
503 
FNUS54 KMRX 221831
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
231 PM EDT TUE MAR 22 2011

.DISCUSSION...
ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY OVER THE 
SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION...WITH A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM  
AFFECTING THE REGION ON WEDNESDAY. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING A CHANCE 
FOR STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ON WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND 
EVENING. ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL THEN AFFECT THE REGION BY 
SATURDAY NIGHT...BRINGING ANOTHER CHANCE FOR STRONG THUNDERSTORMS.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-231945-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
231 PM EDT TUE MAR 22 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (+1)   68-73 (-6)   40-45        46-51        
RH % (24H TREND)      77-82 (0)    39-44 (+2)   92-97        46-51        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 11 G22                 NW 11 G20    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        SW 14 G25    W  9 G20     NW  9 G18    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            70           70           20           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       11 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.52         0.19         0.04         
LAL                   1            4            4            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4600                      3900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 38                      NW 25        
DISPERSION                         85 GOOD                   39 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. NOT AS COOL.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH
SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-231945-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
231 PM EDT TUE MAR 22 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (-1)   67-72 (-5)   41-46        46-51        
RH % (24H TREND)      75-80 (-2)   38-43 (+3)   87-92        44-49        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 12 G26                  NW 15 G29    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7         W 16 G28     W 12 G22     NW 13 G27    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           70           20           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.16         0.25         0.05         
LAL                   1            3            4            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      3900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 38                      NW 31        
DISPERSION                         62 GOOD                   29 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S.
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S
TO MID 40S. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 5 TO
15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. EAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-231945-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
231 PM EDT TUE MAR 22 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (-2)   65-70 (-7)   41-46        48-53        
RH % (24H TREND)      74-79 (-5)   41-46 (+10)  81-86        41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 13 G26                 NW 10 G21    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8 G20    SW 15 G28    W 13 G26     NW 10 G19    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           60           20           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       11 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.17         0.23         0.02         
LAL                   1            4            4            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4800                      4200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 37                     NW 22        
DISPERSION                         53 GEN GOOD               18 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S TO MID
30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S
TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
MID 60S. EAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. EAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-231945-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
231 PM EDT TUE MAR 22 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (-3)   68-73 (-7)   44-49        53-58        
RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (+8)   46-51 (+15)  82-87        40-45        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 11 G22                 NW  9        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7 G15    SW 13 G23    W 10 G21     NW  9 G17    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           50           0            
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN                       11 AM        CONTINUING                
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   8 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.10         0.17         0.00         
LAL                   1            4            4            1            
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      4000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 35                     NW 20        
DISPERSION                         77 GOOD                   31 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S.
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S
TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-231945-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
231 PM EDT TUE MAR 22 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (-4)   67-72 (-8)   45-50        54-59        
RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+10)  46-51 (+16)  80-85        38-43        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  9 G22                 NW 11 G19    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        SW 13 G24    W 11 G21     NW 10 G19    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           50           0            
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN                       11 AM        CONTINUING                
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   8 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.07         0.22         0.00         
LAL                   1            3            3            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      3900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 33                     NW 25        
DISPERSION                         70 GOOD                   35 FAIR      
MAX LVORI                          4                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S
TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
UPPER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-231945-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
231 PM EDT TUE MAR 22 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (-2)   69-74 (-7)   44-49        50-55        
RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (+4)   41-46 (+9)   83-88        43-48        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 11 G23                 NW 11 G20    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        SW 14 G25    W 10 G20     NW 10 G19    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           60           20           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       11 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.29         0.22         0.02         
LAL                   1            4            4            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4600                      3900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 39                     NW 23        
DISPERSION                         106 VERY GOOD             47 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S
TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-231945-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
231 PM EDT TUE MAR 22 2011

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (+1)   69-74 (-7)   44-49        52-57        
RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (+1)   46-51 (+15)  80-85        40-45        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 10 G21                 NW  9 G18    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        SW 13 G23    W  9 G20     NW  8        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            70           50           0            
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN                       11 AM        CONTINUING                
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.36         0.11         0.00         
LAL                   1            4            4            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4600                      3900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 38                     NW 20        
DISPERSION                         110 VERY GOOD             43 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID
30S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-231945-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
231 PM EDT TUE MAR 22 2011 /131 PM CDT TUE MAR 22 2011/

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (+2)   69-74 (-9)   46-51        54-59        
RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (+5)   48-53 (+19)  79-84        38-43        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 10 G21                 NW  9 G18    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        SW 12 G21    W 11 G21     NW  8        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           30           0            
PRECIP DURATION                    2            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   8 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.18         0.07         0.00         
LAL                   1            4            3            1            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4600                      3900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 36                     NW 20        
DISPERSION                         108 VERY GOOD             48 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

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