
287 
FNUS54 KMRX 271911
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
311 PM EDT SUN MAR 27 2011

.DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL SWING ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT AND 
EARLY MONDAY...BRINGING RAIN TO MUCH OF THE AREA...AND SOME SNOW IN 
HIGHER ELEVATIONS.      


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-282015-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
311 PM EDT SUN MAR 27 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (-5)   45-50 (+5)   28-33        54-59        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+2)  46-51 (-26)  76-81        29-34        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           70           0            20           
PRECIP DURATION       4            1                         1            
PRECIP BEGIN          2 AM         CONTINUING                2 PM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   4 PM                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.15         0.03         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5300                      6400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  6                     W  5         
DISPERSION                         16 GEN POOR               16 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH EARLY IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO
THE NORTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-282015-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
311 PM EDT SUN MAR 27 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (-8)   44-49 (+2)   29-34        54-59        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+9)  52-57 (-20)  86-91        33-38        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           70           0            20           
PRECIP DURATION       4            1                         1            
PRECIP BEGIN          2 AM         CONTINUING                2 PM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   4 PM                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.26         0.05         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5600                      6400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  8                     SW  7        
DISPERSION                         21 FAIR                   22 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER
40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH
SHIFTING TO THE WEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
EAST 5 TO 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S
TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-282015-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
311 PM EDT SUN MAR 27 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (-8)   47-52 (-1)   33-38        59-64        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+4)  50-55 (-15)  79-84        33-38        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           60           0            20           
PRECIP DURATION       4            1                         1            
PRECIP BEGIN          11 PM        CONTINUING                2 PM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 PM                     CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.32         0.02         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6200                      6100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  8                     SW  8        
DISPERSION                         20 GEN POOR               21 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH
SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH
SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-282015-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
311 PM EDT SUN MAR 27 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (-4)   55-60 (-2)   34-39        62-67        
RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (-9)   48-53 (-10)  85-90        36-41        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  6         LGT/VAR      SE  6        
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           50           0            30           
PRECIP DURATION       4            1                         1            
PRECIP BEGIN          11 PM        CONTINUING                2 PM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 PM                     CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.35         0.02         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5800                      5200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  6                     S 10         
DISPERSION                         17 GEN POOR               28 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH
SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-282015-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
311 PM EDT SUN MAR 27 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (-3)   54-59 (-9)   33-38        61-66        
RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (-14)  54-59 (+1)   88-93        38-43        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  5        LGT/VAR      SE  7        
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           60           0            30           
PRECIP DURATION       4            1                         1            
PRECIP BEGIN          11 PM        CONTINUING                2 PM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 PM                     CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.35         0.02         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6000                      5700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  7                     SW 12        
DISPERSION                         23 FAIR                   36 FAIR      
MAX LVORI                          3                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH
SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH
SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. HIGHS IN
THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S
TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-282015-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
311 PM EDT SUN MAR 27 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (-7)   50-55 (+5)   29-34        58-63        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+6)  43-48 (-24)  82-87        30-35        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    RAIN         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           60           0            20           
PRECIP DURATION       4            1                         1            
PRECIP BEGIN          11 PM        CONTINUING                2 PM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   4 PM                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.23         0.03         0.00         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4800                      5900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  5                     SW  3        
DISPERSION                         13 GEN POOR               15 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH EARLY IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID
40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-282015-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
311 PM EDT SUN MAR 27 2011

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (-8)   52-57 (+7)   33-38        59-64        
RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (0)    41-46 (-22)  77-82        31-36        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           30           0            20           
PRECIP DURATION       4            1                         1            
PRECIP BEGIN          11 PM        CONTINUING                2 PM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 PM                     CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.24         0.01         0.00         0.04         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4800                      5200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  5                      S  6         
DISPERSION                         13 GEN POOR               20 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID
40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-282015-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
311 PM EDT SUN MAR 27 2011 /211 PM CDT SUN MAR 27 2011/

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (-4)   53-58 (+4)   36-41        61-66        
RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (-7)   44-49 (-20)  79-84        37-42        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NE  5                     E  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E  6         NE  5        LGT/VAR      SE  6        
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           20           0            30           
PRECIP DURATION       4            1                         1            
PRECIP BEGIN          11 PM        CONTINUING                2 PM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 PM                     CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.33         0.01         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      4300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  3                      S 13         
DISPERSION                         10 POOR                   34 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER
50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

