
184 
FNUS54 KMRX 041934
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
334 PM EDT MON APR 4 2011

.DISCUSSION...
A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE EAST THROUGH THE EASTERN TENNESSEE VALLEY. 
STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS ARE LIKELY TO AFFECT THE TENNESSEE VALLEY AND 
SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS...LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. SHOWERS WILL
PERSIST UNTIL EARLY MORNING TUESDAY. CLEARING SKIES TUESDAY WITH 
MUCH COOLER TEMPERATURES AS HIGH PRESSURE MOVES INTO THE TENNESSEE 
VALLEY.  


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-052045-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
334 PM EDT MON APR 4 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (-10)  47-52 (-28)  30-35        63-68        
RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (+18)  40-45 (+6)   80-85        23-28        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 13 G26                 SW  8 G18    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 18 G33    NW 13 G25    LGT/VAR      SW 10 G19    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          40           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       4            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   5 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         1.13         0.03         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   5            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 8400                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 30                     W 21         
DISPERSION                         167 VERY GOOD             54 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO
LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-052045-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
334 PM EDT MON APR 4 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (-5)   46-51 (-29)  28-33        60-65        
RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (+5)   39-44 (+7)   78-83        25-30        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 15 G28                 W  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 18 G37    NW 15 G28    NW  8 G20    W  9 G16     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          40           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       4            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   4 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         1.07         0.03         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   5            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 8700                      5300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 33                     W 15         
DISPERSION                         168 VERY GOOD             34 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER
80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-052045-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
334 PM EDT MON APR 4 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (-11)  50-55 (-25)  28-33        60-65        
RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (+18)  32-37 (+3)   77-82        25-30        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 15 G27                 SW  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 21 G47    NW 14 G26    NW  5 G15    SW  9 G16    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          30           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       4            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   2 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         1.30         0.02         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   5            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 8600                      5300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 29                     SW 13        
DISPERSION                         140 VERY GOOD             24 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID
40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO
LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-052045-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
334 PM EDT MON APR 4 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (-7)   53-58 (-23)  28-33        65-70        
RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (-1)   33-38 (-6)   85-90        25-30        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 14 G24                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 18 G36    NW 12 G24    LGT/VAR      SW  7        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          30           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       4            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         1.50         0.01         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   5            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7900                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 29                     SW 12        
DISPERSION                         142 VERY GOOD             24 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID
40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID
80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO
LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 70S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-052045-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
334 PM EDT MON APR 4 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (-2)   53-58 (-22)  27-32        66-71        
RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (-5)   31-36 (-5)   89-94        25-30        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 15 G26                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 17 G33    NW 13 G26    LGT/VAR      SW  7        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          30           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       4            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         1.42         0.01         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   5            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 8500                      5100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 32                     SW  9        
DISPERSION                         176 VERY GOOD             22 FAIR      
MAX LVORI                          3                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 40. LIGHT WINDS. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO
MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO
UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-052045-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
334 PM EDT MON APR 4 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (-5)   50-55 (-28)  29-34        65-70        
RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (+4)   38-43 (+4)   81-86        23-28        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 13 G25                 SW  5 G15    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 16 G30    NW 13 G25    LGT/VAR      SW  9 G16    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          30           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       4            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   4 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         1.13         0.02         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   5            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 8600                      5200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 29                     SW 17        
DISPERSION                         178 VERY GOOD             54 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID
40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER
80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-052045-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
334 PM EDT MON APR 4 2011

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (-15)  52-57 (-25)  31-36        65-70        
RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (+23)  33-38 (-6)   78-83        22-27        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 13 G23                 SW  6 G15    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 16 G34     NW 12 G23    LGT/VAR      SW  9 G17    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       4            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         1.50         0.01         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   5            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7800                      4400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 26                     SW 17        
DISPERSION                         153 VERY GOOD             48 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER
80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-052045-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
334 PM EDT MON APR 4 2011 /234 PM CDT MON APR 4 2011/

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (-16)  54-59 (-23)  31-36        66-71        
RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (+12)  30-35 (-13)  82-87        22-27        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 12 G22                 SW  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 17 G34     NW 12 G21    LGT/VAR      SW  9 G17    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       2                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING                                          
PRECIP AMOUNT         1.49         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   5            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7400                      4000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 26                     SW 15        
DISPERSION                         145 VERY GOOD             35 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO
LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

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