
733 
FNUS54 KMRX 311354
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
954 AM EDT THU MAR 31 2011

.DISCUSSION...
CLOUDS AND LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN 
APPALACHIAN REGION TODAY AS A WEAK WEATHER DISTURBANCE MOVES THROUGH 
THE AREA. RAIN WILL MIX WITH SNOW AND SLEET WITH LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS 
POSSIBLE ABOVE 2500 FEET.   


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-011500-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
954 AM EDT THU MAR 31 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (-9)   27-32 (-9)   47-52        
RH % (24H TREND)      57-62 (-4)   92-97 (+6)   41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  8 G17     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         LGT/VAR      W 10 G18     
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    SHOWERS      SNOW/RAIN    
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           20           20           
PRECIP DURATION       3            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.03         0.03         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5200                      6300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  6                      W 20         
DISPERSION            17 GEN POOR               73 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE 30S TO
LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. WEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
WARMER. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-011500-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
954 AM EDT THU MAR 31 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (-6)   27-32 (-8)   46-51        
RH % (24H TREND)      61-66 (-6)   91-96 (-1)   39-44        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  9 G18     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        NW  6        W 11 G21     
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    SHOWERS      SNOW/RAIN    
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           20           20           
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.02         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5200                      6400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  9                      W 22         
DISPERSION            21 FAIR                   67 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE 30S TO
LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 60S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
WARMER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-011500-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
954 AM EDT THU MAR 31 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (-8)   28-33 (-8)   48-53        
RH % (24H TREND)      54-59 (-14)  86-91 (-2)   38-43        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  6 G17     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        LGT/VAR      SW 10 G19    
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    SHOWERS      SNOW/RAIN    
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           20           30           
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.02         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5500                      6400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 10                      W 17         
DISPERSION            22 FAIR                   47 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 60S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH EARLY IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS
5 TO 20 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
20 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-011500-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
954 AM EDT THU MAR 31 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (-7)   31-36 (-7)   53-58        
RH % (24H TREND)      51-56 (-18)  80-85 (-9)   37-42        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        LGT/VAR      SW  8        
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         NONE         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           0            30           
PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                      8 AM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING                CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5500                      6200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  9                      W 15         
DISPERSION            28 FAIR                   55 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER
40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-011500-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
954 AM EDT THU MAR 31 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (-5)   31-36 (-6)   53-58        
RH % (24H TREND)      54-59 (-18)  85-90 (-9)   37-42        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        NW  5        W  7         
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SHOWERS      RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           10           30           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.01         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5600                      6400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 12                      W 18         
DISPERSION            32 FAIR                   66 GOOD      
MAX LVORI             4                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER
40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS
10 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-011500-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
954 AM EDT THU MAR 31 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (-10)  29-34 (-8)   51-56        
RH % (24H TREND)      59-64 (-5)   91-96 (+4)   37-42        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  7 G16     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         LGT/VAR      W 11 G20     
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SHOWERS      RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           20           30           
PRECIP DURATION       3            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.02         0.03         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5200                      6300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  8                      W 17         
DISPERSION            26 FAIR                   74 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID
30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS
10 TO 20 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
WARMER. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS AROUND 40.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-011500-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
954 AM EDT THU MAR 31 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (-6)   30-35 (-9)   54-59        
RH % (24H TREND)      54-59 (-8)   87-92 (+2)   34-39        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        LGT/VAR      SW  9 G17    
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    SHOWERS      RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           20           30           
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.01         0.03         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5300                      6200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  8                     W 15         
DISPERSION            30 FAIR                   66 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS NEAR 40. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 40. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-011500-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
954 AM EDT THU MAR 31 2011 /854 AM CDT THU MAR 31 2011/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (-5)   34-39 (-5)   56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (-16)  77-82 (-6)   35-40        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        LGT/VAR      SW  8 G15    
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         NONE         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            30           
PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                      8 AM         
PRECIP END            8 PM                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.03         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5400                      6100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 12                     W 15         
DISPERSION            40 FAIR                   65 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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