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (+10)  71-76 (+6)   52-57        76-81        
RH % (24H TREND)      71-76 (-6)   29-34 (+6)   77-82        45-50        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  7                     SW  9 G17    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G18     SW  6        LGT/VAR      SW 10 G17    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           40           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    2 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.06         
LAL                   1            1            1            3            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5600                      4400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 13                     SW 23        
DISPERSION                         49 GEN GOOD               62 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR 60. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP 
TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 
IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. NOT AS 
WARM. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO 
MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-071945-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
245 PM EDT WED APR 6 2011 /145 PM CDT WED APR 6 2011/

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (+9)   71-76 (+6)   52-57        76-81        
RH % (24H TREND)      70-75 (-7)   31-36 (+8)   80-85        46-51        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  6                     SW  9 G16    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G17     S  6         S  6 G15     SW  9        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           40           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    2 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.04         
LAL                   1            1            1            3            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      4400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 12                     SW 22        
DISPERSION                         38 FAIR                   62 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP 
TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. 
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 
IN THE LOWER TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. NOT AS 
WARM. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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