
504 
FNUS54 KMRX 231905
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
305 PM EDT WED MAR 23 2011

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL TRACK THROUGH THE REGION...TRIGGERING SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE AREA THIS EVENING. THE FRONT WILL EXIT TO 
OUR EAST TONIGHT. COLDER AIR WILL PUSH IN BEHIND THE FRONT 
THURSDAY...AND HIGH PRESSURE WILL TAKE CONTROL FOR THURSDAY NIGHT 
INTO FRIDAY.  


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-242015-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
305 PM EDT WED MAR 23 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (-10)  45-50 (-23)  28-33        52-57        
RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (0)    42-47 (-5)   69-74        35-40        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 10 G19                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 12 G22     NW 10 G20    N  5         LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION       4                                      1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                   2 PM         
PRECIP END            8 AM                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.26         0.00         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   5            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6700                      5500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 22                     NW  9        
DISPERSION                         89 GOOD                   28 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE
EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-242015-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
305 PM EDT WED MAR 23 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (-12)  44-49 (-20)  27-32        51-56        
RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (0)    43-48 (-3)   71-76        35-40        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 14 G26                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 13 G22     NW 12 G25    NW  8 G16    NW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION       4                                      1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                   2 PM         
PRECIP END            8 AM                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.26         0.00         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   5            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6900                      5300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 26                     NW 10        
DISPERSION                         97 GOOD                   22 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE
EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO UPPER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-242015-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
305 PM EDT WED MAR 23 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (-14)  45-50 (-20)  29-34        52-57        
RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (-5)   41-46 (-11)  75-80        34-39        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 10 G19                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 14 G26     NW 10 G20    N  6         LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       2                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                
PRECIP END            8 AM                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.20         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   4            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6500                      5200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 21                     NW  9        
DISPERSION                         60 GEN GOOD               15 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
50S TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS
IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO UPPER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-242015-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
305 PM EDT WED MAR 23 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (-11)  51-56 (-18)  31-36        56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (-7)   42-47 (-13)  82-87        33-38        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  9 G18                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 13 G23     NW 10 G19    N  6         LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                
PRECIP END            4 AM                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.15         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   4            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5700                      5200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 20                     NW  7        
DISPERSION                         62 GOOD                   19 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
UPPER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-242015-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
305 PM EDT WED MAR 23 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (-7)   52-57 (-15)  30-35        56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (-16)  39-44 (-17)  82-87        34-39        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 10 G19                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 13 G22     NW 11 G20    N  6         SW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                
PRECIP END            4 AM                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.15         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   4            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6500                      5300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 24                     W  9         
DISPERSION                         90 GOOD                   23 FAIR      
MAX LVORI                          3                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS NEAR 50.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
UPPER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-242015-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
305 PM EDT WED MAR 23 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (-9)   48-53 (-20)  29-34        55-60        
RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (+3)   43-48 (-1)   70-75        34-39        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 11 G22                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 12 G22     NW 11 G22    NW  5        LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION       4                                      1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                   2 PM         
PRECIP END            8 AM                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.25         0.00         0.00         0.01         
LAL                   5            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6200                      5200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 21                     NW  8        
DISPERSION                         87 GOOD                   25 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S
TO MID 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
MID 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-242015-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
305 PM EDT WED MAR 23 2011

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (-14)  49-54 (-19)  31-36        56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      80-85 (+7)   40-45 (-15)  73-78        33-38        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  9 G17                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 13 G22     NW  9 G17    N  5         LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                
PRECIP END            4 AM                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.16         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   5            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5800                      5200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 20                     NW  7        
DISPERSION                         76 GOOD                   24 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE 50S TO MID 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
UPPER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-242015-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
305 PM EDT WED MAR 23 2011 /205 PM CDT WED MAR 23 2011/

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (-15)  52-57 (-19)  32-37        58-63        
RH % (24H TREND)      75-80 (-3)   36-41 (-18)  79-84        33-38        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  9 G17                 NE  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 13 G23     NW 10 G17    N  5         LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                
PRECIP END            4 AM                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.13         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   4            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5400                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 21                     N  7         
DISPERSION                         75 GOOD                   23 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S
TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS NEAR 60.
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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