
810 
FNUS54 KMRX 230915
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
515 AM EDT WED MAR 23 2011

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL TRACK THROUGH THE REGION...TRIGGERING A CHANCE FOR 
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TODAY. THE FRONT WILL EXIT TO OUR EAST BY 
TONIGHT. COLDER AIR WILL PUSH IN BEHIND THE FRONT THURSDAY...AND 
HIGH PRESSURE WILL TAKE CONTROL FOR THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY.  


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-241015-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
515 AM EDT WED MAR 23 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      69-74 (-5)   40-45 (-11)  49-54        
RH % (24H TREND)      39-44 (+2)   91-96 (+17)  41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 11 G22                 NW 11 G20    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 14 G25    W  9 G20     NW 10 G19    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           70           30           
PRECIP DURATION       2            3            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.28         0.24         0.03         
LAL                   3            4            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      4700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 36                      NW 23        
DISPERSION            57 GEN GOOD               54 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 30. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-241015-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
515 AM EDT WED MAR 23 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      67-72 (-5)   40-45 (-8)   48-53        
RH % (24H TREND)      37-42 (+2)   90-95 (+16)  40-45        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 12 G26                  NW 16 G30    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 16 G28     W 12 G22     NW 12 G23    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           70           20           
PRECIP DURATION       2            3            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.26         0.19         0.02         
LAL                   3            4            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 32                      NW 26        
DISPERSION            34 FAIR                   53 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 30. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-241015-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
515 AM EDT WED MAR 23 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      66-71 (-6)   39-44 (-8)   49-54        
RH % (24H TREND)      39-44 (+8)   84-89 (+16)  38-43        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 13 G26                 NW 10 G21    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 15 G28    W 13 G26     NW  9 G16    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           60           20           
PRECIP DURATION       2            3            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.26         0.17         0.02         
LAL                   3            4            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      4800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 33                     NW 20        
DISPERSION            32 FAIR                   28 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S.
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
30S TO LOWER 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE
EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. EAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-241015-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
515 AM EDT WED MAR 23 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      69-74 (-6)   43-48 (-4)   54-59        
RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (+13)  85-90 (+3)   36-41        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 11 G22                 NW  9 G17    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 13 G23    W 10 G21     NW 10 G18    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           60           0            
PRECIP DURATION       2            2                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.24         0.13         0.00         
LAL                   3            4            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      4600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 32                     NW 20        
DISPERSION            53 GEN GOOD               42 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID
30S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-241015-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
515 AM EDT WED MAR 23 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      68-73 (-7)   43-48 (-1)   53-58        
RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (+14)  84-89 (-4)   36-41        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  9 G22                 NW 12 G21    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 13 G24    W 11 G21     NW 12 G20    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           60           0            
PRECIP DURATION       2            2                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.23         0.11         0.00         
LAL                   3            4            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      4600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 31                      NW 24        
DISPERSION            46 GEN GOOD               49 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI             4                         1            

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID
30S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN
THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40.
HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-241015-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
515 AM EDT WED MAR 23 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      70-75 (-6)   43-48 (-6)   52-57        
RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (+8)   85-90 (+6)   38-43        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 11 G23                 NW 11 G21    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 14 G25    W 10 G20     NW  9 G18    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           60           20           
PRECIP DURATION       2            3            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.28         0.23         0.02         
LAL                   3            4            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      4700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 36                      NW 21        
DISPERSION            75 GOOD                   58 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID
30S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S
TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-241015-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
515 AM EDT WED MAR 23 2011

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      70-75 (-6)   43-48 (-10)  53-58        
RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (+14)  83-88 (+8)   37-42        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 10 G21                 NW  8 G15    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 13 G23    W  9 G20     NW  9 G16    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           60           20           
PRECIP DURATION       2            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   12 PM        
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.26         0.16         0.01         
LAL                   3            4            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      4600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 35                     NW 18        
DISPERSION            79 GOOD                   53 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S.
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
NORTHWEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-241015-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
515 AM EDT WED MAR 23 2011 /415 AM CDT WED MAR 23 2011/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      71-76 (-7)   44-49 (-9)   57-62        
RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (+16)  82-87 (+2)   33-38        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 10 G21                 NW 10 G19    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 12 G21    W 11 G21     NW 10 G17    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           60           0            
PRECIP DURATION       2            2                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.22         0.13         0.00         
LAL                   3            4            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 33                     NW 20        
DISPERSION            81 GOOD                   58 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. NORTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING
TO THE WEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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