
146 
FNUS54 KMRX 031848
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
248 PM EDT SUN APR 3 2011

.DISCUSSION...
A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE EAST THROUGH THE TENNESSEE VALLEY ON 
MONDAY. STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS ARE LIKELY TO AFFECT THE TENNESSEE 
VALLEY AND SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS...BY MONDAY AFTERNOON INTO MONDAY 
NIGHT. 
 


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-042000-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
248 PM EDT SUN APR 3 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (+13)  73-78 (+6)   41-46        48-53        
RH % (24H TREND)      71-76 (+6)   34-39 (+11)  92-97        30-35        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 16 G32                 NW 14 G25    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 12 G25     SW 20 G33    W 16 G32     NW 14 G24    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           90           40           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            6            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       11 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.16         0.93         0.02         
LAL                   1            4            5            N/A          
LASI                               5                                      
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7100                                   
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 54                     N/A          
DISPERSION                         194 VERY GOOD                          

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID
70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID
70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-042000-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
248 PM EDT SUN APR 3 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (+11)  72-77 (+9)   40-45        48-53        
RH % (24H TREND)      73-78 (+9)   30-35 (+5)   84-89        28-33        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 14 G27                 NW 17 G30    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 14 G28     SW 18 G31    W 17 G31     NW 16 G30    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           90           40           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            6            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.06         0.84         0.03         
LAL                   1            3            5            N/A          
LASI                               5                                      
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7800                                   
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 45                     N/A          
DISPERSION                         183 VERY GOOD                          

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID
40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID
70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...

$$

TNZ072-074-042000-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
248 PM EDT SUN APR 3 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (+13)  71-76 (+6)   39-44        51-56        
RH % (24H TREND)      71-76 (+15)  29-34 (+12)  79-84        21-26        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 20 G37                 NW 13 G26    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 18 G38     SW 23 G41    W 13 G39     NW 12 G24    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           90           30           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            6            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.13         0.98         0.01         
LAL                   1            4            5            N/A          
LASI                               5                                      
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7400                                   
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 51                     N/A          
DISPERSION                         175 VERY GOOD                          

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID
70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...

$$

TNZ087-102-042000-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
248 PM EDT SUN APR 3 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (+12)  73-78 (+3)   42-47        54-59        
RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (+31)  32-37 (+7)   78-83        26-31        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 17 G32                  NW 11 G21    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 14 G30     SW 21 G37    NW 12 G34    NW 10 G20    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           90           30           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            6            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       11 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.18         0.96         0.01         
LAL                   1            4            5            N/A          
LASI                               5                                      
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7300                                   
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 51                     N/A          
DISPERSION                         191 VERY GOOD                          

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID
40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO
MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...

$$

NCZ060-061-042000-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
248 PM EDT SUN APR 3 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (+12)  72-77 (+1)   42-47        54-59        
RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (+30)  32-37 (+11)  79-84        22-27        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 14 G28                  NW 13 G24    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 11 G22     SW 19 G33    W 16 G29     NW 12 G23    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           90           30           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            7            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.14         0.93         0.01         
LAL                   1            4            5            N/A          
LASI                               5                                      
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 8100                                   
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 47                     N/A          
DISPERSION                         197 VERY GOOD                          
MAX LVORI                          3                                      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID
70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-042000-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
248 PM EDT SUN APR 3 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (+11)  75-80 (+6)   44-49        52-57        
RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (+9)   32-37 (+10)  84-89        27-32        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 13 G28                 NW 13 G24    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 10 G21     SW 18 G31    W 14 G28     NW 13 G24    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           80           30           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            6            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       11 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.14         0.90         0.02         
LAL                   1            4            5            N/A          
LASI                               5                                      
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5900                                   
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 47                     N/A          
DISPERSION                         172 VERY GOOD                          

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID
40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO
MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID
70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-042000-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
248 PM EDT SUN APR 3 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (+14)  74-79 (+3)   43-48        53-58        
RH % (24H TREND)      76-81 (+18)  39-44 (+15)  75-80        26-31        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 17 G30                 NW 10 G21    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 14 G29     SW 19 G33    W 13 G30     NW 10 G19    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           80           20           
PRECIP DURATION                    2            5            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       11 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   1 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.40         0.91         0.01         
LAL                   1            5            5            N/A          
LASI                               4                                      
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6500                                   
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 53                     N/A          
DISPERSION                         199 VERY GOOD                          

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER
70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER
70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-042000-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
248 PM EDT SUN APR 3 2011 /148 PM CDT SUN APR 3 2011/

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (+14)  74-79 (+2)   42-47        56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (+21)  42-47 (+17)  76-81        24-29        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 15 G28                  NW  9 G19    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 13 G26     SW 18 G32    NW 14 G30    NW  9 G19    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            70           80           0            
PRECIP DURATION                    2            5                         
PRECIP BEGIN                       11 AM        CONTINUING                
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.45         0.79         0.00         
LAL                   1            5            5            N/A          
LASI                               4                                      
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6900                                   
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 51                     N/A          
DISPERSION                         200 VERY GOOD                          

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER
80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...

$$

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