
762 
FNUS54 KMRX 040731
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
331 AM EDT MON APR 4 2011

...WINDY CONDITIONS TODAY WITH MINIMUM RH VALUES BELOW 25 PERCENT
IN A FEW MOUNTAIN LOCATIONS...

.DISCUSSION...
MOSTLY CLEAR AND WARM CONDITIONS THIS MORNING WILL GIVE WAY TO 
INCREASING CLOUDS THIS AFTERNOON AS A STRONG COLD FRONT MOVES EAST
THROUGH THE EASTERN TENNESSEE VALLEY. STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS ARE
LIKELY TO AFFECT THE TENNESSEE VALLEY AND SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS...LATE
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. SHOWERS WILL PERSIST UNTIL EARLY MORNING
TUESDAY. CLEARING SKIES TUESDAY WITH MUCH COOLER TEMPERATURES AS
HIGH PRESSURE MOVES INTO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY.  

VAZ001-002-005-006-008-050830-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
331 AM EDT MON APR 4 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      75-80 (+8)   41-46 (-9)   47-52        
RH % (24H TREND)      28-33 (+4)   88-93 (+26)  34-39        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 16 G31                 NW 14 G24    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 19 G33    SW 17 G32    NW 12 G22    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           100          40           
PRECIP DURATION       1            4            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   5 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.82         0.05         
LAL                   3            5            1            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7100                      8600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 51                     NW 30        
DISPERSION            191 VERY GOOD             173 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID
70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER
80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-050830-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
331 AM EDT MON APR 4 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      75-80 (+12)  40-45 (-4)   46-51        
RH % (24H TREND)      24-29 (-3)   90-95 (+22)  33-38        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 14 G26                 NW 16 G28    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 18 G32    S 21 G38     NW 15 G25    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           100          40           
PRECIP DURATION       1            4            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   4 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.72         0.04         
LAL                   3            5            1            
LASI                  5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7800                      8900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 43                     NW 35        
DISPERSION            177 VERY GOOD             179 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER
80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-050830-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
331 AM EDT MON APR 4 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      75-80 (+10)  39-44 (-11)  50-55        
RH % (24H TREND)      20-25 (-3)   83-88 (+21)  25-30        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 21 G42                 NW 14 G27    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 21 G40    SW 23 G46    NW 14 G24    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           100          30           
PRECIP DURATION       1            4            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.72         0.03         
LAL                   3            5            1            
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7400                      8800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 46                     NW 29        
DISPERSION            166 VERY GOOD             142 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST LESS THAN 10 MPH
AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID
40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER
80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-050830-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
331 AM EDT MON APR 4 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      76-81 (+6)   42-47 (-7)   53-58        
RH % (24H TREND)      30-35 (+4)   85-90 (+6)   28-33        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 17 G31                  NW 13 G25    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 19 G35    SW 19 G39    NW 13 G23    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           100          30           
PRECIP DURATION       1            4            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.85         0.01         
LAL                   3            5            1            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7300                      8100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 44                     NW 29        
DISPERSION            185 VERY GOOD             147 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID
40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER
80S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-050830-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
331 AM EDT MON APR 4 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      75-80 (+4)   42-47 (-2)   53-58        
RH % (24H TREND)      26-31 (-1)   84-89 (+2)   25-30        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 14 G28                  NW 14 G27    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 18 G30    SW 20 G37    NW 14 G26    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           100          30           
PRECIP DURATION       1            4            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.69         0.01         
LAL                   3            5            1            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    8100                      8700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 41                     NW 33        
DISPERSION            194 VERY GOOD             182 VERY GOOD
MAX LVORI             4                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER
40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER
80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-050830-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
331 AM EDT MON APR 4 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      78-83 (+9)   44-49 (-4)   50-55        
RH % (24H TREND)      26-31 (+1)   88-93 (+15)  32-37        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 12 G27                 NW 14 G25    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 18 G31    SW 17 G30    NW 13 G23    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           100          30           
PRECIP DURATION       1            4            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   4 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.78         0.04         
LAL                   3            5            1            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5900                      8800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 44                     NW 28        
DISPERSION            165 VERY GOOD             176 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID
40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER
70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO
LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-050830-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
331 AM EDT MON APR 4 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (+6)   43-48 (-14)  52-57        
RH % (24H TREND)      28-33 (+3)   78-83 (+8)   30-35        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 16 G30                 NW 11 G22    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 20 G34    SW 16 G31    NW 12 G21    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           100          20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            4            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.12         1.20         0.02         
LAL                   4            5            1            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6500                      8000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 49                     NW 26        
DISPERSION            198 VERY GOOD             152 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER
70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER
80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-050830-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
331 AM EDT MON APR 4 2011 /231 AM CDT MON APR 4 2011/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (+5)   42-47 (-15)  55-60        
RH % (24H TREND)      36-41 (+10)  78-83 (+5)   27-32        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 15 G30                  NW 11 G23    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 19 G33     W 18 G32     NW 12 G21    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           100          0            
PRECIP DURATION       2            2                         
PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         1.27         0.00         
LAL                   4            5            1            
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6900                      7600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 46                     NW 28        
DISPERSION            200 VERY GOOD             154 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS NEAR 80. SOUTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO
LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TG/TD

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