
967 
FNUS54 KMRX 300802
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
402 AM EDT WED MAR 30 2011

.DISCUSSION...
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVING ACROSS THE REGION WILL CONTINUE TO 
BRING IN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS THIS MORNING.  A CHANCE 
OF SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE INTO THE LATE AFTERNOON AS THE SYSTEM 
MOVES AWAY FORM THE AREA.  BY THIS EVENING...A FEW POCKETS OF LIGHT 
RAIN...POSSIBLY MIXED WITH SNOW...MAY LINGER ACROSS THE HIGHEST 
ELEVATIONS OF THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS. 


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-310915-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
402 AM EDT WED MAR 30 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (-3)   33-38 (-6)   44-49        
RH % (24H TREND)      60-65 (+25)  93-98 (+10)  59-64        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     E  5                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          10           30           
PRECIP DURATION       3            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   8 AM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   2 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.33         0.01         0.06         
LAL                   2            1            1            
LASI                  2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      5400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 14                     NW  8        
DISPERSION            20 GEN POOR               25 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. WEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER
60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
WARMER. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 60S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-310915-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
402 AM EDT WED MAR 30 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (-3)   33-38 (-6)   44-49        
RH % (24H TREND)      66-71 (+23)  93-98 (+6)   54-59        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  7                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         LGT/VAR      NW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          20           40           
PRECIP DURATION       5            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   8 AM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   2 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.44         0.03         0.11         
LAL                   2            1            1            
LASI                  2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      5500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 17                     NW  9        
DISPERSION            16 GEN POOR               22 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH
EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. WEST WINDS
10 TO 20 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID
60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER
60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-310915-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
402 AM EDT WED MAR 30 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (-4)   34-39 (-10)  47-52        
RH % (24H TREND)      68-73 (+21)  93-98 (+10)  47-52        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  5         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          20           30           
PRECIP DURATION       5            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   8 AM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   2 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.37         0.01         0.07         
LAL                   2            1            1            
LASI                  2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      5600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 20                     NW  8        
DISPERSION            17 GEN POOR               17 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO UPPER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST EARLY
IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S
TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 60S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO
MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-310915-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
402 AM EDT WED MAR 30 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (-6)   38-43 (-9)   53-58        
RH % (24H TREND)      67-72 (+19)  93-98 (+2)   46-51        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  5         LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          0            30           
PRECIP DURATION       5                         1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                      8 AM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING                CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.36         0.00         0.05         
LAL                   2            1            1            
LASI                  2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      5600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 18                     NW  9        
DISPERSION            28 FAIR                   29 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE 30S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S.
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO
UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-310915-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
402 AM EDT WED MAR 30 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (-8)   38-43 (-9)   55-60        
RH % (24H TREND)      69-74 (+23)  95-100 (+3)  48-53        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  6         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          0            30           
PRECIP DURATION       5                         1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                      8 AM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING                CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.39         0.00         0.07         
LAL                   2            1            1            
LASI                  2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      5800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 18                     NW 10        
DISPERSION            28 FAIR                   33 FAIR      
MAX LVORI             4                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER
60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-310915-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
402 AM EDT WED MAR 30 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (-5)   35-40 (-7)   48-53        
RH % (24H TREND)      64-69 (+28)  92-97 (+6)   48-53        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          0            30           
PRECIP DURATION       3                         1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                      8 AM         
PRECIP END            8 PM                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.36         0.00         0.07         
LAL                   2            1            1            
LASI                  2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      5400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 14                     NW  7        
DISPERSION            26 FAIR                   24 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S
TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID
60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-310915-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
402 AM EDT WED MAR 30 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (-7)   36-41 (-9)   50-55        
RH % (24H TREND)      59-64 (+19)  91-96 (+11)  43-48        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        N  5         NW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          0            30           
PRECIP DURATION       3                         1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                      8 AM         
PRECIP END            8 PM                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.28         0.00         0.03         
LAL                   2            1            1            
LASI                  2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      5400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 13                      N  8         
DISPERSION            29 FAIR                   30 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE 30S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR 40.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER
60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
COOLER. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-310915-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
402 AM EDT WED MAR 30 2011 /302 AM CDT WED MAR 30 2011/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (-3)   39-44 (-8)   53-58        
RH % (24H TREND)      62-67 (+14)  91-96 (+7)   38-43        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   N  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  6         N  5         NW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          0            20           
PRECIP DURATION       3                         1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                      8 AM         
PRECIP END            8 PM                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.28         0.00         0.02         
LAL                   2            1            1            
LASI                  2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3700                      5500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 16                      NW 10        
DISPERSION            34 FAIR                   37 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
COOLER. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

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